Projected Income Statement: Phillips 66

Forecast Balance Sheet: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 11,301 11,057 16,036 18,324 18,600 15,870 13,424 10,741
Change - -2.16% 45.03% 14.27% 1.51% -14.68% -15.41% -19.99%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 31/01/23 31/01/24 31/01/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,860 2,194 2,418 1,859 2,233 2,307 2,298 2,229
Change - 17.96% 10.21% -23.12% 20.12% 3.31% -0.37% -3.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,157 8,619 4,611 2,332 2,729 9,324 9,073 6,605
Change - 107.34% -46.5% -49.43% 17.02% 241.68% -2.7% -27.2%
Announcement Date 28/01/22 31/01/23 31/01/24 31/01/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.48% 8.59% 8.45% 4.99% 6.12% 9.4% 9.15% 8.68%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.02% 8.68% 6.92% 2.46% 4.73% 7.66% 7.11% 6.59%
EBT Margin (%) 1.51% 8.33% 6.32% 1.84% 3.97% 7.27% 6.79% 7.01%
Net margin (%) 1.15% 6.27% 4.68% 1.46% 3.22% 5.54% 5.1% 5.61%
FCF margin (%) 3.62% 4.91% 3.08% 1.6% 2% 6.02% 6.36% 4.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 315.64% 78.18% 65.73% 110.16% 61.98% 108.69% 124.69% 84.57%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.57% 13.48% 9.23% 2.86% 3.6% 9.8% 8.1% -
ROE 13.22% 36.58% 23.85% 8.98% 9.32% 24.21% 19.45% 15.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.8x 0.73x 1.27x 2.53x 2.22x 1.09x 1.03x 0.89x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.72x 1.28x 3.48x 7.86x 6.82x 1.7x 1.48x 1.63x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.62% 1.25% 1.61% 1.28% 1.64% 1.49% 1.61% 1.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.57% 14.54% 19.08% 25.63% 26.7% 15.85% 17.6% 18.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 44.74% 25.46% 52.44% 79.72% 81.82% 24.74% 25.33% 33.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.852 22.68 19.51 9.934 15.05 27.17 27.2 25.37
Change - 156.24% -13.96% -49.09% 51.55% 80.45% 0.14% -6.74%
Dividend per Share 1 3.64 3.83 4.2 4.5 4.75 5.042 5.26 5.353
Change - 5.22% 9.66% 7.14% 5.56% 6.16% 4.32% 1.77%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.76 63.31 71.48 67.11 72.53 83.51 92.6 100.2
Change - 44.69% 12.91% -6.12% 8.07% 15.15% 10.88% 8.25%
EPS 1 2.97 23.27 15.48 4.99 10.79 22.85 20.7 22.8
Change - 683.5% -33.48% -67.76% 116.23% 111.77% -9.41% 10.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 438,202 472,632 439,956 412,989 402,921 400,935 400,935 400,935
Announcement Date 28/01/22 31/01/23 31/01/24 31/01/25 04/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.29x 10.3x
PBR 2.54x 2.29x
EV / Sales 0.65x 0.69x
Yield 2.38% 2.48%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
212.27USD
Average target price
203.89USD
Spread / Average Target
-3.95%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. PSX Stock
  4. Financials Phillips 66