Projected Income Statement: Tesco PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tesco PLC

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 10,516 10,493 9,764 9,454 10,563 10,559 10,367 10,274
Change - -0.22% -6.95% -3.17% 11.73% -0.04% -1.82% -0.9%
Announcement Date 13/04/22 13/04/23 10/04/24 10/04/25 16/04/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tesco PLC

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 949 971 1,386 1,539 1,666 1,596 1,616 1,639
Change - 2.32% 42.74% 11.04% 8.25% -4.23% 1.28% 1.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,808 2,751 2,453 1,383 2,240 1,895 2,046 2,164
Change - -2.03% -10.83% -43.62% 61.97% -15.4% 7.99% 5.72%
Announcement Date 13/04/22 13/04/23 10/04/24 10/04/25 16/04/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tesco PLC

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.41% 6.58% 6.66% 6.9% 6.79% 6.81% 6.89% 6.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.61% 4% 4.14% 4.47% 4.33% 4.35% 4.43% 4.5%
EBT Margin (%) 3.31% 1.52% 3.34% 3.17% 3.26% 3.53% 3.65% 3.74%
Net margin (%) 2.41% 1.13% 2.55% 2.33% 2.42% 2.59% 2.74% 2.87%
FCF margin (%) 4.58% 4.18% 3.6% 1.98% 3.04% 2.53% 2.66% 2.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) 189.6% 369.26% 141.3% 85.06% 125.35% 97.46% 97.06% 95.41%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.5% 3.54% 3.79% 4.41% 4.95% 5.01% 5.29% 5.58%
ROE 10.68% 12.12% 14.72% 16.23% 16.78% 17.03% 17.78% 18.33%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.31x 2.42x 2.15x 1.96x 2.11x 2.07x 1.95x 1.87x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.75x 3.81x 3.98x 6.84x 4.72x 5.57x 5.07x 4.75x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.55% 1.48% 2.03% 2.2% 2.26% 2.13% 2.1% 2.07%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.89% 22.42% 30.5% 31.9% 33.27% 31.26% 30.45% 29.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 33.8% 35.3% 56.5% 111.28% 74.38% 84.2% 78.97% 75.74%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.485 0.4975 0.535 0.4224 0.5913 0.5548 0.5715 0.6031
Change - 2.58% 7.54% -21.05% 39.99% -6.17% 3.01% 5.53%
Dividend per Share 1 0.109 0.109 0.121 0.137 0.145 0.1563 0.1703 0.1854
Change - 0% 11.01% 13.22% 5.84% 7.77% 8.97% 8.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.045 1.673 1.626 1.707 1.762 1.818 1.895 1.975
Change - -18.21% -2.76% 4.94% 3.21% 3.19% 4.23% 4.22%
EPS 1 0.1964 0.1008 0.2453 0.2351 0.271 0.3037 0.335 0.3661
Change - -48.68% 143.35% -4.16% 15.27% 12.06% 10.32% 9.28%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,574,218 7,268,607 6,968,930 6,696,942 6,355,483 6,327,565 6,327,565 6,327,565
Announcement Date 13/04/22 13/04/23 10/04/24 10/04/25 16/04/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E Ratio 15.2x 13.8x
PBR 2.54x 2.44x
EV / Sales 0.53x 0.51x
Yield 3.38% 3.68%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
4.624GBP
Average target price
5.160GBP
Spread / Average Target
+11.59%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. TSCO Stock
  4. Financials Tesco PLC
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