Projected Income Statement: Tesco PLC

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tesco PLC

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 12,000 10,516 10,493 9,764 9,454 11,321 11,080 10,966
Change - -12.37% -0.22% -6.95% -3.17% 19.75% -2.13% -1.03%
Announcement Date 14/04/21 13/04/22 13/04/23 10/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tesco PLC

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,171 949 971 1,386 1,539 1,488 1,497 1,546
Change - -18.96% 2.32% 42.74% 11.04% -3.32% 0.63% 3.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -569 2,808 2,751 2,453 1,383 1,806 1,876 2,102
Change - 593.5% -2.03% -10.83% -43.62% 30.56% 3.89% 12.09%
Announcement Date 14/04/21 13/04/22 13/04/23 10/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tesco PLC

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.79% 7.41% 6.58% 6.66% 6.9% 6.76% 6.83% 6.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.14% 4.61% 4% 4.14% 4.47% 4.23% 4.33% 4.41%
EBT Margin (%) 1.43% 3.31% 1.52% 3.34% 3.17% 3.37% 3.58% 3.72%
Net margin (%) 10.61% 2.41% 1.13% 2.55% 2.33% 2.43% 2.62% 2.7%
FCF margin (%) -0.98% 4.58% 4.18% 3.6% 1.98% 2.49% 2.51% 2.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) -9.26% 189.6% 369.26% 141.3% 85.06% 102.58% 96.02% 101.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.04% 4.5% 3.54% 3.79% 4.41% 4.72% 5.25% 5.51%
ROE 7.84% 10.68% 12.12% 14.72% 16.23% 16.26% 17.84% 18.54%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.58x 2.31x 2.42x 2.15x 1.96x 2.31x 2.17x 2.07x
Debt / Free cash flow -21.09x 3.75x 3.81x 3.98x 6.84x 6.27x 5.91x 5.22x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.02% 1.55% 1.48% 2.03% 2.2% 2.05% 2% 2.02%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.92% 20.89% 22.42% 30.5% 31.9% 30.39% 29.36% 29.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -205.8% 33.8% 35.3% 56.5% 111.28% 82.41% 79.82% 73.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0623 0.485 0.4975 0.535 0.4224 0.5033 0.5258 0.5642
Change - 677.99% 2.58% 7.54% -21.05% 19.17% 4.47% 7.3%
Dividend per Share 1 0.0915 0.109 0.109 0.121 0.137 0.1432 0.1582 0.1725
Change - 19.13% 0% 11.01% 13.22% 4.55% 10.45% 9.04%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.282 2.045 1.673 1.626 1.707 1.641 1.708 1.789
Change - 59.53% -18.21% -2.76% 4.94% -3.84% 4.09% 4.74%
EPS 1 0.0754 0.1964 0.1008 0.2453 0.2351 0.2652 0.3082 0.3352
Change - 160.48% -48.68% 143.35% -4.16% 12.79% 16.22% 8.75%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,685,051 7,580,532 7,268,607 6,986,530 6,696,942 6,400,243 6,400,243 6,400,243
Announcement Date 14/04/21 13/04/22 13/04/23 10/04/24 10/04/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 17.1x 14.7x
PBR 2.76x 2.65x
EV / Sales 0.56x 0.54x
Yield 3.16% 3.49%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
4.530GBP
Average target price
4.743GBP
Spread / Average Target
+4.71%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise