Projected Income Statement: JD.com, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -171,577 -177,577 -143,146 -169,939 -142,745 -120,324 -131,652 -156,544
Change - -3.5% 19.39% -18.72% 16% 15.71% -9.41% -18.91%
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 18,566 17,667 18,378 14,223 12,735 17,673 17,970 18,665
Change - -4.84% 4.02% -22.61% -10.46% 38.78% 1.68% 3.87%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 26,228 40,152 41,143 43,872 6,256 33,462 51,702 54,648
Change - 53.09% 2.47% 6.63% -85.74% 434.88% 54.51% 5.7%
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: JD.com, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 1.97% 3.21% 3.91% 4.48% 1.4% 2.31% 3.23% 4.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.44% 1.89% 2.4% 3.34% 0.21% 1.4% 2.12% 2.76%
EBT Margin (%) -0.27% 1.33% 2.92% 4.45% 1.93% 2.32% 3.03% 3.62%
Net margin (%) -0.37% 0.99% 2.23% 3.57% 1.5% 1.89% 2.46% 2.88%
FCF margin (%) 2.76% 3.84% 3.79% 3.79% 0.48% 2.41% 3.51% 3.52%
FCF / Net Income (%) -736.82% 386.82% 170.24% 106.08% 31.87% 127.72% 142.58% 122.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.75% 5.17% 3.95% 6.23% 2.82% 3.88% 4.9% 5.37%
ROE 8.68% 13.37% 10.86% 17.55% 8.45% 11.86% 14.61% 15.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.95% 1.69% 1.69% 1.23% 0.97% 1.27% 1.22% 1.2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 99.22% 52.58% 43.29% 27.39% 69.42% 55.08% 37.73% 29.71%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 70.79% 44% 44.67% 32.42% 203.56% 52.82% 34.76% 34.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 27.23 36.35 37.49 37.74 12.52 33.32 39.86 48.2
Change - 33.53% 3.12% 0.67% -66.83% 166.14% 19.64% 20.91%
Dividend per Share 1 - 4.261 5.469 7.251 6.891 7.205 7.803 8.901
Change - - 28.36% 32.57% -4.96% 4.55% 8.3% 14.07%
Book Value Per Share 1 134.3 136.1 147.8 164.9 160.1 169.3 188.1 206.5
Change - 1.31% 8.6% 11.59% -2.9% 5.77% 11.06% 9.77%
EPS 1 -2.29 6.42 15.23 26.86 12.9 17.9 25.77 32.29
Change - 380.35% 137.23% 76.36% -51.97% 38.79% 43.94% 25.31%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,536,133 1,565,500 1,573,500 1,449,500 1,419,000 1,350,500 1,350,500 1,350,500
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 06/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.3x 8.56x
PBR 1.3x 1.17x
EV / Sales 0.13x 0.11x
Yield 3.27% 3.54%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
37
Last Close Price
220.55CNY
Average target price
279.95CNY
Spread / Average Target
+26.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. JD Stock
  4. Financials JD.com, Inc.