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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 125.72 USD | -0.84% |
|
-10.13% | +2.25% |
| 01-21 | Dollar Tree Shares Fall After Downgrade From BNP Paribas Exane | MT |
| 01-21 | BNP Paribas Exane Downgrades Dollar Tree to Underperform From Neutral, Adjusts Price Target to $87 From $118 | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Dollar Tree, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: February | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 25,509 | 26,310 | 28,332 | 30,604 | 30,846 | 19,417 | 20,682 | 21,913 |
| Change | - | 3.14% | 7.68% | 8.02% | 0.79% | -37.05% | 6.52% | 5.95% |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,574 | 2,527 | 3,004 | 2,629 | 2,196 | 2,305 | 2,522 | 2,738 |
| Change | - | -1.83% | 18.87% | -12.48% | -16.46% | 4.92% | 9.43% | 8.58% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,888 | 1,811 | 2,236 | 1,788 | 1,670 | 1,657 | 1,853 | 1,996 |
| Change | - | -4.05% | 23.46% | -20.03% | -6.64% | -0.75% | 11.81% | 7.74% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -147.3 | -178.9 | -125.3 | -106.8 | -107.5 | -89.3 | -91.42 | -89.99 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,740 | 1,632 | 2,111 | -988.7 | -3,874 | 1,624 | 1,738 | 1,835 |
| Change | - | -6.18% | 29.31% | -146.84% | -291.88% | 141.91% | 7.05% | 5.58% |
| Net income 1 | 1,342 | 1,328 | 1,615 | -998.4 | -3,030 | 1,238 | 1,297 | 1,349 |
| Change | - | -1.04% | 21.65% | -161.81% | -203.5% | 140.85% | 4.75% | 4.07% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 01/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 26/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Dollar Tree, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: February | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,810 | 2,432 | 2,779 | 2,741 | 2,175 | 2,375 | 2,515 | 2,548 |
| Change | - | 34.36% | 14.27% | -1.37% | -20.65% | 9.21% | 5.89% | 1.31% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 01/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 26/03/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Dollar Tree, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: February | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 898.8 | 1,021 | 1,249 | 2,101 | 1,300 | 1,249 | 1,081 | 1,092 |
| Change | - | 13.62% | 22.29% | 68.27% | -38.11% | -3.92% | -13.45% | 0.95% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,818 | 410.3 | 366 | 583.2 | 892.8 | 432.5 | 889.6 | 1,086 |
| Change | - | -77.43% | -10.8% | 59.34% | 53.09% | -51.56% | 105.72% | 22.01% |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 01/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 26/03/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Dollar Tree, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: February | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 10.09% | 9.61% | 10.6% | 8.59% | 7.12% | 11.87% | 12.19% | 12.5% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 7.4% | 6.88% | 7.89% | 5.84% | 5.41% | 8.53% | 8.96% | 9.11% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 6.82% | 6.2% | 7.45% | -3.23% | -12.56% | 8.36% | 8.4% | 8.37% |
| Net margin (%) | 5.26% | 5.05% | 5.7% | -3.26% | -9.82% | 6.37% | 6.27% | 6.16% |
| FCF margin (%) | 7.12% | 1.56% | 1.29% | 1.91% | 2.89% | 2.23% | 4.3% | 4.95% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 135.44% | 30.9% | 22.66% | -58.41% | -29.46% | 34.94% | 68.61% | 80.45% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 6.66% | 6.3% | 7.22% | 5.74% | 5.85% | 7.61% | 8.91% | 9.17% |
| ROE | 19.82% | 17.7% | 19.62% | 16.1% | 21.07% | 30.62% | 31.28% | 28.96% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.7x | 0.96x | 0.92x | 1.04x | 0.99x | 1.03x | 1x | 0.93x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1x | 5.93x | 7.59x | 4.7x | 2.44x | 5.49x | 2.83x | 2.35x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.52% | 3.88% | 4.41% | 6.87% | 4.22% | 6.44% | 5.23% | 4.98% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 34.91% | 40.41% | 41.57% | 79.92% | 59.21% | 54.22% | 42.88% | 39.87% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 49.45% | 248.89% | 341.2% | 360.31% | 145.67% | 288.92% | 121.56% | 100.57% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 11.45 | 6.251 | 7.206 | 12.23 | 10.16 | 9.728 | 10.7 | 11.53 |
| Change | - | -45.39% | 15.27% | 69.73% | -16.94% | -4.24% | 10% | 7.74% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 30.7 | 33.71 | 39.56 | 33.56 | 18.42 | 18.3 | 24.25 | 29.7 |
| Change | - | 9.79% | 17.37% | -15.16% | -45.11% | -0.66% | 32.48% | 22.49% |
| EPS 1 | 5.65 | 5.8 | 7.21 | -4.55 | -14.05 | 5.972 | 6.586 | 7.333 |
| Change | - | 2.65% | 24.31% | -163.11% | -208.79% | 142.51% | 10.28% | 11.33% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 235,192 | 224,956 | 221,184 | 217,872 | 215,039 | 198,853 | 198,853 | 198,853 |
| Announcement Date | 03/03/21 | 02/03/22 | 01/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 26/03/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 21.2x | 19.3x |
| PBR | 6.93x | 5.23x |
| EV / Sales | 1.42x | 1.34x |
| Yield | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- DLTR Stock
- Financials Dollar Tree, Inc.
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