Forward-Looking Statements
The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" for certain forward-looking statements. Certain statements contained in this report are forward-looking statements based on the Company's current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those anticipated by the Company. Actual results may differ from those projected in the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties (some of which are beyond the control of the Company) and are subject to change based upon various factors, including but not limited to the following risks and uncertainties: changes in the demand for the Company's insurance products, inflation and general economic conditions, including general market risks associated with the Company's investment portfolio; the accuracy and adequacy of the Company's pricing methodologies; catastrophes in the markets served by the Company; uncertainties related to estimates, assumptions and projections generally; the possibility that actual loss experience may vary adversely from the actuarial estimates made to determine the Company's loss reserves in general; the Company's ability to obtain and the timing of the approval of premium rate changes for insurance policies issued in the states where it operates; legislation adverse to the automobile insurance industry or business generally that may be enacted in the states where the Company operates; the Company's success in managing its business in non-California states; the presence of competitors with greater financial resources and the impact of competitive pricing and marketing efforts; the Company's ability to successfully manage its claims organization outside ofCalifornia ; the Company's ability to successfully allocate the resources used in the states with reduced or exited operations to its operations in other states; changes in driving patterns and loss trends; acts of war and terrorist activities; pandemics, epidemics, widespread health emergencies, or outbreaks of infectious diseases; court decisions and trends in litigation and health care and auto repair costs; and legal, cybersecurity, regulatory and litigation risks. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as the result of new information, future events or otherwise. For a more detailed discussion of some of the foregoing risks and uncertainties, see the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with theSecurities and Exchange Commission onFebruary 15, 2022 . OVERVIEW
A. General
The operating results of property and casualty insurance companies are subject to significant quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year fluctuations due to the effect of competition on pricing, the frequency and severity of losses, the effect of weather and natural disasters on losses, general economic conditions, the general regulatory environment in states in which an insurer operates, state regulation of insurance including premium rates, changes in fair value of investments, and other factors such as changes in tax laws. The property and casualty insurance industry has been highly cyclical, with periods of high premium rates and shortages of underwriting capacity followed by periods of severe price competition and excess capacity. These cycles can have a significant impact on the Company's ability to grow and retain business.
This section discusses some of the relevant factors that management considers in evaluating the Company's performance, prospects, and risks. It is not all-inclusive and is meant to be read in conjunction with the entirety of management's discussion and analysis, the Company's consolidated financial statements and notes thereto, and all other items contained within this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.
Note on COVID-19 and General Economic Conditions
InMarch 2020 , the outbreak of COVID-19 was recognized as a pandemic by theWorld Health Organization (the "WHO"), and the pandemic has had a notable impact on general economic conditions, including, but not limited to, the temporary closures of many businesses, "shelter in place" and other governmental orders, and reduced consumer spending. The Company is following guidelines established by theCenters for Disease Control , theWHO , and the state and local governments. The Company has taken a number of precautionary steps to safeguard its customers, business and employees from COVID-19. Most of the Company's employees have been working remotely, with only certain operationally critical employees working on site at various locations. InNovember 2021 , the Company extended its "work-from-home" policy indefinitely under the new "Mercury's My Workplace" policy, allowing most of its employees to work from anywhere in theU.S. beginningJanuary 2022 .
The Company's automobile line of insurance business began experiencing a significant decrease in loss frequency in March of 2020, and it remained lower than historical levels through the first half of 2021, although it began to increase as more
22 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents drivers returned to the road following the gradual reopening of businesses inCalifornia and other states. After bottoming out in the second quarter of 2020, loss frequency has been increasing and is near pre-pandemic levels, although it declined slightly in the first quarter of 2022 mostly due to seasonal factors and a temporary surge of the Omicron variant of COVID-19. The severity of accidents, for both bodily injury and the cost to repair vehicles, has increased following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, primarily due to a higher percentage of high-speed serious accidents on less congested roads and freeways. The costs to repair vehicles and treat bodily injuries may remain high due to supply chain and labor force issues exacerbated by the high overall inflation rate and theRussia -Ukraine war. Inflationary trends have accelerated to their highest level since the 1980s with the most recent consumer price index increase of 8.5%. Excessive inflation has led to significant increases in loss severities related to vehicle repairs and bodily injuries. The COVID-19 pandemic also created more uncertainty, and the total effect on losses occurring during the COVID-19 era will not be known for several years. The Company expects more late reported claims and a prolonged settlement period, particularly for bodily injury claims. Many courts have been closed, and claimants may have been reluctant to seek medical treatments due to the pandemic. The recent increases in loss frequency combined with sustained high loss severity have negatively impacted the Company's results of operations, and the Company has submitted private passenger automobile rate filings in many states requesting rate increases. InMarch 2020 , theFederal Open Market Committee ("FOMC") of theFederal Reserve unveiled a set of aggressive measures to cushion the economic impact of the global COVID-19 crisis, including, among others, cutting the federal funds rate by 100 basis points to a range of 0.00% to 0.25% and establishing a series of emergency credit facilities in an effort to support the flow of credit in the economy, easing liquidity pressure and calming market turmoil. While volatility in the financial markets remains elevated, overall market liquidity concerns have eased following the actions taken by theFOMC . However, theFOMC started raising the federal funds rate inMarch 2022 as a response to inflationary pressures. The ensuing increases in market interest rates resulted in significant decreases in the fair values of the Company's fixed maturity securities during the first quarter of 2022. The Company believes that it will continue to have sufficient liquidity to support its business operations during the COVID-19 crisis and beyond without the forced sale of investments, based on its existing cash and short-term investments, future cash flows from operations, and$75 million of undrawn credit in its unsecured credit facility. The Company will continue to monitor the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the legislative relief programs for the pandemic, the rising inflation and interest rates and theRussia -Ukraine war. The extent of these effects on the Company's business and financial results will depend largely on future developments, including the duration and severity of the pandemic, the high inflation rate and the war, most of which are highly uncertain and cannot be predicted.
B. Business
The Company is primarily engaged in writing personal automobile insurance through 13 insurance subsidiaries ("Insurance Companies") in 11 states, principallyCalifornia . The Company also writes homeowners, commercial automobile, commercial property, mechanical protection, and umbrella insurance. The Company's insurance policies are mostly sold through independent agentswho receive a commission for selling policies. The Company believes that it has thorough underwriting and claims handling processes that, together with its agent relationships, provide the Company with competitive advantages.
The following tables present direct premiums written, by state and line of
insurance business, for the three months ended
Three Months Ended
(Dollars in thousands) Private Commercial Passenger Automobile Homeowners Automobile Other Lines (2) Total California $ 567,202$ 160,704 $ 49,872 $ 51,328 $ 829,106 81.4 % Texas 23,180 24,680 12,351 1,557 61,768 6.1 % Other states (1) 90,906 24,871 9,350 2,232 127,359 12.5 % Total $ 681,288$ 210,255 $ 71,573 $ 55,117 $ 1,018,233 100.0 % 66.9 % 20.7 % 7.0 % 5.4 % 100.0 % 23
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Three Months Ended
(Dollars in thousands) Private Commercial Passenger Automobile Homeowners Automobile Other Lines (2) Total California $ 588,807$ 140,140 $ 46,509 $ 44,048 $ 819,504 86.0 % Other states (1) 77,689 30,079 22,357 3,728 133,853 14.0 % Total $ 666,496$ 170,219 $ 68,866 $ 47,776 $ 953,357 100.0 % 69.9 % 17.9 % 7.2 % 5.0 % 100.0 % ______________ (1) No individual state accounted for more than 5% of total direct premiums written. (2) No individual line of insurance business accounted for more than 5% of total direct premiums written.
C. Regulatory and Legal Matters
The Department of Insurance ("DOI") in each state in which the Company operates is responsible for conducting periodic financial, market conduct, and rating and underwriting examinations of the Insurance Companies in their states. Market conduct examinations typically review compliance with insurance statutes and regulations with respect to rating, underwriting, claims handling, billing, and other practices.
The following table presents a summary of recent and upcoming examinations:
State Exam Type Exam Period Covered Status
CA, FL, GA, Coordinated Multi-state
IL, OK, TX Financial 2018-2021 Examination began in the second quarter of 2022.
During the course of and at the conclusion of the examinations, the examining DOI generally reports findings to the Company.
The Company is, from time to time, named as a defendant in various lawsuits or regulatory actions incidental to its insurance business. The majority of lawsuits brought against the Company relate to insurance claims that arise in the normal course of business and are reserved for through the reserving process. For a discussion of the Company's reserving methods, see the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2021 . The Company establishes reserves for non-insurance claims related lawsuits, regulatory actions, and other contingencies when the Company believes a loss is probable and is able to estimate its potential exposure. For loss contingencies believed to be reasonably possible, the Company also discloses the nature of the loss contingency and an estimate of the possible loss, range of loss, or a statement that such an estimate cannot be made. In addition, the Company accrues for anticipated legal defense costs associated with such lawsuits and regulatory actions. While actual losses may differ from the amounts recorded and the ultimate outcome of the Company's pending actions is generally not yet determinable, the Company does not believe that the ultimate resolution of currently pending legal or regulatory proceedings, either individually or in the aggregate, will have a material adverse effect on its financial condition or cash flows. In all cases, the Company vigorously defends itself unless a reasonable settlement appears appropriate. For a discussion of any additional regulatory or legal matters, see the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2021 , and Note 12. Contingencies of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of this Quarterly Report.
D. Critical Accounting Estimates
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves ("Loss Reserves")
Preparation of the Company's consolidated financial statements requires management's judgment and estimates. The most significant is the estimate of loss reserves. Estimating loss reserves is a difficult process as many factors can ultimately affect the final settlement of a claim and, therefore, the loss reserve that is required. A key assumption in estimating loss reserves is the degree to which the historical data used to analyze reserves will be predictive of ultimate claim costs on incurred claims. Changes in the regulatory and legal environments, results of litigation, medical costs, the cost of repair materials, and labor rates, among other factors, can impact this assumption. In addition, time can be a critical part of reserving determinations 24 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents since the longer the span between the incidence of a loss and the payment or settlement of a claim, the more variable the ultimate settlement amount could be. Accordingly, short-tail claims, such as property damage claims, tend to be more reasonably predictable than long-tail liability claims. The Company calculates a loss reserve point estimate rather than a range. There is inherent uncertainty with estimates and this is particularly true with loss reserve estimates. This uncertainty comes from many factors which may include changes in claims reporting and settlement patterns, changes in the regulatory and legal environments, uncertainty over inflation rates, and uncertainty for unknown items. The Company does not make specific provisions for these uncertainties, rather it considers them in establishing its loss reserve by reviewing historical patterns and trends and projecting these out to current loss reserves. The underlying factors and assumptions that serve as the basis for preparing the loss reserve estimate include paid and incurred loss development factors, expected average costs per claim, inflation trends, expected loss ratios, industry data, and other relevant information. The Company also engages independent actuarial consultants to review the Company's loss reserves and to provide the annual actuarial opinions under statutory accounting principles as required by state regulation. The Company analyzes loss reserves quarterly primarily using the incurred loss, paid loss, average severity coupled with the claim count development methods, and the generalized linear model ("GLM") described below. When deciding among methods to use, the Company evaluates the credibility of each method based on the maturity of the data available and the claims settlement practices for each particular line of insurance business or coverage within a line of insurance business. The Company may also evaluate qualitative factors such as known changes in laws or legal rulings that could affect claims handling or other external environmental factors or internal factors that could affect the settlement of claims. When establishing the loss reserve, the Company will generally analyze the results from all of the methods used rather than relying on a single method. While these methods are designed to determine the ultimate losses on claims under the Company's policies, there is inherent uncertainty in all actuarial models since they use historical data to project outcomes. The Company believes that the techniques it uses provide a reasonable basis in estimating loss reserves. •The incurred loss method analyzes historical incurred case loss (case reserves plus paid losses) development to estimate ultimate losses. The Company applies development factors against current case incurred losses by accident period to calculate ultimate expected losses. The Company believes that the incurred loss method provides a reasonable basis for evaluating ultimate losses, particularly in the Company's larger, more established lines of insurance business which have a long operating history.
•The paid loss method analyzes historical payment patterns to estimate the amount of losses yet to be paid.
•The average severity method analyzes historical loss payments and/or incurred losses divided by closed claims and/or total claims to calculate an estimated average cost per claim. From this, the expected ultimate average cost per claim can be estimated. The average severity method coupled with the claim count development method provide meaningful information regarding inflation and frequency trends that the Company believes is useful in establishing loss reserves. The claim count development method analyzes historical claim count development to estimate future incurred claim count development for current claims. The Company applies these development factors against current claim counts by accident period to calculate ultimate expected claim counts. •The GLM determines an average severity for each percentile of claims that have been closed as a percentage of estimated ultimate claims. The average severities are applied to open claims to estimate the amount of losses yet to be paid. The GLM utilizes operational time, determined as a percentile of claims closed rather than a finite calendar period, which neutralizes the effect of changes in the timing of claims handling. The Company analyzes catastrophe losses separately from non-catastrophe losses. For catastrophe losses, the Company generally determines claim counts based on claims reported and development expectations from previous catastrophes and applies an average expected loss per claim based on loss reserves established by adjusters and average losses on previous similar catastrophes. For catastrophe losses on individual properties that are expected to be total losses, the Company typically establishes reserves at the policy limits. AtMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , the Company recorded its point estimate of approximately$2.31 billion and$2.23 billion ($2.27 billion and$2.19 billion , net of reinsurance), respectively, in loss reserves, which included approximately$1.10 billion and$1.03 billion ($1.09 billion and$1.02 billion , net of reinsurance), respectively, of incurred but not reported loss reserves ("IBNR"). IBNR includes estimates, based upon past experience, of ultimate developed costs, which may differ from case estimates, unreported claims that occurred on or prior toMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , and estimated future payments for reopened claims. Management believes that the liability for loss reserves is adequate to cover the ultimate net cost of losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred to date; however, since the provisions are necessarily based upon 25
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estimates, the ultimate liability may be more or less than such provisions.
The Company evaluates its loss reserves quarterly. When management determines that the estimated ultimate claim cost requires a decrease for previously reported accident years, favorable development occurs and a reduction in losses and loss adjustment expenses is reported in the current period. If the estimated ultimate claim cost requires an increase for previously reported accident years, unfavorable development occurs and an increase in losses and loss adjustment expenses is reported in the current period.
For a further discussion of the Company's reserving methods, see the Company's
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Three Months Ended
Revenues
Net premiums earned and net premiums written for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 increased 5.1% and 6.4%, respectively, from the corresponding period in 2021. The increase in net premiums earned and net premiums written for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 compared to the corresponding period in 2021 was primarily due to higher average premiums per policy arising from rate increases in theCalifornia homeowners line of insurance business and increases in the number of policies written outside ofCalifornia , partially offset by a decrease in the number of private passenger automobile policies written inCalifornia . Net premiums earned included ceded premiums earned of$17.5 million and$15.5 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. Net premiums written included ceded premiums written of$17.6 million and$15.6 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The increase in ceded premiums earned and ceded premiums written for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 compared to the corresponding period in 2021 resulted mostly from higher reinsurance coverage and rates and growth in the covered book of business. Net premiums earned, a GAAP measure, represents the portion of net premiums written that is recognized as revenue in the financial statements for the periods presented and earned on a pro-rata basis over the term of the policies. Net premiums written is a non-GAAP financial measure which represents the premiums charged on policies issued during a fiscal period, net of any applicable reinsurance. Net premiums written is a statutory measure designed to determine production levels. The following is a reconciliation of net premiums earned to net premiums written: Three Months Ended March 31, 2022 2021 (Amounts in thousands) Net premiums earned$ 962,550 $ 915,922 Change in net unearned premiums 48,248 34,461 Net premiums written$ 1,010,798 $ 950,383 Expenses Loss and expense ratios are used to interpret the underwriting experience of property and casualty insurance companies. The following table presents the Insurance Companies' loss, expense, and combined ratios determined in accordance with GAAP: Three Months Ended March 31, 2022 2021 Loss ratio 85.4 % 68.4 % Expense ratio 24.1 % 25.1 % Combined ratio 109.5 % 93.5 %
Loss ratio is calculated by dividing losses and loss adjustment expenses by net premiums earned. The loss ratio for the
26 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents first quarter of 2022 and 2021 was affected by unfavorable development of approximately$53 million and favorable development of approximately$1 million , respectively, on prior accident years' loss and loss adjustment expense reserves. The unfavorable development for the first quarter of 2022 was primarily attributable to higher than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the automobile and commercial property lines of insurance business, partially offset by favorable development in the homeowners line of insurance business. Inflationary trends have accelerated to their highest level in decades, which has had a significant impact on the cost of auto parts and labor as well as medical expenses for bodily injuries, and supply chain and labor shortage issues have lengthened the time to repair vehicles. Bodily injury costs are also under pressure from social inflation. These factors were major contributors to the adverse reserve development in the automobile line of insurance business. The favorable development for the first quarter of 2021 was primarily attributable to lower than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the commercial property and private passenger automobile lines of insurance business, mostly offset by unfavorable development in the commercial automobile line of insurance business. In addition, the 2022 loss ratio was negatively impacted by approximately$21 million of catastrophe losses, excluding unfavorable development of approximately$1 million on prior years' catastrophe losses, primarily due to winter storms inTexas andCalifornia . The 2021 loss ratio was negatively impacted by approximately$39 million of catastrophe losses, excluding favorable development of approximately$4 million on prior years' catastrophe losses, primarily due to the deep freeze inTexas andOklahoma and winter storms inCalifornia . Excluding the effect of estimated prior periods' loss development and catastrophe losses, the loss ratio was 77.7% and 64.3% for the first quarter of 2022 and 2021, respectively. The increase in the loss ratio was primarily due to an increase in loss frequency and severity in the automobile line of insurance business, partially offset by higher average premiums per policy arising from rate increases in theCalifornia homeowners line of insurance business. After bottoming out in the second quarter of 2020, automobile loss frequency has been increasing and is near pre-pandemic levels, although it declined slightly in the first quarter of 2022 mostly due to seasonal factors and a temporary surge of the Omicron variant of COVID-19. The inflationary pressures and the supply chain and labor shortage issues discussed above have led to a significant increase in automobile loss severity and increased losses and loss adjustment expenses for the insured events of the current accident year for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 compared to the corresponding period in 2021. Expense ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of policy acquisition costs and other operating expenses by net premiums earned. The expense ratio for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 decreased compared to the corresponding period in 2021. Higher average premiums per policy arising from rate increases in theCalifornia homeowners line of insurance business contributed to the decrease in the expense ratio. In addition, expenses for profitability-related accruals and advertising decreased, partially offset by an increase in expense for allowance for credit losses. Combined ratio is equal to loss ratio plus expense ratio and is the key measure of underwriting performance traditionally used in the property and casualty insurance industry. A combined ratio under 100% generally reflects profitable underwriting results, and a combined ratio over 100% generally reflects unprofitable underwriting results. Income tax (benefit) expense was$(56.2) million and$25.4 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The decrease in income tax expense was primarily due to a$385.6 million decrease in total pre-tax income. Tax-exempt investment income, a component of total pre-tax (loss) income, remained relatively steady with the corresponding period in 2021. The Company's effective income tax rate can be affected by several factors. These generally include large changes in the composition of fully taxable income including net realized investment gains or losses, tax-exempt investment income, non-deductible expenses, and periodically, non-routine tax items such as adjustments to unrecognized tax benefits related to tax uncertainties. Tax-exempt investment income of approximately$17 million coupled with pre-tax loss of approximately$253 million resulted in an effective tax rate of 22.2%, above the statutory tax rate of 21%, for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , while tax-exempt investment income of approximately$19 million coupled with pre-tax income of approximately$132 million resulted in an effective tax rate of 19.2%, below the statutory rate, for the corresponding period in 2021. 27
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Investments
The following table presents the investment results of the Company:
Three Months EndedMarch 31, 2022 2021 (Dollars in thousands)
Average invested assets at cost (1)
Net investment income (2)
Before income taxes$ 35,351 $
32,279
After income taxes$ 30,921 $
28,784
Average annual yield on investments Before income taxes 2.9 % 2.9 % After income taxes 2.5 % 2.5 %
Net realized investment (losses) gains
__________
(1) Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; equities and other short-term investments at cost. Average invested assets at cost are based on the monthly amortized cost of the invested assets for each period. (2) Higher net investment income before and after income taxes for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 compared to the corresponding period in 2021 resulted largely from higher average invested assets.
The following tables present the components of net realized investment gains (losses) included in net income:
Three Months Ended
Gains
(Losses) Recognized in Net Income
Changes in fair Sales value Total (Amounts in thousands) Net realized investment gains (losses) Fixed maturity securities (1)(2)$ (2,800) $ (157,929) $ (160,729) Equity securities (1)(3) 5,562 (40,321) (34,759) Short-term investments (1) (825) 2 (823) Note receivable (1) - - - Options sold 1,307 (82) 1,225 Total$ 3,244 $ (198,330) $ (195,086) Three Months Ended March 31, 2021 Gains
(Losses) Recognized in Net Income
Changes in Sales fair value Total (Amounts in thousands) Net realized investment gains (losses) Fixed maturity securities (1)(2)$ (3,247) $ (8,057) $ (11,304) Equity securities (1)(3) 17,959 34,520 52,479 Short-term investments (1) 1 68 69 Note receivable (1) - (13) (13) Options sold 370 90 460 Total$ 15,083 $ 26,608 $ 41,691
__________
(1)The changes in fair value of the investment portfolio and note receivable resulted from application of the fair value option. (2)The decreases in fair value of fixed maturity securities for the first quarter of 2022 and 2021 primarily resulted from
28 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents increases in market interest rates. (3)The primary cause for the decrease in fair value of equity securities for the first quarter of 2022 was the overall decline in equity markets. The primary cause for the increase in fair value of equity securities for the first quarter of 2021 was the overall improvement in equity markets. Net (Loss) Income Three Months Ended March 31, 2022 2021 (Amounts in thousands, except per share data) Net (loss) income$ (196,917) $ 106,995 Basic average shares outstanding 55,371 55,361 Diluted average shares outstanding 55,371 55,372 Basic Per Share Data: Net (loss) income$ (3.56) $ 1.93 Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of tax$ (2.78) $ 0.59 Diluted Per Share Data: Net (loss) income$ (3.56) $ 1.93 Net realized investment (losses) gains, net of tax$ (2.78) $ 0.59 LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES A. Cash Flows The Company has generated positive cash flow from operations since the public offering of its common stock inNovember 1985 . The Company does not attempt to match the duration and timing of asset maturities with those of liabilities; rather, it manages its portfolio with a view towards maximizing total return with an emphasis on after-tax income. With combined cash and short-term investments of$429.7 million atMarch 31, 2022 as well as$75 million of credit available on the unsecured credit facility, the Company believes its cash flow from operations is adequate to satisfy its liquidity requirements without the forced sale of investments. Investment maturities are also available to meet the Company's liquidity needs. However, the Company operates in a rapidly evolving and often unpredictable business environment that may change the timing or amount of expected future cash receipts and expenditures. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that the Company's sources of funds will be sufficient to meet its liquidity needs or that the Company will not be required to raise additional funds to meet those needs or for future business expansion, through the sale of equity or debt securities or from credit facilities with lending institutions. Net cash provided by operating activities for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 was$106.6 million , a decrease of$67.9 million compared to the corresponding period in 2021. The decrease was primarily due to an increase in payments for losses and loss adjustment expenses, partially offset by an increase in premium collections and a decrease in payments for operating expenses. The Company utilized the cash provided by operating activities during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 primarily for the net purchases of investment securities and payment of dividends to its shareholders. The following table presents the estimated fair value of fixed maturity securities atMarch 31, 2022 by contractual maturity in the next five years: Fixed Maturity Securities (Amounts in thousands) Due in one year or less $
394,084
Due after one year through two years
177,773
Due after two years through three years
125,628
Due after three years through four years
193,077
Due after four years through five years
272,329
Total due within five years $ 1,162,891 29
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For
The Company is the assuming reinsurer under a Catastrophe Participation Reinsurance Contract (the "Contract") effective throughDecember 31, 2022 . The Company reimburses a group of affiliates of a ceding company for a proportional share of a portfolio of catastrophe losses based on the premiums ceded to the Company under the Contract, to the extent the actual loss ratio exceeds the threshold loss ratio of 73.5% and 71% for the 12 months endingDecember 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The total assumed premium under the Contract is$10.0 million and$12.5 million for the 12 months endingDecember 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The total possible amount of losses for the Company under the Contract is$25.0 million and$31.3 million for the 12 months endingDecember 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The Company recognized$2.5 million and$3.1 million in earned premiums and$2.4 million and$3.9 million in incurred losses under the Contract for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The Company is the ceding party to a Catastrophe Reinsurance Treaty (the "Treaty") covering a wide range of perils that is effective throughJune 30, 2022 . For the 12 months endingJune 30, 2022 and 2021, the Treaty provides$792 million and$717 million of coverage, respectively, on a per occurrence basis after covered catastrophe losses exceed the$40 million Company retention limit. The Treaty specifically excludes coverage for anyFlorida business and forCalifornia earthquake losses on fixed property policies such as homeowners, but does cover losses from fires following an earthquake. The Treaty includes additional restrictions as noted in the tables below.
Coverage on individual catastrophes provided for the 12 months ending
Catastrophe Losses and LAE Percentage of In Excess of Up to Coverage (Amounts in millions) Retained $ -$ 40 - % Layer of Coverage 40 100 70 Layer of Coverage (1) (2) 100 450 100 Layer of Coverage (1) (3) (4) (5) 450 850 100
__________
(1) Layer of Coverage represents multiple actual treaty layers that are grouped for presentation purposes. (2) 4.1% of this layer excludesTexas . (3) 11.9% of this layer excludesTexas . (4) 15.0% of this layer coversCalifornia ,Arizona andNevada only. (5) 12.7% of this layer covers onlyCalifornia wildfires and fires following an earthquake inCalifornia , and is not subject to reinstatement.
Coverage on individual catastrophes provided for the 12 months ended
Catastrophe Losses and LAE Percentage of In Excess of Up to Coverage (Amounts in millions) Retained $ -$ 40 - % Layer of Coverage 40 100 70 Layer of Coverage (1) 100 400 100 Layer of Coverage (1) (2) (3) 400 775 100
__________
(1) Layer of Coverage represents multiple actual treaty layers that are grouped for presentation purposes. (2) 14.2% of this layer coversCalifornia ,Arizona andNevada only. (3) 13.4% of this layer covers onlyCalifornia wildfires and fires following an earthquake inCalifornia , and is not subject to reinstatement. 30 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents The table below presents the combined total reinsurance premiums under the Treaty (annual premiums and reinstatement premiums) for the 12 months endingJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively: Annual Premium Reinstatement Premium Total Combined Treaty (1) (2) Premium (2) (Amounts in millions) For the 12 months ending June 30, 2022 $ 55 $ - $ 55 For the 12 months ended June 30, 2021 $ 50 $ - $ 50
__________
(1) The increase in the annual premium is primarily due to an increase in reinsurance coverage and rates and growth in the covered book of business. (2) The reinstatement premium and the total combined premium for the treaty period endingJune 30, 2022 are projected amounts to be paid based on the assumption that there will be no reinstatements occurring during this treaty period. The reinstatement premium for the treaty period endedJune 30, 2021 is zero, as there were no actual reinstatement premiums paid. The Treaty endingJune 30, 2022 and 2021 each provides for one full reinstatement of coverage limits. Reinstatement premiums are based on the amount of reinsurance benefits used by the Company at 100% of the annual premium rate, with the exception of the reinstatement restrictions noted in the tables above, up to the maximum reinstatement premium of approximately$51 million and$46 million if the full amount of benefit is used for the 12 months endingJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The total amount of reinstatement premiums is recorded as ceded reinstatement premiums written at the time of the catastrophe event based on the total amount of reinsurance benefits expected to be used for the event, and such reinstatement premiums are recognized ratably over the remaining term of the Treaty as ceded reinstatement premiums earned. The catastrophe events that occurred in 2022 caused approximately$21 million in losses to the Company, resulting primarily from winter storms inTexas andCalifornia . No reinsurance benefits were available under the Treaty for these losses as none of the 2022 catastrophe events individually resulted in losses in excess of the Company's per-occurrence retention limit of$40 million under the Treaty for the 12 months endingJune 30, 2022 . The catastrophe events that occurred in 2021 caused approximately$112 million in losses to the Company as ofMarch 31, 2022 , resulting primarily from the deep freeze and other extreme weather events inTexas andOklahoma , rainstorms, wildfires and winter storms inCalifornia , and the impact of Hurricane Ida inNew Jersey andNew York . No reinsurance benefits were available under the Treaty for these losses as none of the 2021 catastrophe events individually resulted in losses in excess of the Company's per-occurrence retention limit of$40 million under the Treaty for each of the 12 months endingJune 30, 2022 and 2021. The Company carries a commercial umbrella reinsurance treaty and a per-risk property reinsurance treaty, and seeks facultative arrangements for large property risks. In addition, the Company has other reinsurance in force that is not material to the consolidated financial statements. If any reinsurers are unable to perform their obligations under a reinsurance treaty, the Company will be required, as primary insurer, to discharge all obligations to its policyholders in their entirety.
C. Invested Assets
Portfolio Composition
An important component of the Company's financial results is the return on its investment portfolio. The Company's investment strategy emphasizes safety of principal and consistent income generation, within a total return framework. The investment strategy has historically focused on maximizing after-tax yield with a primary emphasis on maintaining a well-diversified, investment grade, fixed income portfolio to support the underlying liabilities and achieve return on capital and profitable growth. The Company believes that investment yield is maximized by selecting assets that perform favorably on a long-term basis and by disposing of certain assets to enhance after-tax yield and minimize the potential effect of downgrades and defaults. The Company believes that this strategy enables the optimal investment performance necessary to sustain investment income over time. The Company's portfolio management approach utilizes a market risk and consistent asset allocation strategy as the primary basis for the allocation of interest sensitive, liquid and credit assets as well as for determining overall below investment grade exposure and diversification requirements. Within the ranges set by the asset allocation strategy, tactical investment decisions are made in consideration of prevailing market conditions. 31
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The following table presents the composition of the total investment portfolio
of the Company at
Cost (1) Fair Value (Amounts in thousands) Fixed maturity securities: U.S. government bonds$ 13,625 $ 13,477 Municipal securities 2,775,838 2,780,244 Mortgage-backed securities 156,697 151,840 Corporate securities 542,038 511,952 Collateralized loan obligations 315,041 314,193 Other asset-backed securities 192,625 187,973 3,995,864 3,959,679 Equity securities: Common stock 573,516 779,229 Non-redeemable preferred stock 64,429
62,247
Private equity funds measured at net asset value (2) 131,989
104,539 769,934 946,015 Short-term investments 134,997 133,920 Total investments$ 4,900,795 $ 5,039,614 ______________ (1) Fixed maturities and short-term bonds at amortized cost; equities and other short-term investments at cost. (2) The fair value is measured using the NAV practical expedient. See Note 5. Fair Value Measurements of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information. AtMarch 31, 2022 , 44.9% of the Company's total investment portfolio at fair value and 57.1% of its total fixed maturity securities at fair value were invested in tax-exempt state and municipal bonds. Equity holdings consist of non-redeemable preferred stocks, dividend-bearing common stocks on which dividend income is partially tax-sheltered by the 50% corporate dividend received deduction, and private equity funds. AtMarch 31, 2022 , 84.8% of short-term investments consisted of highly rated short-duration securities redeemable on a daily or weekly basis.
Fixed maturity securities include debt securities, which are mostly long-term bonds and other debt with maturities of at least one year from purchase, and which may have fixed or variable principal payment schedules, may be held for indefinite periods of time, and may be used as a part of the Company's asset/liability strategy or sold in response to changes in interest rates, anticipated prepayments, risk/reward characteristics, liquidity needs, tax planning considerations, or other economic factors. Short-term instruments include money market accounts, options, and short-term bonds that are highly rated short duration securities and redeemable within one year. A primary exposure for the fixed maturity securities is interest rate risk. The longer the duration, the more sensitive the asset is to market interest rate fluctuations. As assets with longer maturity dates tend to produce higher current yields, the Company's historical investment philosophy has resulted in a portfolio with a moderate duration. The Company's portfolio is heavily weighted in investment grade tax-exempt municipal bonds. Fixed maturity securities purchased by the Company typically have call options attached, which further reduce the duration of the asset as interest rates decline. The holdings that are heavily weighted with high coupon issues, are expected to be called prior to maturity. Modified duration measures the length of time it takes, on average, to receive the present value of all the cash flows produced by a bond, including reinvestment of interest. As it measures four factors (maturity, coupon rate, yield and call terms) which determine sensitivity to changes in interest rates, modified duration is considered a better indicator of price volatility than simple maturity alone. 32
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents The following table presents the maturities and durations of the Company's fixed maturity securities and short-term investments: March 31, 2022 December 31, 2021 (in years)Fixed Maturity Securities Nominal average maturity: excluding short-term investments 10.9 10.8 including short-term investments 10.6 10.4 Call-adjusted average maturity: excluding short-term investments 4.9 4.6 including short-term investments 4.7 4.5
Modified duration reflecting anticipated early calls: excluding short-term investments
3.5 3.5 including short-term investments 3.4 3.4 Short-Term Investments - - Another exposure related to the fixed maturity securities is credit risk, which is managed by maintaining a weighted-average portfolio credit quality rating of A+, at fair value, atMarch 31, 2022 , consistent with the average rating atDecember 31, 2021 . The Company's municipal bond holdings, of which 81.3% were tax exempt, represented 57.1% of its fixed maturity securities portfolio atMarch 31, 2022 , at fair value, and are broadly diversified geographically. See Part I-Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risks for a breakdown of municipal bond holdings by state. To calculate the weighted-average credit quality ratings disclosed throughout this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, individual securities were weighted based on fair value and credit quality ratings assigned by nationally recognized securities rating organizations. Taxable holdings consist principally of investment grade issues. AtMarch 31, 2022 , fixed maturity securities holdings rated below investment grade and non-rated bonds totaled$7.0 million and$16.6 million , respectively, at fair value, and represented 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively, of total fixed maturity securities. The majority of non-rated issues are a result of municipalities pre-funding and collateralizing those issues withU.S. government securities with an implicitAAA equivalent credit risk. AtDecember 31, 2021 , fixed maturity securities holdings rated below investment grade and non-rated bonds totaled$7.1 million and$17.3 million , respectively, at fair value, and represented 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively, of total fixed maturity securities. The overall credit ratings for the Company's fixed maturity securities portfolio were relatively stable during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , with 97.5% of fixed maturity securities at fair value experiencing no change in their overall rating. 2.2% and 0.3% of fixed maturity securities at fair value experienced upgrades and downgrades, respectively, during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . 33
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The following table presents the credit quality ratings of the Company's fixed maturity securities by security type at fair value:
March 31, 2022 (Dollars in thousands) Total Fair Security Type AAA(1) AA(1) A(1) BBB(1) Non-Rated/Other(1) Value(1)U.S. government bonds: Treasuries$ 13,477 $ - $ - $ - $ -$ 13,477 Total 13,477 - - - - 13,477 100.0 % - % - % - % - % 100.0 % Municipal securities: Insured 64,040 267,363 94,274 39,909 2,463 468,049 Uninsured 101,833 806,523 1,205,580 180,464 17,795
2,312,195
Total 165,873 1,073,886 1,299,854 220,373 20,258 2,780,244 6.0 % 38.6 % 46.8 % 7.9 % 0.7 % 100.0 % Mortgage-backed securities: Commercial 13,507 10,071 - - - 23,578 Agencies 677 - - - - 677 Non-agencies: Prime 16,940 102,794 5,848 - 500 126,082 Alt-A - 493 - 162 848 1,503 Total 31,124 113,358 5,848 162 1,348 151,840 20.4 % 74.7 % 3.9 % 0.1 % 0.9 % 100.0 % Corporate securities: Communications - 175 - 6,044 - 6,219 Consumer, cyclical - 1,883 - 68,230 - 70,113 Consumer, non-cyclical - 9,975 16,408 19,138 - 45,521 Energy - 6,009 3,716 41,686 - 51,411 Financial - 23,345 67,801 79,816 3,526 174,488 Industrial - - 52,394 76,751 - 129,145 Technology - - - 734 - 734 Utilities - - 19,075 15,246 - 34,321 Total - 41,387 159,394 307,645 3,526 511,952 - % 8.1 % 31.1 % 60.1 % 0.7 % 100.0 % Collateralized loan obligations: Corporate 30,251 89,801 194,141 - - 314,193 Total 30,251 89,801 194,141 - - 314,193 9.6 % 28.6 % 61.8 % - % - % 100.0 % Other asset-backed securities 19,579 77,002 60,719 30,673 - 187,973 10.4 % 41.0 % 32.3 % 16.3 % - % 100.0 % Total$ 260,304 $
1,395,434
$ 3,959,679 6.6 % 35.2 % 43.5 % 14.1 % 0.6 % 100.0 % _____________
(1)Intermediate ratings are included at each level (e.g., AA includes AA+, AA and AA-).
U.S. Government Bonds The Company had$13.5 million and$13.1 million , each representing 0.3% of its fixed maturity securities portfolio, at fair value, inU.S. government bonds atMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , respectively. AtMarch 31, 2022 , Moody's and Fitch ratings forU.S. government-issued debt were Aaa andAAA , respectively, although a significant increase in government 34 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents deficits and debt could lead to a downgrade. The Company understands that market participants continue to use rates of return onU.S. government debt as a risk-free rate and have continued to invest inU.S. Treasury securities. The modified duration of theU.S. government bonds portfolio reflecting anticipated early calls was 1.4 years and 0.9 years atMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , respectively.Municipal Securities The Company had$2.78 billion and$2.84 billion , or 70.2% and 70.5% of its fixed maturity securities portfolio, at fair value, in municipal securities,$468.0 million and$424.1 million of which were insured, atMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , respectively. The underlying ratings for insured municipal bonds have been factored into the average rating of the securities by the rating agencies with no significant disparity between the absolute securities ratings and the underlying credit ratings as ofMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 . AtMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , 56.6% and 56.8%, respectively, of the insured municipal securities, at fair value, most of which were investment grade, were insured by bond insurers that provide credit enhancement and ratings reflecting the credit of the underlying issuers. AtMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , the average rating of the Company's insured municipal securities was A+, which corresponded to the average rating of the investment grade bond insurers. The remaining 43.4% and 43.2% of insured municipal securities atMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , respectively, were non-rated or below investment grade, and were insured by bond insurers that the Company believes did not provide credit enhancement. The modified duration of the municipal securities portfolio reflecting anticipated early calls was 3.2 years and 3.1 years atMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , respectively. The Company considers the strength of the underlying credit as a buffer against potential market value declines which may result from future rating downgrades of the bond insurers. In addition, the Company has a long-term time horizon for its municipal bond holdings, which generally allows it to recover the full principal amounts upon maturity and avoid forced sales prior to maturity of bonds that have declined in market value due to the bond insurers' rating downgrades. Based on the uncertainty surrounding the financial condition of these insurers, it is possible that there will be future downgrades to below investment grade ratings by the rating agencies in the future, and such downgrades could impact the estimated fair value of municipal bonds.
AtMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , substantially all of the mortgage-backed securities portfolio of$151.8 million and$137.0 million , or 3.8% and 3.4%, respectively, of the Company's fixed maturity securities portfolio, at fair value, was categorized as loans to "prime" residential and commercial real estate borrowers. The Company had holdings of$23.6 million and$25.2 million at fair value ($23.8 million and$25.1 million at amortized cost) in commercial mortgage-backed securities atMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , respectively. The weighted-average rating of the entire mortgage-backed securities portfolio was AA at each ofMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 . The modified duration of the mortgage-backed securities portfolio reflecting anticipated early calls was 7.8 years and 7.9 years atMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , respectively.
Corporate securities included in fixed maturity securities were as follows:
March
31, 2022
(Dollars in thousands) Corporate securities at fair value$ 511,952 $ 523,853 Percentage of total fixed maturity securities portfolio 12.9 % 13.0 % Modified duration 3.7 years 3.8 years Weighted-average rating BBB+ BBB+ 35
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Collateralized Loan Obligations Collateralized loan obligations included in fixed maturity securities were as follows: March 31, 2022 December 31, 2021 (Dollars in thousands) Collateralized loan obligations at fair value$ 314,193 $ 314,153 Percentage of total fixed maturity securities portfolio 7.9 % 7.8 % Modified duration 5.9 years 6.3 years Weighted-average rating A+ AA-
Other Asset-Backed Securities
Other asset-backed securities included in fixed maturity securities were as follows: March 31, 2022 December 31, 2021 (Dollars in thousands) Other asset-backed securities at fair value$ 187,973 $ 200,209 Percentage of total fixed maturity securities portfolio 4.7 % 5.0 % Modified duration 3.5 years 2.6 years Weighted-average rating AA- AA- Equity Securities Equity holdings of$946.0 million and$970.9 million at fair value, as ofMarch 31, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 , respectively, consisted of non-redeemable preferred stocks, common stocks on which dividend income is partially tax-sheltered by the 50% corporate dividend received deduction, and private equity funds. The Company had a net (loss) gain of$(40.3) million and$34.5 million due to changes in fair value of the Company's equity securities portfolio for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The primary cause for the decrease in fair value of the Company's equity securities portfolio for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 was the overall decline in equity markets. The primary cause for the increase in fair value of the Company's equity securities portfolio for the three months endedMarch 31, 2021 was the overall improvement in equity markets. The Company's common stock allocation is intended to enhance the return of and provide diversification for the total portfolio. AtMarch 31, 2022 , 18.8% of the total investment portfolio at fair value was held in equity securities, compared to 18.9% atDecember 31, 2021 .
D. Debt
OnMarch 8, 2017 , the Company completed a public debt offering issuing$375 million of senior notes. The notes are unsecured senior obligations of the Company with a 4.4% annual coupon payable onMarch 15 andSeptember 15 of each year commencingSeptember 15, 2017 . The notes mature onMarch 15, 2027 . The Company used the proceeds from the notes to pay off amounts outstanding under the existing loan and credit facilities and for general corporate purposes. The Company incurred debt issuance costs of approximately$3.4 million , inclusive of underwriters' fees. The notes were issued at a slight discount of 99.847% of par, resulting in the effective annualized interest rate including debt issuance costs of approximately 4.45%. OnMarch 29, 2017 , the Company entered into the 2017 Credit Agreement that provided for revolving loans of up to$50 million and was set to mature onMarch 29, 2022 . OnMarch 31, 2021 , the Company entered into the Amended and Restated Credit Agreement that amended and restated the 2017 Credit Agreement. The Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, among other things, extended the maturity date of the loan that was the subject of the 2017 Credit Agreement toMarch 31, 2026 , addedU.S. Bank as an additional lender, and increased the aggregate commitments by all the lenders to$75 million from$50 million under the 2017 Credit Agreement. The interest rates on borrowings under the credit facility are based on the Company's debt to total capital ratio and range from LIBOR plus 112.5 basis points when the ratio is under 20% to LIBOR plus 150.0 basis points when the ratio is greater than or equal to 30%. Commitment fees for the undrawn portions of the credit facility range from 12.5 basis points when the ratio is under 20% to 22.5 basis points when the ratio is greater than or equal to 30%. The debt to total capital ratio is expressed as a percentage of (a) consolidated debt to (b) consolidated shareholders' equity plus consolidated 36 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents debt. The Company's debt to total capital ratio was 16.4% atMarch 31, 2022 , resulting in a 12.5 basis point commitment fee on the$75 million undrawn portion of the credit facility. As ofApril 28, 2022 , there have been no borrowings under this facility. The Company was in compliance with all of the financial covenants pertaining to minimum statutory surplus, debt to total capital ratio, and risk based capital ratio under the unsecured credit facility atMarch 31, 2022 .
For additional information on debt, see Note 11. Notes Payable of the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
E. Regulatory Capital Requirements
Among other considerations, industry and regulatory guidelines suggest that the ratio of a property and casualty insurer's annual net premiums written to statutory policyholders' surplus should not exceed 3.0 to 1. Based on the combined surplus of all the Insurance Companies of$1.75 billion atMarch 31, 2022 , and net premiums written of$3.9 billion for the twelve months ended on that date, the ratio of net premiums written to surplus was 2.23 to 1 atMarch 31, 2022 .
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