Projected Income Statement: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 - 48,828 67,509 56,293 41,284 34,767 34,135 -
Change - - 38.26% -16.61% -26.66% -15.79% -1.82% -
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,071 9,407 11,073 10,523 7,003 4,891 5,384 6,539
Change - 33.03% 17.7% -4.96% -33.46% -30.16% 10.08% 21.46%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - -8,682 -10,348 4,398 - -3,202 2,430 1,836
Change - - -19.19% 142.5% - - 175.89% -24.44%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.89% 4.67% 2.74% 2.77% 3.09% 3.69% 4% 4.37%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.58% 2.84% 1.48% 1.35% 1.52% 1.92% 2.26% 2.43%
EBT Margin (%) 4.59% 2.73% 1.5% 1.36% 1.53% 1.95% 2.27% 2.44%
Net margin (%) 3.08% 1.83% 1.17% 1.13% 1.05% 1.51% 1.78% 2.03%
FCF margin (%) - -3.84% -4.02% 1.75% - -1.26% 0.9% 0.59%
FCF / Net Income (%) - -210.14% -343.65% 154.42% - -83.63% 50.45% 29.07%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.43% 2.14% 1.38% 1.22% 1.08% 1.63% 1.93% 2.27%
ROE 8.63% 4.9% 3.4% 3.2% 2.7% 4.01% 4.88% 5.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 4.63x 9.56x 8.08x 5.59x 3.71x 3.15x -
Debt / Free cash flow - -5.62x -6.52x 12.8x - -10.86x 14.05x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.63% 4.16% 4.3% 4.18% 2.93% 1.93% 1.99% 2.1%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.57% 89.12% 156.79% 151.12% 94.79% 52.22% 49.71% 48.03%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -108.35% -107.01% 239.3% - -152.74% 221.55% 356.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2211 0.1334 0.1338 2.752 0.9212 1.435 1.77 1.57
Change - -39.67% 0.3% 1,956.88% -66.53% 55.78% 23.34% -11.3%
Dividend per Share 1 0.111 0.077 0.077 0.111 0.111 0.155 0.1843 -
Change - -30.63% 0% 44.16% 0% 39.64% 18.93% -
Book Value Per Share 1 15.4 15.99 16.36 16.88 17.29 17.92 18.64 19.67
Change - 3.83% 2.31% 3.18% 2.43% 3.67% 3.97% 5.53%
EPS 1 1.2 0.76 0.56 0.53 0.46 0.704 0.8489 1.075
Change - -36.67% -26.32% -5.36% -13.21% 53.05% 20.58% 26.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 41.8x 34.7x
PBR 1.64x 1.58x
EV / Sales 0.77x 0.72x
Yield 0.53% 0.63%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
29.43CNY
Average target price
34.60CNY
Spread / Average Target
+17.57%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 300999 Stock
  4. Financials Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd