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Projected Income Statement: Woolworths Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 67,278 | 60,849 | 64,294 | 67,922 | 69,077 | 71,640 | 74,681 | 77,663 |
| Change | - | -9.56% | 5.66% | 5.64% | 1.7% | 3.71% | 4.25% | 3.99% |
| EBITDA 1 | 6,271 | 5,051 | 5,694 | 6,001 | 5,707 | 6,111 | 6,487 | 6,899 |
| Change | - | -19.45% | 12.73% | 5.39% | -4.9% | 7.08% | 6.15% | 6.36% |
| EBIT 1 | 3,663 | 2,690 | 3,116 | 3,223 | 2,754 | 3,058 | 3,321 | 3,618 |
| Change | - | -26.56% | 15.84% | 3.43% | -14.55% | 11.05% | 8.59% | 8.95% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -613 | -600 | -677 | -740 | -811 | -844.7 | -845.5 | -837.3 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 2,950 | 8,478 | 2,322 | 876 | 1,374 | 1,719 | 2,486 | 2,786 |
| Change | - | 187.39% | -72.61% | -62.27% | 56.85% | 25.13% | 44.58% | 12.09% |
| Net income 1 | 2,074 | 7,934 | 1,618 | 108 | 963 | 1,069 | 1,741 | 1,944 |
| Change | - | 282.55% | -79.61% | -93.33% | 791.67% | 10.96% | 62.9% | 11.69% |
| Announcement Date | 25/08/21 | 24/08/22 | 22/08/23 | 27/08/24 | 26/08/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Woolworths Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 13,860 | 15,777 | 14,660 | 15,504 | 15,989 | 15,904 | 15,715 | 15,420 |
| Change | - | 13.83% | -7.08% | 5.76% | 3.13% | -0.53% | -1.19% | -1.88% |
| Announcement Date | 25/08/21 | 24/08/22 | 22/08/23 | 27/08/24 | 26/08/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Woolworths Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,389 | 2,416 | 2,519 | 2,548 | 2,528 | 2,176 | 2,238 | 2,292 |
| Change | - | 1.13% | 4.26% | 1.15% | -0.78% | -13.93% | 2.84% | 2.45% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,235 | 962 | 2,235 | 1,811 | 2,022 | 2,231 | 2,500 | 2,794 |
| Change | - | -56.96% | 132.33% | -18.97% | 11.65% | 10.32% | 12.05% | 11.77% |
| Announcement Date | 25/08/21 | 24/08/22 | 22/08/23 | 27/08/24 | 26/08/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Woolworths Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: June | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 9.32% | 8.3% | 8.86% | 8.84% | 8.26% | 8.53% | 8.69% | 8.88% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 5.44% | 4.42% | 4.85% | 4.75% | 3.99% | 4.27% | 4.45% | 4.66% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 4.38% | 13.93% | 3.61% | 1.29% | 1.99% | 2.4% | 3.33% | 3.59% |
| Net margin (%) | 3.08% | 13.04% | 2.52% | 0.16% | 1.39% | 1.49% | 2.33% | 2.5% |
| FCF margin (%) | 3.32% | 1.58% | 3.48% | 2.67% | 2.93% | 3.11% | 3.35% | 3.6% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 107.76% | 12.13% | 138.13% | 1,676.85% | 209.97% | 208.76% | 143.6% | 143.7% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 3.87% | 4.18% | 4.59% | 5.06% | 4.09% | 5.86% | 6.11% | 6.99% |
| ROE | 29.72% | 41.15% | 24.76% | 28.9% | 26.98% | 30.96% | 33.43% | 33.81% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.21x | 3.12x | 2.57x | 2.58x | 2.8x | 2.6x | 2.42x | 2.23x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 6.2x | 16.4x | 6.56x | 8.56x | 7.91x | 7.13x | 6.29x | 5.52x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.55% | 3.97% | 3.92% | 3.75% | 3.66% | 3.04% | 3% | 2.95% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 38.1% | 47.83% | 44.24% | 42.46% | 44.3% | 35.6% | 34.49% | 33.23% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 106.89% | 251.14% | 112.71% | 140.7% | 125.02% | 97.54% | 89.52% | 82.05% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3.662 | 2.746 | 3.887 | 3.6 | 3.703 | 3.555 | 4.017 | 4.222 |
| Change | - | -25.02% | 41.54% | -7.38% | 2.86% | -4.01% | 13.01% | 5.1% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.04 | 1.44 | 0.84 | 0.9403 | 1.056 | 1.186 |
| Change | - | -14.81% | 13.04% | 38.46% | -41.67% | 11.94% | 12.32% | 12.26% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 10.88 | 4.926 | 5.272 | 4.427 | 3.978 | 4.028 | 4.464 | 4.943 |
| Change | - | -54.72% | 7.02% | -16.03% | -10.13% | 1.26% | 10.8% | 10.75% |
| EPS 1 | 1.642 | 6.448 | 1.323 | 0.089 | 0.784 | 0.8635 | 1.419 | 1.589 |
| Change | - | 292.69% | -79.48% | -93.27% | 780.9% | 10.14% | 64.36% | 11.94% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,266,170 | 1,208,827 | 1,213,902 | 1,221,098 | 1,221,095 | 1,221,499 | 1,221,499 | 1,221,499 |
| Announcement Date | 25/08/21 | 24/08/22 | 22/08/23 | 27/08/24 | 26/08/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 46.5x | 28.3x |
| PBR | 9.97x | 9x |
| EV / Sales | 0.91x | 0.87x |
| Yield | 2.34% | 2.63% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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