TESCO PLC |
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 365.80 GBX | +0.08% |
|
+0.38% | +25.96% |
| 09-18 | UK supermarket sales growth slows after summer holidays | RE |
| 09-12 | UK Supreme Court Blocks Tesco from Using 'Fire and Rehire' Tactics | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Tesco PLC
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 64,760 | 57,887 | 61,344 | 65,762 | 68,187 | 70,004 | 71,564 | 73,016 |
| Change | - | -10.61% | 5.97% | 7.2% | 3.69% | 2.66% | 2.23% | 2.03% |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,942 | 3,353 | 4,543 | 4,330 | 4,544 | 4,662 | 4,800 | 4,903 |
| Change | - | -32.15% | 35.49% | -4.69% | 4.94% | 2.59% | 2.97% | 2.13% |
| EBIT 1 | 3,005 | 1,815 | 2,825 | 2,630 | 2,821 | 2,965 | 3,081 | 3,165 |
| Change | - | -39.6% | 55.65% | -6.9% | 7.26% | 5.11% | 3.89% | 2.73% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -1,221 | -922 | -542 | -533 | -538 | -545.3 | -541.3 | -538.7 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,315 | 825 | 2,033 | 1,000 | 2,277 | 2,399 | 2,511 | 2,653 |
| Change | - | -37.26% | 146.42% | -50.81% | 127.7% | 5.34% | 4.71% | 5.65% |
| Net income 1 | 971 | 6,143 | 1,481 | 745 | 1,736 | 1,751 | 1,825 | 1,916 |
| Change | - | 532.65% | -75.89% | -49.7% | 133.02% | 0.84% | 4.28% | 4.99% |
| Announcement Date | 08/04/20 | 14/04/21 | 13/04/22 | 13/04/23 | 10/04/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: Tesco PLC
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 12,298 | 12,000 | 10,516 | 10,493 | 9,764 | 9,602 | 9,862 | 9,694 |
| Change | - | -2.42% | -12.37% | -0.22% | -6.95% | -1.66% | 2.71% | -1.7% |
| Announcement Date | 08/04/20 | 14/04/21 | 13/04/22 | 13/04/23 | 10/04/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: Tesco PLC
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,003 | 1,171 | 949 | 971 | 1,386 | 1,370 | 1,391 | 1,399 |
| Change | - | 16.75% | -18.96% | 2.32% | 42.74% | -1.12% | 1.47% | 0.58% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -965 | -569 | 2,808 | 2,751 | 2,453 | 1,654 | 1,680 | 1,681 |
| Change | - | -41.04% | -593.5% | -2.03% | -10.83% | -32.58% | 1.57% | 0.08% |
| Announcement Date | 08/04/20 | 14/04/21 | 13/04/22 | 13/04/23 | 10/04/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: Tesco PLC
| Fiscal Period: February | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 7.63% | 5.79% | 7.41% | 6.58% | 6.66% | 6.66% | 6.71% | 6.71% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 4.64% | 3.14% | 4.61% | 4% | 4.14% | 4.24% | 4.3% | 4.33% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 2.03% | 1.43% | 3.31% | 1.52% | 3.34% | 3.43% | 3.51% | 3.63% |
| Net margin (%) | 1.5% | 10.61% | 2.41% | 1.13% | 2.55% | 2.5% | 2.55% | 2.62% |
| FCF margin (%) | -1.49% | -0.98% | 4.58% | 4.18% | 3.6% | 2.36% | 2.35% | 2.3% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -99.38% | -9.26% | 189.6% | 369.26% | 141.3% | 94.47% | 92.01% | 87.71% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.78% | 2.04% | 4.5% | 3.54% | 3.79% | 3.73% | 3.71% | 3.75% |
| ROE | 7.26% | 7.84% | 10.68% | 12.12% | 14.72% | 15.43% | 15.24% | 16.03% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.49x | 3.58x | 2.31x | 2.42x | 2.15x | 2.06x | 2.05x | 1.98x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -12.74x | -21.09x | 3.75x | 3.81x | 3.98x | 5.81x | 5.87x | 5.77x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.55% | 2.02% | 1.55% | 1.48% | 2.03% | 1.96% | 1.94% | 1.92% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 20.3% | 34.92% | 20.89% | 22.42% | 30.5% | 29.4% | 28.97% | 28.53% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -103.94% | -205.8% | 33.8% | 35.3% | 56.5% | 82.87% | 82.79% | 83.21% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.00507 | 0.0623 | 0.485 | 0.4975 | 0.535 | 0.4887 | 0.5165 | 0.5419 |
| Change | - | 1,129.59% | 677.99% | 2.58% | 7.54% | -8.65% | 5.68% | 4.93% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.1159 | 0.0915 | 0.109 | 0.109 | 0.121 | 0.1298 | 0.1414 | 0.1531 |
| Change | - | -21.05% | 19.13% | 0% | 11.01% | 7.26% | 8.99% | 8.25% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1.735 | 1.282 | 2.045 | 1.673 | 1.626 | 1.667 | 1.713 | 1.786 |
| Change | - | -26.13% | 59.53% | -18.21% | -2.76% | 2.52% | 2.75% | 4.27% |
| EPS 1 | 0.1208 | 0.0754 | 0.1964 | 0.1008 | 0.2453 | 0.253 | 0.2722 | 0.29 |
| Change | - | -37.6% | 160.48% | -48.68% | 143.35% | 3.13% | 7.61% | 6.51% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 7,685,869 | 7,685,051 | 7,574,786 | 7,268,607 | 6,968,930 | 6,784,871 | 6,784,871 | 6,784,871 |
| Announcement Date | 08/04/20 | 14/04/21 | 13/04/22 | 13/04/23 | 10/04/24 | - | - | - |
1GBP
Estimates
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 14.4x | 13.4x |
| PBR | 2.19x | 2.13x |
| EV / Sales | 0.49x | 0.48x |
| Yield | 3.55% | 3.87% |
More valuation ratios
* Estimated data
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
A
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
3.655GBP
Average target price
3.665GBP
Spread / Average Target
+0.28%
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- TSCO Stock
- Financials Tesco PLC
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