Projected Income Statement: Vistra Corp.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Vistra Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 9,224 9,406 12,591 10,917 15,110 16,959 16,468 14,399
Change - 1.97% 33.86% -13.3% 38.41% 12.24% -2.9% -12.56%
Announcement Date 26/02/21 25/02/22 01/03/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Vistra Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 770 1,033 1,301 1,676 2,078 2,300 2,320 2,268
Change - 34.16% 25.94% 28.82% 23.99% 10.68% 0.85% -2.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,567 -1,239 -816 3,777 2,485 3,035 3,759 4,838
Change - -148.27% 34.14% 562.87% -34.21% 22.12% 23.87% 28.69%
Announcement Date 26/02/21 25/02/22 01/03/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Vistra Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.2% 15.8% 21.81% 27.75% 32.16% 30.05% 31.69% 33%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.31% -12.54% -8.03% 18.34% 23.69% 17.67% 21.85% 22.99%
EBT Margin (%) 7.78% -14.26% -11.36% 13.53% 13.99% 12.56% 17.82% 19.22%
Net margin (%) 5.56% -10.55% -10.03% 9.09% 14.32% 8.57% 12.95% 14.35%
FCF margin (%) 22.43% -10.26% -5.94% 25.56% 14.43% 15.41% 16.59% 19.82%
FCF / Net Income (%) 403.62% 97.25% 59.26% 281.24% 100.73% 179.86% 128.09% 138.14%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.24% -4.64% -4.41% 4.08% 6.98% 6.25% 8.07% 9.3%
ROE 10.28% -15.29% -20.87% 26.31% 45.36% 45.47% 44.48% 47.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.5x 4.93x 4.21x 2.66x 2.73x 2.87x 2.29x 1.79x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.59x -7.59x -15.43x 2.89x 6.08x 5.59x 4.38x 2.98x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.73% 8.55% 9.48% 11.34% 12.06% 11.68% 10.24% 9.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.9% 54.14% 43.45% 40.87% 37.52% 38.88% 32.31% 28.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 30% -83.37% -159.44% 44.37% 83.62% 75.79% 61.71% 46.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.795 -0.4272 1.148 14.53 12.94 14.32 16.66 21.4
Change - -106.29% 368.73% 1,166.03% -10.95% 10.64% 16.34% 28.46%
Dividend per Share 1 0.54 0.6 0.72 0.821 0.8735 0.923 0.9619 1.027
Change - 11.11% 20% 14.03% 6.39% 5.66% 4.22% 6.78%
Book Value Per Share 1 17.11 17.68 12.58 15.1 16.4 14.62 21.45 23.79
Change - 3.32% -28.84% 20.06% 8.59% -10.81% 46.64% 10.91%
EPS 1 1.3 -2.69 -3.26 3.58 7 4.936 8.765 10.64
Change - -306.92% -21.19% 209.82% 95.53% -29.48% 77.56% 21.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 489,134 482,628 397,954 357,552 340,226 338,825 338,825 338,825
Announcement Date 26/02/21 25/02/22 01/03/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 32.4x 18.3x
PBR 10.9x 7.46x
EV / Sales 3.62x 3.12x
Yield 0.58% 0.6%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
160.02USD
Average target price
230.05USD
Spread / Average Target
+43.76%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. VST Stock
  4. Financials Vistra Corp.