Real-time Estimate
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
332.55 GBX | -1.38% | -3.59% | -11.34% |
01-15 | LondonMetric sells off 10 UK properties for GBP74 million | AN |
01-14 | Stocks rise as Reeves and MPs square off | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Marks & Spencer Group plc
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 10,182 | 8,973 | 10,885 | 11,931 | 13,040 | 13,742 | 14,273 | 14,804 |
Change | - | -11.88% | 21.31% | 9.61% | 9.29% | 5.39% | 3.86% | 3.72% |
EBITDA 1 | 1,223 | 812.8 | 1,220 | 1,150 | 1,365 | 1,494 | 1,564 | 1,619 |
Change | - | -33.55% | 50.06% | -5.73% | 18.71% | 9.44% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
EBIT 1 | 590.7 | 209.7 | 709 | 626.6 | 838.6 | 949.8 | 1,008 | 1,066 |
Change | - | -64.5% | 238.1% | -11.62% | 33.83% | 13.26% | 6.07% | 5.8% |
Interest Paid 1 | -187.6 | -178.7 | -180.5 | -156.1 | -157.9 | -115.6 | -112.9 | -109.2 |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 67.2 | -201.2 | 391.7 | 475.7 | 672.5 | 779.8 | 846.8 | 915.7 |
Change | - | - | - | 21.44% | 41.37% | 15.95% | 8.59% | 8.14% |
Net income 1 | 23.7 | -198 | 306.6 | 363.4 | 431.2 | 568.1 | 629.5 | 694.4 |
Change | - | - | - | 18.53% | 18.66% | 31.75% | 10.8% | 10.31% |
Announcement Date | 20/05/20 | 26/05/21 | 25/05/22 | 24/05/23 | 22/05/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Marks & Spencer Group plc
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 4,025 | 3,516 | 2,699 | 2,637 | 2,166 | 1,945 | 1,541 | 1,166 |
Change | - | -12.65% | -23.24% | -2.3% | -17.86% | -10.19% | -20.77% | -24.33% |
Announcement Date | 20/05/20 | 26/05/21 | 25/05/22 | 24/05/23 | 22/05/24 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Marks & Spencer Group plc
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CAPEX 1 | 328.6 | 206.7 | 257.4 | 410.3 | 429.3 | 498.2 | 519.4 | 522.9 |
Change | - | -37.1% | 24.53% | 59.4% | 4.63% | 16.05% | 4.26% | 0.68% |
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 644.5 | 664.2 | 699.2 | 63.6 | 391.5 | 386.8 | 454.4 | 489.6 |
Change | - | 3.06% | 5.27% | -90.9% | 515.57% | -1.2% | 17.49% | 7.74% |
Announcement Date | 20/05/20 | 26/05/21 | 25/05/22 | 24/05/23 | 22/05/24 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Marks & Spencer Group plc
Fiscal Period: March | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
EBITDA Margin (%) | 12.01% | 9.06% | 11.21% | 9.64% | 10.47% | 10.87% | 10.96% | 10.93% |
EBIT Margin (%) | 5.8% | 2.34% | 6.51% | 5.25% | 6.43% | 6.91% | 7.06% | 7.2% |
EBT Margin (%) | 0.66% | -2.24% | 3.6% | 3.99% | 5.16% | 5.67% | 5.93% | 6.19% |
Net margin (%) | 0.23% | -2.21% | 2.82% | 3.05% | 3.31% | 4.13% | 4.41% | 4.69% |
FCF margin (%) | 6.33% | 7.4% | 6.42% | 0.53% | 3% | 2.81% | 3.18% | 3.31% |
FCF / Net Income (%) | 2,719.41% | -335.45% | 228.05% | 17.5% | 90.79% | 68.09% | 72.19% | 70.51% |
Profitability | ||||||||
ROA | 3.32% | 0.3% | 4.7% | 3.84% | 4.85% | 6.12% | 6.58% | 7.08% |
ROE | 10.24% | 0.94% | 16.36% | 12.44% | 15.66% | 18.47% | 17.46% | 16.76% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 3.29x | 4.33x | 2.21x | 2.29x | 1.59x | 1.3x | 0.99x | 0.72x |
Debt / Free cash flow | 6.25x | 5.29x | 3.86x | 41.47x | 5.53x | 5.03x | 3.39x | 2.38x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.23% | 2.3% | 2.36% | 3.44% | 3.29% | 3.63% | 3.64% | 3.53% |
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 26.86% | 25.43% | 21.1% | 35.68% | 31.45% | 33.35% | 33.21% | 32.3% |
CAPEX / FCF (%) | 50.99% | 31.12% | 36.81% | 645.13% | 109.66% | 128.8% | 114.3% | 106.8% |
Items per share | ||||||||
Cash flow per share 1 | 0.5107 | 0.4424 | 0.6785 | 0.5064 | 0.6271 | 0.4266 | 0.4757 | 0.5043 |
Change | - | -13.37% | 53.36% | -25.37% | 23.84% | -31.97% | 11.51% | 6.01% |
Dividend per Share 1 | 0.107 | - | - | - | 0.03 | 0.0487 | 0.0709 | 0.0841 |
Change | - | - | - | - | - | 62.27% | 45.62% | 18.68% |
Book Value Per Share 1 | 1.954 | 1.05 | 1.488 | 1.431 | 1.435 | 1.624 | 1.918 | 2.185 |
Change | - | -46.27% | 41.73% | -3.81% | 0.24% | 13.2% | 18.08% | 13.92% |
EPS 1 | 0.012 | -0.101 | 0.151 | 0.179 | 0.208 | 0.2761 | 0.3079 | 0.3379 |
Change | - | -941.67% | -249.5% | 18.54% | 16.2% | 32.74% | 11.53% | 9.73% |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,948,347 | 1,954,867 | 1,958,376 | 1,964,608 | 2,030,497 | 2,019,672 | 2,019,672 | 2,019,672 |
Announcement Date | 20/05/20 | 26/05/21 | 25/05/22 | 24/05/23 | 22/05/24 | - | - | - |
2025 * | 2026 * | |
---|---|---|
P/E ratio | 12.2x | 11x |
PBR | 2.08x | 1.76x |
EV / Sales | 0.64x | 0.59x |
Yield | 1.44% | 2.1% |
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Marks & Spencer Group plc
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