Projected Income Statement: YPF Sociedad Anónima

Forecast Balance Sheet: YPF Sociedad Anónima

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 764,477 1,203,577 5,753,637 7,912,750 13,243,646 13,192,737 13,469,611 12,481,341
Change - 57.44% 378.04% 37.53% 67.37% -0.38% 2.1% -7.34%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 10/03/23 06/03/24 07/03/25 27/02/26 - - -
1ARS in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: YPF Sociedad Anónima

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 264,909 841,460 4,807,243 5,365,640 6,317,047 7,803,151 7,928,478 7,762,172
Change - 217.64% 471.3% 11.62% 17.73% 23.53% 1.61% -2.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 189,823 301,296 193,677 -808,944 -2,562,376 -1,251,596 -75,997 1,294,371
Change - 58.72% -35.72% -517.68% -216.76% 51.15% 93.93% 1,803.19%
Announcement Date 03/03/22 10/03/23 06/03/24 07/03/25 27/02/26 - - -
1ARS in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: YPF Sociedad Anónima

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29% 26.31% 23.44% 24.12% 27.15% 32.13% 35.63% 36.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.68% 13.85% 5.03% 7.67% 9.43% 15.9% 18.69% 20.13%
EBT Margin (%) 5.02% 16.29% -1.48% 6.12% 4.93% 13.37% 16.07% 17.03%
Net margin (%) -0.17% 11.88% -7.58% 12.17% -4.48% 8.77% 11.07% 11.64%
FCF margin (%) 13.27% 7.98% 1.32% -3.94% -9.86% -4.62% -0.27% 4.09%
FCF / Net Income (%) -7,639.13% 67.2% -17.45% -32.39% 220.32% -52.68% -2.41% 35.14%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.1% 9.06% -5.15% 8.63% -2.98% 3.4% 5.51% 6.1%
ROE -0.28% 23.68% 9.96% 22.8% -7.86% 11.98% 14.83% 15.22%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.84x 1.21x 1.68x 1.6x 1.88x 1.52x 1.33x 1.08x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.03x 3.99x 29.71x -9.78x -5.17x -10.54x -177.24x 9.64x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 18.52% 22.29% 32.82% 26.14% 24.32% 28.8% 27.86% 24.53%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 63.87% 84.74% 140.01% 108.38% 89.57% 89.64% 78.19% 67.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 139.56% 279.28% 2,482.1% -663.29% -246.53% -623.46% -10,432.66% 599.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1,012 2,915 12,769 15,966 17,874 18,065 - -
Change - 188.16% 337.99% 25.03% 11.95% 1.07% - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 -6.482 1,141 -2,833 6,372 -2,971 7,164 - -
Change - 17,701.17% -348.32% 324.91% -146.62% 341.13% - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 393,313 393,313 393,313 393,313 392,411 393,313 - -
Announcement Date 03/03/22 10/03/23 06/03/24 07/03/25 27/02/26 - - -
1ARS
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 8.79x -
PBR - -
EV / Sales 1.4x 1.34x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
62,950.00ARS
Average target price
89,353.67ARS
Spread / Average Target
+41.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. YPFD Stock
  4. Financials YPF Sociedad Anónima