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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 10.08 EUR | +1.77% |
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-0.64% | +5.89% |
| 07-17 | MIB lower, STM slides but energy names hold up well | AN |
| 07-15 | Italgas activates biomethane connection to gas distribution network in Cuneo | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Italgas S.p.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,371 | 1,537 | 1,775 | 1,779 | 2,484 | 2,795 | 2,939 | 3,122 |
| Change | - | 12.15% | 15.45% | 0.23% | 39.66% | 12.5% | 5.17% | 6.21% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,009 | 1,083 | 1,184 | 1,351 | 1,883 | 2,142 | 2,304 | 2,457 |
| Change | - | 7.31% | 9.33% | 14.13% | 39.42% | 13.7% | 7.59% | 6.61% |
| EBIT 1 | 583.2 | 622.8 | 681.2 | 820.7 | 1,206 | 1,368 | 1,486 | 1,601 |
| Change | - | 6.79% | 9.38% | 20.48% | 46.94% | 13.41% | 8.64% | 7.73% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -54 | -53.14 | -98.2 | -120.6 | -236.4 | -251 | -276.3 | -296.4 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 525.3 | 588.5 | 586.1 | 672.8 | 985.7 | 1,121 | 1,192 | 1,288 |
| Change | - | 12.03% | -0.41% | 14.79% | 46.51% | 13.74% | 6.36% | 8% |
| Net income 1 | 362.8 | 407.3 | 439.6 | 478.9 | 672.2 | 745.8 | 804.2 | 895.1 |
| Change | - | 12.27% | 7.93% | 8.94% | 40.36% | 10.95% | 7.82% | 11.31% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 12/03/24 | 12/02/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Italgas S.p.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 4,980 | 6,000 | 6,634 | 6,763 | 10,734 | 10,865 | 11,151 | 11,489 |
| Change | - | 20.48% | 10.57% | 1.94% | 58.72% | 1.22% | 2.63% | 3.03% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 12/03/24 | 12/02/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Italgas S.p.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 782.2 | 766.1 | 844.3 | 845.4 | 1,087 | 1,452 | 1,495 | 1,543 |
| Change | - | -2.06% | 10.21% | 0.13% | 28.61% | 33.53% | 2.99% | 3.22% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 49.7 | -803 | -285.3 | 258 | -1,544 | 172.5 | 241.8 | 230.7 |
| Change | - | -1,715.69% | 64.47% | 190.43% | -698.41% | 111.17% | 40.14% | -4.58% |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 12/03/24 | 12/02/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Italgas S.p.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 73.6% | 70.43% | 66.69% | 75.94% | 75.82% | 76.62% | 78.39% | 78.69% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 42.54% | 40.51% | 38.38% | 46.14% | 48.54% | 48.93% | 50.54% | 51.27% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 38.32% | 38.28% | 33.02% | 37.82% | 39.68% | 40.11% | 40.57% | 41.25% |
| Net margin (%) | 26.47% | 26.49% | 24.77% | 26.92% | 27.06% | 26.69% | 27.36% | 28.67% |
| FCF margin (%) | 3.63% | -52.23% | -16.08% | 14.5% | -62.15% | 6.17% | 8.22% | 7.39% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 13.7% | -197.15% | -64.9% | 53.87% | -229.68% | 23.13% | 30.06% | 25.77% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 3.76% | 3.85% | 3.97% | - | 5.25% | 3.98% | 4.07% | 4.2% |
| ROE | 20% | 20.37% | 20.04% | 21.38% | 21.42% | 18.68% | 18.43% | 18.8% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 4.94x | 5.54x | 5.6x | 5.01x | 5.7x | 5.07x | 4.84x | 4.68x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 100.2x | -7.47x | -23.25x | 26.21x | -6.95x | 62.99x | 46.13x | 49.81x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 57.06% | 49.83% | 47.57% | 47.53% | 43.77% | 51.95% | 50.87% | 49.44% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 77.53% | 70.76% | 71.33% | 62.58% | 57.73% | 67.8% | 64.9% | 62.83% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 1,573.84% | -95.4% | -295.93% | 327.67% | -70.43% | 841.69% | 618.55% | 669.15% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.027 | 0.7056 | 0.7064 | 1.354 | 1.724 | 1.555 | 1.644 | 1.748 |
| Change | - | -31.32% | 0.11% | 91.72% | 27.28% | -9.8% | 5.73% | 6.33% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.295 | 0.317 | 0.352 | 0.406 | 0.432 | 0.4811 | 0.5198 | 0.5724 |
| Change | - | 7.46% | 11.04% | 15.34% | 6.4% | 11.37% | 8.05% | 10.12% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 2.336 | 2.334 | 2.812 | 3.03 | 3.76 | 4.135 | 4.499 | 4.882 |
| Change | - | -0.06% | 20.47% | 7.73% | 24.1% | 9.98% | 8.81% | 8.5% |
| EPS 1 | 0.45 | 0.5 | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.713 | 0.7392 | 0.7923 | 0.8834 |
| Change | - | 11.11% | 8% | 9.26% | 20.85% | 3.67% | 7.18% | 11.5% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 809,768 | 810,246 | 810,745 | 811,242 | 1,014,692 | 1,015,686 | 1,015,686 | 1,015,686 |
| Announcement Date | 10/03/22 | 09/03/23 | 12/03/24 | 12/02/25 | 04/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 13.6x | 12.7x |
| PBR | 2.44x | 2.24x |
| EV / Sales | 7.55x | 7.28x |
| Yield | 4.78% | 5.16% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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