Projected Income Statement: The Mosaic Company

Forecast Balance Sheet: The Mosaic Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 4,004 3,512 2,887 3,413 3,952 4,067 3,917 3,585
Change - -12.29% -17.8% 18.22% 15.79% 2.91% -3.69% -8.48%
Announcement Date 17/02/21 22/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: The Mosaic Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,171 1,289 1,247 1,402 1,252 1,293 1,206 1,183
Change - 10.08% -3.21% 12.43% -10.74% 3.32% -6.77% -1.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 412 898.4 2,688 1,005 47.4 491.7 734.5 833
Change - 118.06% 199.25% -62.63% -95.28% 937.27% 49.38% 13.42%
Announcement Date 17/02/21 22/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: The Mosaic Company

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18% 29.01% 32.5% 20.16% 19.8% 20.66% 18.84% 19.68%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.06% 22.19% 27.48% 12.91% 10.29% 10.97% 9.79% 10.89%
EBT Margin (%) 2.08% 18% 24.27% 9.68% 2.84% 12.97% 7.2% 8.29%
Net margin (%) 7.67% 13.2% 18.73% 8.51% 1.57% 9.95% 5.96% 6.83%
FCF margin (%) 4.75% 7.27% 14.06% 7.34% 0.43% 4.04% 5.82% 6.68%
FCF / Net Income (%) 61.85% 55.1% 75.04% 86.26% 27.1% 40.59% 97.65% 97.84%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.66% 9.2% 15.78% 5.02% 0.76% 3.81% 2.99% 2.77%
ROE 3.45% 19.06% 31.62% 9.77% 5.34% 7.17% 5.99% 6.08%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.56x 0.98x 0.46x 1.24x 1.79x 1.62x 1.65x 1.46x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.72x 3.91x 1.07x 3.4x 83.38x 8.27x 5.33x 4.3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.48% 10.43% 6.52% 10.24% 11.25% 10.62% 9.56% 9.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 74.89% 35.94% 20.07% 50.79% 56.85% 51.43% 50.77% 48.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 284.13% 143.43% 46.39% 139.57% 2,640.93% 263.05% 164.17% 141.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.15 5.731 11.06 7.224 4.051 4.008 4.892 6.375
Change - 38.08% 92.91% -34.65% -43.93% -1.06% 22.04% 30.33%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2 0.275 0.6 1.05 0.85 0.8756 0.8906 0.9109
Change - 37.5% 118.18% 75% -19.05% 3.01% 1.72% 2.28%
Book Value Per Share 1 25.27 27.19 30.84 37.92 36.23 39.49 40.99 42.9
Change - 7.59% 13.43% 22.94% -4.46% 9% 3.79% 4.66%
EPS 1 1.75 4.27 10.06 3.5 0.55 3.792 2.337 2.466
Change - 144% 135.6% -65.21% -84.29% 589.44% -38.37% 5.51%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 379,090 378,955 340,481 326,835 317,645 317,408 317,408 317,408
Announcement Date 17/02/21 22/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 7.59x 12.3x
PBR 0.73x 0.7x
EV / Sales 1.08x 1.04x
Yield 3.04% 3.09%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
28.79USD
Average target price
32.46USD
Spread / Average Target
+12.73%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. MOS Stock
  4. Financials The Mosaic Company