Projected Income Statement: Accor

Forecast Balance Sheet: Accor

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,346 1,844 1,658 2,074 2,495 2,508 2,467 2,365
Change - 37% -10.09% 25.09% 20.3% 0.52% -1.63% -4.13%
Announcement Date 24/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Accor

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 175 354 343 478 293 309.9 274.3 344
Change - 102.29% -3.11% 39.36% -38.7% 5.78% -11.49% 25.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -638 -588 400 398 440 624.8 675.1 755.7
Change - 7.84% 168.03% -0.5% 10.55% 42% 8.05% 11.94%
Announcement Date 24/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Accor

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -24.12% 1% 15.98% 19.84% 19.98% 20.56% 21.19% 21.92%
EBIT Margin (%) -41.02% -10.34% 10.58% 14.3% 14.02% 14.67% 15.49% 16.36%
EBT Margin (%) -142.44% -2.54% 10.87% 13.43% 15.16% 14.47% 15.1% 15.82%
Net margin (%) -122.64% 3.86% 9.52% 12.52% 10.88% 9.81% 10.23% 10.8%
FCF margin (%) -39.36% -26.68% 9.47% 7.87% 7.85% 10.6% 10.8% 11.42%
FCF / Net Income (%) 32.09% -691.76% 99.5% 62.88% 72.13% 108.06% 105.6% 105.76%

Profitability

        
ROA -16.24% -5.15% 3.58% 5.53% 5.23% 4.97% 5.42% 5.97%
ROE -36.43% -13.02% 8.61% 15.84% 12.25% 11.84% 13.31% 14.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -3.44x 83.82x 2.46x 2.07x 2.23x 2.07x 1.86x 1.63x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.11x -3.14x 4.14x 5.21x 5.67x 4.01x 3.65x 3.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.8% 16.06% 8.12% 9.45% 5.23% 5.26% 4.39% 5.2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -44.76% 1,609.09% 50.81% 47.66% 26.16% 25.58% 20.71% 23.72%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -27.43% -60.2% 85.75% 120.1% 66.59% 49.61% 40.64% 45.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.766 -0.8944 1.943 2.522 2.976 3.776 4.245 4.676
Change - 49.34% 317.24% 29.81% 17.97% 26.91% 12.43% 10.14%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.71 1.05 1.18 1.332 1.487 1.691
Change - - - 47.89% 12.38% 12.91% 11.58% 13.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.66 15.63 16.59 15.3 20.48 20.45 20.56 21.31
Change - -0.13% 6.09% -7.74% 33.83% -0.12% 0.53% 3.61%
EPS 1 -7.71 0.19 1.39 2.22 2.33 2.331 2.652 3.027
Change - 102.46% 631.58% 59.71% 4.95% 0.05% 13.75% 14.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 257,469 258,225 257,174 260,110 238,847 240,615 240,615 240,615
Announcement Date 24/02/21 24/02/22 23/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 20.7x 18.2x
PBR 2.36x 2.34x
EV / Sales 2.39x 2.25x
Yield 2.76% 3.08%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
48.22EUR
Average target price
54.30EUR
Spread / Average Target
+12.60%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise