Projected Income Statement: China Resources Land Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Resources Land Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 180,350 72,129 129,728 135,516 188,125 183,634 173,610 170,343
Change - -60.01% 79.86% 4.46% 38.82% -2.39% -5.46% -1.88%
Announcement Date 30/03/22 29/03/23 25/03/24 25/03/25 29/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Resources Land Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,590 2,150 1,222 948.8 1,766 1,621 1,638
Change - -16.97% -43.16% -22.37% - -8.2% 1.02%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,732 27,480 49,932 48,581 19,709 40,583 48,434
Change - 379.43% 81.71% -2.71% - 105.91% 19.35%
Announcement Date 30/03/22 29/03/23 25/03/24 25/03/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Resources Land Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.94% 21.42% 20.11% 17.24% 16.61% 19.96% 21.45% 23.18%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.33% 20.77% 19.58% 16.69% 16.07% 18.39% 19.69% 20.92%
EBT Margin (%) 28.46% 26.81% 26.45% 20.89% 18.96% 19.44% 20.98% 22.47%
Net margin (%) 15.28% 13.57% 12.49% 9.18% 9.03% 9.92% 10.74% 11.36%
FCF margin (%) 2.19% 11.62% 18.33% 16.27% - 6.84% 14.35% 16.81%
FCF / Net Income (%) 14.35% 85.67% 146.77% 177.17% - 68.93% 133.67% 148%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.56% 2.77% 2.76% 2.21% 2.3% 2.2% 2.22% 2.4%
ROE 15.07% 11.94% 12.33% 9.52% 9.04% 7.71% 7.89% 8.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.14x 1.42x 2.37x 2.63x 3.55x 3.19x 2.86x 2.55x
Debt / Free cash flow 31.47x 2.62x 2.6x 2.79x - 9.32x 4.28x 3.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.99% 0.91% 0.45% 0.32% - 0.61% 0.57% 0.57%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4.51% 4.25% 2.23% 1.84% - 3.07% 2.67% 2.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 45.19% 7.83% 2.45% 1.95% - 8.96% 4% 3.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.167 4.155 7.174 6.946 - 2.928 4.148 3.225
Change - 256.06% 72.64% -3.18% - - 41.68% -22.25%
Dividend per Share 1 1.702 1.597 1.563 1.413 1.321 1.409 1.484 1.609
Change - -6.14% -2.14% -9.61% -6.48% 6.65% 5.34% 8.42%
Book Value Per Share 1 39.17 39.01 40.29 40.91 46 49.03 51.85 54.83
Change - -0.4% 3.26% 1.56% 12.43% 6.59% 5.74% 5.76%
EPS 1 5.598 4.499 4.772 3.845 4.034 3.957 4.17 4.508
Change - -19.64% 6.08% -19.43% 4.91% -1.91% 5.38% 8.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,130,940 7,130,940 7,130,940 7,130,940 7,130,940 7,130,940 7,130,940 7,130,940
Announcement Date 30/03/22 29/03/23 25/03/24 25/03/25 29/03/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.08x 8.61x
PBR 0.73x 0.69x
EV / Sales 1.53x 1.52x
Yield 3.92% 4.13%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
35.92HKD
Average target price
41.33HKD
Spread / Average Target
+15.07%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 1109 Stock
  4. Financials China Resources Land Limited