Projected Income Statement: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 - 48,828 67,509 56,293 41,284 34,767 34,135 -
Change - - 38.26% -16.61% -26.66% -15.79% -1.82% -
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 26/02/26 - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,071 9,407 11,073 10,523 7,003 4,891 6,650 8,079
Change - 33.03% 17.7% -4.96% -33.46% -30.16% 35.97% 21.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - -8,682 -10,348 4,398 - -3,202 2,430 -
Change - - -19.19% 142.5% - - 175.89% -100%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.89% 4.67% 2.74% 2.77% 3.09% 3.69% 4.01% 4.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.58% 2.84% 1.48% 1.35% 1.52% 2.14% 2.29% 2.45%
EBT Margin (%) 4.59% 2.73% 1.5% 1.36% 1.53% 1.99% 2.3% 2.46%
Net margin (%) 3.08% 1.83% 1.17% 1.13% 1.05% 1.29% 1.59% 1.92%
FCF margin (%) - -3.84% -4.02% 1.75% - -1.26% 0.91% -
FCF / Net Income (%) - -210.14% -343.65% 154.42% - -83.63% 56.92% -

Profitability

        
ROA 3.43% 2.14% 1.38% 1.22% 1.08% 1.39% 1.88% 2.12%
ROE 8.63% 4.9% 3.4% 3.2% 2.7% 3.32% 4.3% 5.63%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 4.63x 9.56x 8.08x 5.59x 3.71x 3.18x -
Debt / Free cash flow - -5.62x -6.52x 12.8x - -10.86x 14.05x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.63% 4.16% 4.3% 4.18% 2.93% 1.93% 2.48% 2.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.57% 89.12% 156.79% 151.12% 94.79% 52.22% 61.89% 60.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -108.35% -107.01% 239.3% - -152.74% 273.66% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2211 0.1334 0.1338 2.752 0.9212 1.435 1.577 0.58
Change - -39.67% 0.3% 1,956.88% -66.53% 55.78% 9.87% -63.21%
Dividend per Share 1 0.111 0.077 0.077 0.111 0.111 0.155 0.1843 -
Change - -30.63% 0% 44.16% 0% 39.64% 18.93% -
Book Value Per Share 1 15.4 15.99 16.36 16.88 17.29 17.79 18.6 19.56
Change - 3.83% 2.31% 3.18% 2.43% 2.89% 3.74% 5.2%
EPS 1 1.2 0.76 0.56 0.53 0.46 0.58 0.8421 1.073
Change - -36.67% -26.32% -5.36% -13.21% 26.09% 19.61% 27.46%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592 5,421,592
Announcement Date 22/02/21 22/02/22 21/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 26/02/26 - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 49.6x 33.7x
PBR 1.62x 1.53x
EV / Sales 0.64x 0.7x
Yield 0.55% 0.65%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
28.40CNY
Average target price
34.20CNY
Spread / Average Target
+20.42%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 300999 Stock
  4. Financials Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd