Projected Income Statement: YPF Sociedad Anónima

Forecast Balance Sheet: YPF Sociedad Anónima

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 641,024 764,477 1,203,577 5,753,637 7,912,750 13,280,047 14,198,804 14,446,170
Change - 19.26% 57.44% 378.04% 37.53% 67.83% 6.92% 1.74%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 10/03/23 06/03/24 07/03/25 - - -
1ARS in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: YPF Sociedad Anónima

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 114,616 264,909 841,460 4,807,243 5,365,640 7,193,528 7,758,185 7,900,666
Change - 131.13% 217.64% 471.3% 11.62% 34.07% 7.85% 1.84%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 94,600 189,823 301,296 193,677 -808,944 -1,257,516 -846,853 371,456
Change - 100.66% 58.72% -35.72% -517.68% -55.45% 32.66% 143.86%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 10/03/23 06/03/24 07/03/25 - - -
1ARS in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: YPF Sociedad Anónima

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.51% 29% 26.31% 23.44% 24.12% 27.88% 31.38% 35.2%
EBIT Margin (%) -13.93% 4.68% 13.85% 5.03% 7.67% 9.88% 13.75% 17.68%
EBT Margin (%) -9.71% 5.02% 16.29% -1.48% 6.12% 4.55% 12.18% 15.13%
Net margin (%) -11.54% -0.17% 11.88% -7.58% 12.17% 3.15% 8.28% 10.18%
FCF margin (%) 11.17% 13.27% 7.98% 1.32% -3.94% -4.79% -3.29% 1.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) -96.83% -7,639.13% 67.2% -17.45% -32.39% -151.76% -39.69% 12.9%

Profitability

        
ROA -3.98% -0.1% 9.06% -5.15% 8.63% 0.4% 2.65% 5.08%
ROE -11.42% -0.28% 23.68% 9.96% 22.8% 6.47% 11.78% 13.59%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.88x 1.84x 1.21x 1.68x 1.6x 1.81x 1.76x 1.45x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.78x 4.03x 3.99x 29.71x -9.78x -10.56x -16.77x 38.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.54% 18.52% 22.29% 32.82% 26.14% 27.38% 30.1% 27.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 87.3% 63.87% 84.74% 140.01% 108.38% 98.22% 95.92% 79.32%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 121.16% 139.56% 279.28% 2,482.1% -663.29% -572.04% -916.12% 2,126.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 533.1 1,012 2,915 12,769 15,966 19,653 16,155 -
Change - 89.79% 188.16% 337.99% 25.03% 23.1% -17.8% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1,725 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 -177.4 -6.482 1,141 -2,833 6,372 -42.73 2,493 -
Change - 96.35% 17,701.17% -348.32% 324.91% -100.67% 5,933.33% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 393,313 393,313 393,313 393,313 393,313 392,411 392,411 -
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 10/03/23 06/03/24 07/03/25 - - -
1ARS
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio -1,236x 21.2x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 1.29x 1.36x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
52,825.00ARS
Average target price
84,820.33ARS
Spread / Average Target
+60.57%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. YPFD Stock
  4. Financials YPF Sociedad Anónima