Projected Income Statement: CK Hutchison Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: CK Hutchison Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 168,169 148,808 131,810 129,614 113,789 133,985 114,687 92,050
Change - -11.51% -11.42% -1.67% -12.21% 17.75% -14.4% -19.74%
Announcement Date 17/03/22 16/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 19/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CK Hutchison Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 39,643 25,852 25,301 22,350 20,835 20,728 21,145 21,591
Change - -34.79% -2.13% -11.66% -6.78% -0.51% 2.01% 2.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,541 30,862 26,136 31,878 41,732 75,504 40,870 42,270
Change - 146.09% -15.31% 21.97% 30.91% 80.92% -45.87% 3.43%
Announcement Date 17/03/22 16/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 19/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CK Hutchison Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 30.46% 31.09% 27.58% 10.99% 11.31% 11.42% 11.8% 11.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.45% 17.12% 13.6% 13.11% 3.74% 5.77% 6.21% 6.3%
EBT Margin (%) 11.22% 13.09% 8.36% 7.28% 6.43% 11.29% 8.83% 8.82%
Net margin (%) 7.52% 8.02% 5.09% 3.58% 2.33% 6.88% 5.19% 5.49%
FCF margin (%) 2.82% 6.75% 5.66% 6.69% 8.23% 14.54% 8.07% 8.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 37.45% 84.14% 111.22% 186.55% 352.44% 211.25% 155.63% 148.58%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.71% 3.11% 2.04% 1.5% 1.04% 3.13% 2.84% 2.95%
ROE 6.49% 6.96% 4.37% 3.15% 2.16% 4.46% 4.14% 4.25%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.24x 1.05x 1.04x 2.47x 1.98x 2.26x 1.92x 1.55x
Debt / Free cash flow 13.41x 4.82x 5.04x 4.07x 2.73x 1.77x 2.81x 2.18x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.9% 5.65% 5.48% 4.69% 4.11% 3.99% 4.18% 4.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.22% 18.19% 19.87% 42.68% 36.33% 34.95% 35.41% 36.44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 316.11% 83.77% 96.81% 70.11% 49.93% 27.45% 51.74% 51.08%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.56 14.79 13.43 14.16 16.34 16.89 16.48 17.19
Change - 9.07% -9.21% 5.43% 15.38% 3.41% -2.43% 4.28%
Dividend per Share 1 2.66 2.926 2.531 2.202 2.312 2.687 2.621 2.804
Change - 10% -13.5% -13% 5% 16.23% -2.46% 6.98%
Book Value Per Share 1 137.1 299.8 143.2 139.6 146.9 156.1 160.5 165.4
Change - 118.78% -52.23% -2.53% 5.25% 6.22% 2.85% 3.03%
EPS 1 8.7 9.57 6.14 4.46 3.09 8.732 6.728 7.324
Change - 10% -35.84% -27.36% -30.72% 182.58% -22.94% 8.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,834,635 3,830,045 3,830,045 3,830,045 3,830,045 3,830,044 3,830,044 3,830,044
Announcement Date 17/03/22 16/03/23 21/03/24 20/03/25 19/03/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.18x 10.6x
PBR 0.46x 0.45x
EV / Sales 0.79x 0.77x
Yield 3.76% 3.67%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
71.45HKD
Average target price
84.98HKD
Spread / Average Target
+18.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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