Projected Income Statement: adidas AG

Forecast Balance Sheet: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 1,714 1,194 -1,333 2,675 1,548 3,830 3,094 2,199
Change - -30.34% -211.64% 100.68% -42.13% 147.42% -19.22% -28.93%
Announcement Date 11/03/20 10/03/21 09/03/22 08/03/23 31/01/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 598 379 667 695 504 586.5 673.4 702.1
Change - -36.62% 75.99% 4.2% -27.48% 16.38% 14.8% 4.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,221 1,107 2,525 -1,238 2,126 1,245 1,692 2,232
Change - -50.16% 128.09% -149.03% -271.73% -41.45% 35.93% 31.92%
Announcement Date 11/03/20 10/03/21 09/03/22 08/03/23 31/01/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: adidas AG

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.39% 10.69% 14.76% 9.08% 6.91% 10.19% 12.84% 14.88%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.25% 3.78% 9.35% 2.97% 1.25% 4.94% 7.87% 10.01%
EBT Margin (%) 10.82% 2.9% 8.72% 1.72% 0.3% 3.98% 7.15% 9.17%
Net margin (%) 8.36% 2.18% 9.97% 2.72% -0.35% 2.7% 5.16% 6.73%
FCF margin (%) 9.4% 5.58% 11.89% -5.5% 9.92% 5.39% 6.7% 8.05%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.4% 256.25% 119.33% -202.29% -2,834.67% 200.09% 129.92% 119.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.89% 2.07% 9.8% 2.88% -0.39% 3.3% 6.93% 9.18%
ROE 30% 6.52% 30.29% 9.78% -1.57% 13.54% 24.72% 29.48%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.44x 0.56x - 1.31x 1.05x 1.63x 0.95x 0.53x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.77x 1.08x - -2.16x 0.73x 3.08x 1.83x 0.99x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.53% 1.91% 3.14% 3.09% 2.35% 2.54% 2.67% 2.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.44% 17.87% 21.28% 34% 34.05% 24.94% 20.76% 17.02%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 26.92% 34.24% 26.42% -56.14% 23.71% 47.12% 39.8% 31.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.27 7.614 16.44 -2.963 14.73 12.47 15.05 19.43
Change - -46.62% 115.89% -118.02% -597.12% -15.36% 20.71% 29.1%
Dividend per Share 1 3.85 3 3.3 0.7 0.7 1.257 2.798 4.278
Change - -22.08% 10% -78.79% 0% 79.55% 122.61% 52.92%
Book Value Per Share 1 34.68 33.09 38.72 27.96 25.65 28.99 35.04 43.28
Change - -4.59% 17.03% -27.81% -8.24% 13.03% 20.86% 23.5%
EPS 1 10 2.21 10.9 3.34 -0.42 3.455 7.283 10.47
Change - -77.9% 393.21% -69.36% -112.57% -922.72% 110.76% 43.75%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 196,175 195,033 191,595 193,215 178,549 178,549 178,549 178,549
Announcement Date 11/03/20 10/03/21 09/03/22 08/03/23 31/01/24 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 63.2x 30x
PBR 7.54x 6.24x
EV / Sales 1.86x 1.67x
Yield 0.58% 1.28%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
218.50EUR
Average target price
236.38EUR
Spread / Average Target
+8.18%
Consensus
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