Projected Income Statement: TF1

Forecast Balance Sheet: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 93.1 -135 -326 -505 -506 -547 -466 -601
Change - -245.01% -141.48% -54.91% -0.2% -8.08% 14.81% -28.97%
Announcement Date 11/02/21 11/02/22 15/02/23 15/02/24 13/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 319.3 324.5 312.2 297.8 279.9 292 325 297.5
Change - 1.63% -3.79% -4.61% -6.01% 4.32% 11.3% -8.46%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 161.1 318 151.1 328.8 195.1 159.2 4.7 224.4
Change - 97.39% -52.48% 117.6% -40.66% -18.4% -97.05% 4,674.47%
Announcement Date 11/02/21 11/02/22 15/02/23 15/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.65% 29.43% 30.39% 27.54% 29.71% 28.97% 26.38% 29.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.13% 14.14% 12.61% 12.31% 12.27% 10.53% 7.77% 9.95%
EBT Margin (%) 4.92% 13.3% 11.44% 11.13% 11.84% 10.27% 7.4% 6.63%
Net margin (%) 2.66% 9.28% 7.02% 8.36% 8.74% 6.65% 5.48% 7.31%
FCF margin (%) 7.74% 13.1% 6.03% 14.32% 8.28% 6.86% 0.21% 9.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 291.32% 141.15% 85.8% 171.34% 94.71% 109.16% 3.84% 131.72%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.07% 6.59% 4.78% 5.87% 5.81% 4.22% 3.73% 4.36%
ROE 6.52% 13.84% 9.7% 11.24% 10.96% 7.9% 5.68% 7.46%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.21x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.58x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.34% 13.37% 12.45% 12.97% 11.88% 12.59% 14.55% 12.76%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 70.86% 45.44% 40.97% 47.09% 39.99% 43.67% 55.16% 42.86%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 198.2% 102.04% 206.62% 90.57% 143.46% 183.42% 6,914.89% 132.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.284 3.053 2.201 2.971 2.252 2.453 2.117 2.355
Change - 33.67% -27.91% 35% -24.23% 8.93% -13.69% 11.23%
Dividend per Share 1 0.45 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.624 0.6675 0.694
Change - 0% 11.11% 10% 9.09% 4% 6.97% 3.97%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.591 8.402 8.85 9.265 9.691 9.957 9.666 10.18
Change - 10.68% 5.34% 4.68% 4.6% 2.75% -2.93% 5.27%
EPS 1 0.26 1.07 0.83 0.91 0.97 0.72 0.5386 0.7823
Change - 311.54% -22.43% 9.64% 6.59% -25.77% -26.84% 45.24%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 210,393 210,486 210,486 210,898 211,022 210,925 210,925 210,925
Announcement Date 11/02/21 11/02/22 15/02/23 15/02/24 13/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 11.6x 13.6x
PBR 0.74x 0.76x
EV / Sales 0.76x 0.48x
Yield 8.52% 9.11%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
7.325EUR
Average target price
9.167EUR
Spread / Average Target
+25.14%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise