Projected Income Statement: JD.com, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -130,871 -171,577 -177,577 -143,146 -169,939 -117,051 -122,394 -149,360
Change - -31.1% -3.5% 19.39% -18.72% 31.12% -4.56% -22.03%
Announcement Date 11/03/21 10/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 7,670 18,566 17,667 18,378 14,223 17,566 18,205 18,885
Change - 142.06% -4.84% 4.02% -22.61% 23.5% 3.64% 3.73%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 34,922 26,228 40,152 41,143 43,872 34,667 42,209 55,765
Change - -24.9% 53.09% 2.47% 6.63% -20.98% 21.76% 32.12%
Announcement Date 11/03/21 10/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 2.77% 1.97% 3.21% 3.91% 4.48% 1.59% 2.65% 3.96%
EBIT Margin (%) 1.65% 0.44% 1.89% 2.4% 3.34% 0.53% 1.92% 2.81%
EBT Margin (%) 6.81% -0.27% 1.33% 2.92% 4.45% 2.14% 2.79% 3.6%
Net margin (%) 6.62% -0.37% 0.99% 2.23% 3.57% 1.77% 2.27% 2.88%
FCF margin (%) 4.68% 2.76% 3.84% 3.79% 3.79% 2.62% 3.02% 3.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 70.69% -736.82% 386.82% 170.24% 106.08% 148.01% 133.1% 130.09%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.93% 3.75% 5.17% 3.95% 6.23% 3.48% 4.52% 5.42%
ROE 12.49% 8.68% 13.37% 10.86% 17.55% 9.89% 12.6% 15.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.03% 1.95% 1.69% 1.69% 1.23% 1.33% 1.3% 1.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 37.09% 99.22% 52.58% 43.29% 27.39% 83.32% 49.18% 32.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 21.96% 70.79% 44% 44.67% 32.42% 50.67% 43.13% 33.86%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 28.16 27.23 36.35 37.49 37.74 32.32 39 48.1
Change - -3.31% 33.53% 3.12% 0.67% -14.37% 20.66% 23.35%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 4.261 5.469 7.251 5.971 6.102 7.365
Change - - - 28.36% 32.57% -17.65% 2.18% 20.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 120.9 134.3 136.1 147.8 164.9 168.1 182 200.2
Change - 11.13% 1.31% 8.6% 11.59% 1.92% 8.32% 9.96%
EPS 1 31.68 -2.29 6.42 15.23 26.86 15.37 20.76 30.96
Change - -107.23% 380.35% 137.23% 76.36% -42.77% 35.02% 49.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,549,877 1,536,133 1,565,500 1,573,500 1,449,500 1,419,000 1,419,000 1,419,000
Announcement Date 11/03/21 10/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.5x 10x
PBR 1.24x 1.14x
EV / Sales 0.13x 0.12x
Yield 2.87% 2.94%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
38
Last Close Price
207.70CNY
Average target price
304.84CNY
Spread / Average Target
+46.77%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. JD Stock
  4. Financials JD.com, Inc.