Projected Income Statement: Natera, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Natera, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -584 -536 -529 -888 -996 -1,024 -1,311 -1,844
Change - 8.22% 1.31% -67.86% -12.16% -2.83% -28.03% -40.66%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Natera, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 49.59 47.7 39.2 66.42 106.2 94.2 107.8 135.7
Change - -3.81% -17.82% 69.45% 59.87% -11.29% 14.42% 25.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -384.8 -479.2 -286.2 69.24 109.1 111.4 166 299
Change - -24.52% 40.28% 124.2% 57.58% 2.05% 49.08% 80.12%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Natera, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -73.05% -63.93% -38.99% -11.27% -11.55% -7.23% -0.13% 7.95%
EBIT Margin (%) -74.85% -65.96% -41.22% -13.1% -13.44% -9.03% -2.8% 3.07%
EBT Margin (%) -75.32% -66.67% -40.14% -11.18% -11.63% -7.97% -1.88% 3.57%
Net margin (%) -75.42% -66.79% -40.16% -11.22% -9.03% -7.95% -1.3% 4.73%
FCF margin (%) -61.52% -58.42% -26.43% 4.08% 4.73% 3.98% 5.01% 7.51%
FCF / Net Income (%) 81.58% 87.48% 65.81% -36.36% -52.42% -50.06% -386.5% 158.82%

Profitability

        
ROA -43.5% -41.64% -30.66% -13.87% -10.26% -9.41% 1.04% 9.45%
ROE -82.8% -80.62% -59.11% -19.42% -14.32% -9.9% -1.93% 6.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.93% 5.82% 3.62% 3.91% 4.6% 3.37% 3.25% 3.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -10.85% -9.1% -9.29% -34.72% -39.86% -46.59% -2,531.83% 42.84%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -12.89% -9.95% -13.7% 95.93% 97.32% 84.6% 64.93% 45.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -3.702 -4.385 -2.148 1.088 1.575 1.51 2.44 3.56
Change - -18.45% 51.02% 150.65% 44.76% -4.11% 61.59% 45.9%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 6.867 6.344 6.4 9.012 12.52 13.05 14.86 18.13
Change - -7.62% 0.89% 40.81% 38.98% 4.2% 13.89% 21.98%
EPS 1 -5.21 -5.57 -3.78 -1.53 -1.52 -1.656 -0.3319 1.631
Change - -6.91% 32.14% 59.52% 0.65% -8.93% 79.95% 591.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,595 109,033 120,152 132,021 138,321 143,215 143,215 143,215
Announcement Date 24/02/22 28/02/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 26/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio -132x -660x
PBR 16.8x 14.7x
EV / Sales 10.9x 9.08x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
219.23USD
Average target price
260.05USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NTRA Stock
  4. Financials Natera, Inc.
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