Projected Income Statement: The Hershey Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: The Hershey Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,700 4,327 4,412 4,371 4,477 4,236 3,902 3,517
Change - -7.94% 1.96% -0.93% 2.43% -5.39% -7.88% -9.87%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: The Hershey Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 495.9 519.5 771.1 605.9 454.6 460.9 496.1 507.8
Change - 4.76% 48.44% -21.42% -24.97% 1.39% 7.63% 2.36%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,587 1,808 1,552 1,926 1,823 1,732 2,114 2,229
Change - 13.95% -14.17% 24.07% -5.34% -4.99% 22.05% 5.45%
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: The Hershey Company

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 26.4% 26.72% 27.93% 27.23% 21.16% 24.55% 26.88% 27.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.89% 23.09% 24.17% 23.17% 16.85% 20.47% 22.83% 23.37%
EBT Margin (%) 20.03% 18.4% 19.45% 22.08% 10.38% 18.23% 21.15% 21.99%
Net margin (%) 16.47% 15.79% 16.68% 19.83% 7.55% 13.75% 15.82% 16.46%
FCF margin (%) 17.69% 17.36% 13.9% 17.19% 15.59% 14.14% 16.79% 17.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) 107.41% 109.94% 83.37% 86.69% 206.37% 102.86% 106.14% 104.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.28% 16.48% 17.25% 15.35% 9.62% 12.03% 13.88% 14.54%
ROE 59.77% 58.12% 53.27% 43.27% 27.45% 35.21% 38.92% 38.83%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.98x 1.55x 1.41x 1.43x 1.81x 1.41x 1.15x 0.99x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.96x 2.39x 2.84x 2.27x 2.46x 2.45x 1.85x 1.58x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.53% 4.99% 6.91% 5.41% 3.89% 3.76% 3.94% 3.93%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.93% 18.66% 24.72% 19.86% 18.37% 15.33% 14.66% 14.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 31.25% 28.73% 49.68% 31.47% 24.94% 26.62% 23.47% 22.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.03 11.27 11.3 12.44 11.2 12.15 13.83 15.12
Change - 12.4% 0.3% 10.07% -9.99% 8.54% 13.82% 9.27%
Dividend per Share 1 3.41 3.874 4.456 5.48 5.48 5.775 6.029 6.366
Change - 13.61% 15.02% 22.98% 0% 5.39% 4.4% 5.58%
Book Value Per Share 1 13.27 15.97 19.96 23.17 22.86 24.31 25.96 27.89
Change - 20.36% 24.97% 16.07% -1.34% 6.35% 6.79% 7.42%
EPS 1 7.11 7.96 9.06 10.92 4.34 7.985 9.709 10.43
Change - 11.95% 13.82% 20.53% -60.26% 83.98% 21.6% 7.4%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 206,004 205,083 204,498 202,355 202,785 202,843 202,843 202,843
Announcement Date 03/02/22 02/02/23 08/02/24 06/02/25 05/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 21.4x 17.6x
PBR 7.02x 6.57x
EV / Sales 3.17x 3.06x
Yield 3.38% 3.53%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
170.63USD
Average target price
210.81USD
Spread / Average Target
+23.55%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  3. HSY Stock
  4. Financials The Hershey Company