Projected Income Statement: Southwest Airlines Co.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Southwest Airlines Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -4,777 -4,204 -3,467 -2,026 1,670 3,256 3,349 4,379
Change - 11.99% 17.53% 41.56% 182.43% 94.97% 2.86% 30.76%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Southwest Airlines Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 505 3,924 3,520 2,054 2,673 3,190 3,213 3,330
Change - 677.03% -10.3% -41.65% 30.14% 19.35% 0.71% 3.65%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,817 -134 -356 -1,592 -831 665 918.6 1,125
Change - -107.37% -165.67% -347.19% 47.8% 180.02% 38.14% 22.44%
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Southwest Airlines Co.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -0.06% 10.38% 9.28% 7.69% 7.48% 13.78% 14.23% 14.2%
EBIT Margin (%) -8.11% 4.7% 3.45% 1.66% 1.92% 8.63% 9.08% 9.12%
EBT Margin (%) 8.39% 3.06% 2.59% 2.18% 2.01% 8.93% 8.83% 8.74%
Net margin (%) 6.19% 2.26% 1.91% 1.69% 1.57% 6.52% 6.76% 6.53%
FCF margin (%) 11.51% -0.56% -1.36% -5.79% -2.96% 2.1% 2.78% 3.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 185.98% -24.86% -71.49% -342.37% -188.44% 32.19% 41.11% 50.09%

Profitability

        
ROA -3.58% 2.02% 2.74% 1.32% 1.63% 7.19% 7.66% 5.5%
ROE -13.18% 6.85% 9.29% 4.46% 5.59% 26.17% 24.11% 22.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.8x 0.75x 0.71x 0.9x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -2.01x 4.9x 3.65x 3.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.2% 16.48% 13.49% 7.47% 9.52% 10.07% 9.73% 9.68%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -5,611.11% 158.8% 145.33% 97.16% 127.35% 73.08% 68.35% 68.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 27.79% -2,928.36% -988.76% -129.02% -321.66% 479.75% 349.76% 296.08%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.813 5.903 4.944 0.7185 3.301 7.034 7.817 7.84
Change - 54.83% -16.26% -85.47% 359.44% 113.08% 11.14% 0.29%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.72 0.72 - 0.756 0.7823 0.7886
Change - - - 0% - - 3.47% 0.81%
Book Value Per Share 1 17.59 18.02 17.67 17.44 14.78 15.87 19.64 23.63
Change - 2.45% -1.94% -1.29% -15.28% 7.41% 23.74% 20.31%
EPS 1 1.61 0.87 0.81 0.76 0.79 4.062 4.39 4.725
Change - -45.96% -6.9% -6.17% 3.95% 414.24% 8.07% 7.62%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 591,920 593,752 596,115 599,737 517,155 491,318 491,318 491,318
Announcement Date 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 30/01/25 28/01/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.6x 11.6x
PBR 3.22x 2.6x
EV / Sales 0.9x 0.86x
Yield 1.48% 1.53%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
51.11USD
Average target price
47.47USD
Spread / Average Target
-7.11%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. LUV Stock
  4. Financials Southwest Airlines Co.