Projected Income Statement: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 - 48,828 67,509 56,293 41,284 33,335 29,615 -
Change - - 38.26% -16.61% -26.66% -19.25% -11.16% -
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,071 9,407 11,073 10,523 7,003 5,744 5,818 7,171
Change - 33.03% 17.7% -4.96% -33.46% -17.98% 1.29% 23.26%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - -8,682 -10,348 4,398 - 1,400 865 1,836
Change - - -19.19% 142.5% - - -38.21% 112.25%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.89% 4.67% 2.74% 2.77% 3.09% 3.66% 4.09% 4.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.58% 2.84% 1.48% 1.35% 1.52% 1.87% 2.21% 2.23%
EBT Margin (%) 4.59% 2.73% 1.5% 1.36% 1.53% 1.9% 2.23% 2.24%
Net margin (%) 3.08% 1.83% 1.17% 1.13% 1.05% 1.41% 1.66% 1.7%
FCF margin (%) - -3.84% -4.02% 1.75% - 0.56% 0.32% 0.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) - -210.14% -343.65% 154.42% - 39.3% 19.42% 35.58%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.43% 2.14% 1.38% 1.22% 1.08% 1.72% 2.03% 2.27%
ROE 8.63% 4.9% 3.4% 3.2% 2.7% 3.71% 4.48% 4.96%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 4.63x 9.56x 8.08x 5.59x 3.62x 2.7x -
Debt / Free cash flow - -5.62x -6.52x 12.8x - 23.81x 34.24x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.63% 4.16% 4.3% 4.18% 2.93% 2.28% 2.17% 2.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.57% 89.12% 156.79% 151.12% 94.79% 62.3% 53.01% 52.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -108.35% -107.01% 239.3% - 410.26% 672.6% 390.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2211 0.1334 0.1338 2.752 0.9212 1.09 1.518 0.46
Change - -39.67% 0.3% 1,956.88% -66.53% 18.32% 39.22% -69.69%
Dividend per Share 1 0.111 0.077 0.077 0.111 0.111 0.1653 0.1943 -
Change - -30.63% 0% 44.16% 0% 48.95% 17.55% -
Book Value Per Share 1 15.4 15.99 16.36 16.88 17.29 17.79 18.43 19.05
Change - 3.83% 2.31% 3.18% 2.43% 2.88% 3.63% 3.33%
EPS 1 1.2 0.76 0.56 0.53 0.46 0.6575 0.8203 0.952
Change - -36.67% -26.32% -5.36% -13.21% 42.94% 24.76% 16.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 45.8x 36.7x
PBR 1.69x 1.63x
EV / Sales 0.78x 0.72x
Yield 0.55% 0.65%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
30.09CNY
Average target price
34.32CNY
Spread / Average Target
+14.06%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 300999 Stock
  4. Financials Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd