Projected Income Statement: Spire Healthcare Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Spire Healthcare Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,063 1,117 1,207 1,239 1,281 1,217 1,149 1,070
Change - 5.08% 8.06% 2.65% 3.39% -5% -5.59% -6.88%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 02/03/23 29/02/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Spire Healthcare Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 69.3 87.7 84.4 112.1 78.5 88.99 93.16 90.38
Change - 26.55% -3.76% 32.82% -29.97% 13.36% 4.69% -2.99%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 114.5 93.9 131.1 123.6 163.7 169.1 197.7 63.35
Change - -17.99% 39.62% -5.72% 32.44% 3.3% 16.91% -67.96%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 02/03/23 29/02/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Spire Healthcare Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.11% 16.98% 17.22% 17.2% 17% 16.81% 17.73% 17.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.33% 8.81% 9.6% 9.89% 9.53% 9.31% 10.45% 10.19%
EBT Margin (%) -0.17% 0.33% 2.55% 2.53% 1.18% 3.06% 5.21% 5.54%
Net margin (%) -0.88% 0.72% 2.01% 1.68% 1.04% 2.27% 3.81% 3.97%
FCF margin (%) 10.35% 7.83% 9.65% 8.18% 10.36% 10.51% 11.63% 3.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) -1,180.41% 1,091.86% 480.22% 486.61% 998.17% 462.94% 305.51% 89.47%

Profitability

        
ROA -1.32% 0.77% 1.23% 1.1% 1.62% 1.31% 2.47% 3.12%
ROE -4.04% 2.36% 3.71% 3.41% 5.14% 4.38% 8.45% 10.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.96x 5.49x 5.16x 4.76x 4.77x 4.5x 3.81x 3.35x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.28x 11.89x 9.21x 10.02x 7.83x 7.2x 5.81x 16.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.26% 7.32% 6.21% 7.42% 4.97% 5.53% 5.48% 5.07%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.89% 43.1% 36.07% 43.12% 29.23% 32.9% 30.91% 28.3%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 60.52% 93.4% 64.38% 90.7% 47.95% 52.63% 47.12% 142.66%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4585 0.4407 0.5216 0.5729 0.5976 0.4918 0.5928 0.6324
Change - -3.89% 18.36% 9.84% 4.31% -17.7% 20.53% 6.67%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.005 0.021 0.023 0.015 0.0204 0.0454 0.0375
Change - - 320% 9.52% -34.78% 35.87% 122.77% -17.49%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 1.822 1.832 1.86 1.854 1.583 1.694 1.834
Change - - 0.54% 1.51% -0.3% -14.64% 7.05% 8.22%
EPS 1 -0.024 0.021 0.066 0.062 0.04 0.0892 0.1584 0.1747
Change - 187.5% 214.29% -6.06% -35.48% 123% 77.54% 10.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 400,862 403,868 404,099 402,440 402,371 400,598 400,598 400,598
Announcement Date 03/03/22 02/03/23 29/02/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 24.3x 13.7x
PBR 1.37x 1.28x
EV / Sales 1.3x 1.19x
Yield 0.94% 2.1%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
2.165GBP
Average target price
2.562GBP
Spread / Average Target
+18.34%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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  4. Financials Spire Healthcare Group plc