Projected Income Statement: Accor

Forecast Balance Sheet: Accor

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,844 1,658 2,074 2,495 3,064 3,058 3,011 2,927
Change - -10.09% 25.09% 20.3% 22.81% -0.2% -1.54% -2.79%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Accor

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 354 343 478 293 197 241.5 267.9 284.3
Change - -3.11% 39.36% -38.7% -32.76% 22.59% 10.92% 6.14%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -588 400 398 440 613 707 754.5 855.9
Change - 168.03% -0.5% 10.55% 39.32% 15.33% 6.72% 13.44%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Accor

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 1% 15.98% 19.84% 19.98% 21.3% 21.64% 22.35% 22.9%
EBIT Margin (%) -10.34% 10.58% 14.3% 14.02% 14.31% 15.85% 16.77% 17.49%
EBT Margin (%) -2.54% 10.87% 13.43% 15.16% 11.54% 13.27% 14.57% 15.42%
Net margin (%) 3.86% 9.52% 12.52% 10.88% 7.96% 9.19% 9.94% 10.55%
FCF margin (%) -26.68% 9.47% 7.87% 7.85% 10.87% 11.98% 11.97% 12.78%
FCF / Net Income (%) -691.76% 99.5% 62.88% 72.13% 136.53% 130.37% 120.44% 121.15%

Profitability

        
ROA -5.15% 3.58% 5.53% 5.23% 3.77% 4.45% 5.02% 5.61%
ROE -13.02% 8.61% 15.84% 12.25% 12.51% 13.51% 16.06% 18.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 83.82x 2.46x 2.07x 2.23x 2.55x 2.39x 2.14x 1.91x
Debt / Free cash flow -3.14x 4.14x 5.21x 5.67x 5x 4.33x 3.99x 3.42x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.06% 8.12% 9.45% 5.23% 3.49% 4.09% 4.25% 4.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1,609.09% 50.81% 47.66% 26.16% 16.4% 18.91% 19.02% 18.55%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -60.2% 85.75% 120.1% 66.59% 32.14% 34.16% 35.51% 33.22%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.8944 1.943 2.522 2.976 3.378 4.111 4.658 4.665
Change - 317.24% 29.81% 17.97% 13.53% 21.69% 13.29% 0.16%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.71 1.05 1.18 1.26 1.463 1.669 1.859
Change - - 47.89% 12.38% 6.78% 16.09% 14.13% 11.34%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.63 16.59 15.3 20.48 17.9 16 16.93 17.12
Change - 6.09% -7.74% 33.83% -12.6% -10.62% 5.85% 1.1%
EPS 1 0.19 1.39 2.22 2.33 1.61 2.299 2.684 3.08
Change - 631.58% 59.71% 4.95% -30.9% 42.82% 16.71% 14.77%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 258,225 257,174 260,110 238,847 234,673 224,944 224,944 224,944
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 19/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 19.8x 17x
PBR 2.85x 2.69x
EV / Sales 2.25x 2.1x
Yield 3.21% 3.66%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
45.55EUR
Average target price
55.78EUR
Spread / Average Target
+22.45%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise