Projected Income Statement: Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 133,920 87,090 280,639 67,787 116,457 122,231 136,860 136,700
Change - -34.97% 222.24% -75.85% 71.8% 4.96% 11.97% -0.12%
Announcement Date 01/03/21 28/02/22 24/02/23 23/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1MXN in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 18,660 20,299 34,410 38,958 51,074 44,221 48,773 51,428
Change - 8.78% 69.52% 13.22% 31.1% -13.42% 10.29% 5.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 34,513 54,796 - 10,721 29,105 5,585 24,342 31,134
Change - 58.77% - - 171.47% -80.81% 335.85% 27.9%
Announcement Date 01/03/21 28/02/22 24/02/23 23/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1MXN in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.6% 14.82% 13.79% 13.72% 14.79% 14.32% 14.48% 14.68%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.42% 9.35% 8.83% 8.51% 9.04% 8.64% 8.94% 9.19%
EBT Margin (%) 3.84% 7.42% 6.22% 8.45% 8.54% 6.48% 7.38% 7.56%
Net margin (%) -0.39% 5.12% 3.68% 9.45% 3.61% 2.8% 3.45% 3.63%
FCF margin (%) 7% 9.85% - 1.53% 3.72% 0.66% 2.69% 3.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) -1,788.24% 192.3% - 16.15% 103.26% 23.76% 78% 88.27%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.29% 4.01% 3.22% 8.27% 3.4% 3.33% 4.12% 4.46%
ROE -0.79% 8.88% 7.35% 18.52% 7.41% 8.18% 12.17% 14.32%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.86x 1.06x 3.02x 0.7x 1.01x 1.02x 1.05x 0.96x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.88x 1.59x - 6.32x 4x 21.89x 5.62x 4.39x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.79% 3.65% 5.11% 5.54% 6.53% 5.26% 5.39% 5.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.93% 24.63% 37.07% 40.42% 44.18% 36.75% 37.25% 36.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 54.07% 37.04% - 363.38% 175.48% 791.78% 200.37% 165.18%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.88 20.42 - 13.88 20.35 8.393 18.38 -
Change - 37.24% - - 46.6% -58.75% 119.03% -
Dividend per Share 1 1.444 3.4 - - - 13.31 10.78 9.437
Change - 135.46% - - - - -19.03% -12.42%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.85 93.57 - 105.9 107 76.79 63.31 60.72
Change - 8.99% - - 0.97% -28.21% -17.56% -4.09%
EPS 1 -0.54 7.96 6.92 18.55 7.88 7.011 7.447 8.129
Change - 1,574.07% -13.07% 168.06% -57.52% -11.03% 6.22% 9.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,578,226 3,578,226 3,578,226 3,577,845 3,578,226 3,432,234 3,432,234 3,432,234
Announcement Date 01/03/21 28/02/22 24/02/23 23/02/24 27/02/25 - - -
1MXN
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 28.1x 26.4x
PBR 2.56x 3.11x
EV / Sales 0.88x 0.83x
Yield 6.77% 5.48%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
196.71MXN
Average target price
226.97MXN
Spread / Average Target
+15.38%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. FEMSA UBD Stock
  4. Financials Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.