Projected Income Statement: Cerence Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Cerence Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 143 176 166 155 112 51 31.2 -9.31
Change - 23.08% -5.68% -6.63% -27.74% -54.56% -38.82% -129.84%
Announcement Date 22/11/21 29/11/22 27/11/23 21/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Cerence Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 12.05 17.45 5.124 4.996 14.36 4.2 4.5 4.2
Change - 44.82% -70.63% -2.5% 187.35% -70.74% 7.14% -6.67%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 62.34 -19.58 2.374 12.2 46.82 77.25 64.4 78
Change - -131.41% 112.12% 413.9% 283.75% 65% -16.63% 21.12%
Announcement Date 22/11/21 29/11/22 27/11/23 21/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Cerence Inc.

Fiscal Period: September 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - 40.27% 26.34% 14.1% 24.32% 19.09% 22.21% 20.43% 22.68%
EBIT Margin (%) - 37.82% 23.46% 10.78% 21.81% 15.56% 18.83% 16.93% 18.88%
EBT Margin (%) - 12.47% -60.61% -12.36% -176.35% -3.5% 7.98% 10.43% 13.2%
Net margin (%) - 11.85% -94.8% -19.1% -177.4% -7.43% 0.9% 8.06% 8.33%
FCF margin (%) - 16.1% -5.97% 0.81% 3.68% 18.59% 24.71% 22.29% 26.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) - 135.84% 6.3% -4.22% -2.07% -250.17% 2,744.23% 276.44% 313.33%

Profitability

         
ROA 1.48% 2.42% 1.42% -0.73% 2.89% 1.23% - - -
ROE -2.04% 4.61% -35.63% -7.99% -140.69% -12.83% - - -

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.92x 2.03x 3.99x 1.92x 2.34x 0.73x 0.53x -
Debt / Free cash flow - 2.29x -8.96x 69.75x 12.7x 2.4x 0.66x 0.48x -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 3.11% 5.32% 1.74% 1.51% 5.7% 1.34% 1.56% 1.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 7.73% 20.2% 12.34% 6.2% 29.87% 6.05% 7.62% 6.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 19.32% -89.08% 215.84% 40.95% 30.66% 5.44% 6.99% 5.38%

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - 2.858 3.49 - - -
Change - - - - - 22.1% - - -
EPS 1 - 1.17 -7.93 -1.4 -14.12 -0.43 0.045 0.45 0.59
Change - - -777.78% 82.35% -908.57% 96.95% 110.47% 900% 31.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 38,006 39,383 40,333 41,804 43,320 45,230 45,230 45,230
Announcement Date - 22/11/21 29/11/22 27/11/23 21/11/24 19/11/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 187x 18.7x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 1.38x 1.43x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
8.430USD
Average target price
10.75USD
Spread / Average Target
+27.52%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. CRNC Stock
  4. Financials Cerence Inc.