Projected Income Statement: BYD Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -16,091 -38,436 -78,213 -82,378 28,763 -43,167 -91,118 -171,277
Change - -138.87% -103.49% -5.33% 134.92% -250.08% -111.08% -87.97%
Announcement Date 29/03/22 28/03/23 26/03/24 24/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 37,344 97,457 122,094 97,360 154,710 99,097 98,229 97,682
Change - 160.97% 25.28% -20.26% 58.91% -35.95% -0.88% -0.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,123 43,381 47,632 36,094 -97,672 393 58,909 118,091
Change - 54.25% 9.8% -24.22% -370.6% 100.4% 14,889.57% 100.46%
Announcement Date 29/03/22 28/03/23 26/03/24 24/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.58% 9.86% 13.56% 14.77% 14.68% 13.84% 14.49% 15.17%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.11% 5.08% 6.33% 6.5% 5% 4.69% 5.48% 6.16%
EBT Margin (%) 2.14% 4.97% 6.19% 6.39% 4.94% 5.26% 5.91% 6.49%
Net margin (%) 1.44% 3.92% 4.99% 5.18% 4.06% 4.31% 4.88% 5.35%
FCF margin (%) 13.31% 10.23% 7.91% 4.64% -12.15% 0.04% 5.73% 10.47%
FCF / Net Income (%) 923.53% 260.98% 158.56% 89.67% -299.43% 1% 117.54% 195.59%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.23% 4.21% 5.12% 5.5% 3.91% 3.97% 4.71% 4.99%
ROE 4.01% 16.13% 24.05% 24.84% 15.31% 14.3% 16.19% 16.63%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.24x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -0.29x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.67% 22.98% 20.27% 12.53% 19.24% 9.85% 8.87% 8.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 184.54% 232.98% 149.52% 84.85% 131.05% 72.79% 62.59% 54.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 132.79% 224.65% 256.33% 269.74% -158.4% 328.61% 180.88% 93.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.596 16.13 19.45 15.29 6.552 13.78 15.72 17.92
Change - 112.3% 20.64% -21.38% -57.17% 110.35% 14.06% 14%
Dividend per Share 1 0.035 0.3807 1.032 1.325 0.358 0.4585 1.146 1.371
Change - 987.63% 171.1% 28.36% -72.97% 28.06% 150.04% 19.6%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.89 12.71 15.92 21.23 27.01 30.71 35.52 40.7
Change - 16.79% 25.23% 33.33% 27.26% 13.68% 15.67% 14.6%
EPS 1 0.3533 1.903 3.44 4.613 3.58 4.331 5.51 6.601
Change - 438.68% 80.74% 34.11% -22.4% 20.99% 27.22% 19.79%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,733,429 8,716,895 8,716,895 8,716,224 9,105,624 9,085,053 9,085,053 9,085,053
Announcement Date 29/03/22 28/03/23 26/03/24 24/03/25 27/03/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.1x 14.3x
PBR 2.56x 2.21x
EV / Sales 0.83x 0.69x
Yield 0.58% 1.46%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
78.59CNY
Average target price
107.60CNY
Spread / Average Target
+36.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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