Projected Income Statement: Carrefour

Forecast Balance Sheet: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,195 8,871 8,099 9,323 9,413 8,743 8,275 7,952
Change - 23.29% -8.7% 15.11% 0.97% -7.12% -5.35% -3.9%
Announcement Date 16/02/22 14/02/23 20/02/24 19/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,653 1,882 1,850 1,772 1,523 1,806 1,905 1,970
Change - 13.85% -1.7% -4.22% -14.05% 18.59% 5.46% 3.42%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,008 2,337 1,622 1,457 2,425 1,370 1,178 1,032
Change - 16.38% -30.59% -10.17% 66.44% -43.51% -14.05% -12.4%
Announcement Date 16/02/22 14/02/23 20/02/24 19/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Carrefour

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.24% 5.67% 5.47% 5.43% 5.49% 5.7% 5.72% 5.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 2.92% 2.72% 2.59% 2.63% 2.91% 3.02% 3.09%
EBT Margin (%) 2.24% 2.42% 1.61% 1.28% 1.9% 1.99% 1.99% 1.97%
Net margin (%) 1.47% 1.66% 1.99% 0.85% 0.39% 1.43% 1.43% 1.34%
FCF margin (%) 2.75% 2.87% 1.95% 1.71% 2.95% 1.67% 1.41% 1.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) 187.31% 173.37% 97.77% 201.52% 760.19% 116.46% 98.95% 90.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.25% 2.59% 2.94% 1.27% 0.57% 1.76% 1.84% 1.94%
ROE 11.38% 12.13% 11.5% 9.67% 10% 11.21% 11.52% 12.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.58x 1.92x 1.78x 2.01x 2.09x 1.87x 1.73x 1.6x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.58x 3.8x 4.99x 6.4x 3.88x 6.38x 7.03x 7.71x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.27% 2.31% 2.22% 2.07% 1.86% 2.2% 2.28% 2.31%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.33% 40.8% 40.58% 38.21% 33.8% 38.65% 39.93% 39.69%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 82.32% 80.53% 114.06% 121.62% 62.8% 131.83% 161.75% 190.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.842 5.651 6.513 6.409 5.783 3.711 3.847 3.57
Change - 16.69% 15.25% -1.59% -9.77% -35.82% 3.65% -7.2%
Dividend per Share 1 0.52 0.56 0.87 0.92 0.97 1.042 1.058 1.084
Change - 7.69% 55.36% 5.75% 5.43% 7.38% 1.53% 2.52%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.21 15.02 16.69 16.76 15.54 16.03 16.82 16.61
Change - 13.65% 11.18% 0.36% -7.24% 3.14% 4.93% -1.26%
EPS 1 1.362 1.8 2.324 1.013 0.4671 1.722 1.753 1.6
Change - 32.15% 29.11% -56.43% -53.87% 268.62% 1.81% -8.73%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 766,438 769,845 699,183 663,135 706,234 706,234 706,234 706,234
Announcement Date 16/02/22 14/02/23 20/02/24 19/02/25 17/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.92x 9.75x
PBR 1.07x 1.02x
EV / Sales 0.25x 0.24x
Yield 6.1% 6.19%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
17.08EUR
Average target price
15.77EUR
Spread / Average Target
-7.70%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. CA Stock
  4. Financials Carrefour