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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 57.65 EUR | -0.52% |
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-2.86% | -7.02% |
| 05-21 | Berenberg Cuts Price Target, Forecasts for Verbund on Generation, Tax Headwinds | MT |
| 05-18 | Verbund Kept at Underperform as RBC Notes Q1 Results; Estimates Updated | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Verbund AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 896.9 | 10,346 | 10,450 | 8,245 | 8,014 | 7,439 | 7,771 | 7,302 |
| Change | - | 1,053.54% | 1% | -21.1% | -2.8% | -7.17% | 4.46% | -6.04% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,579 | 3,161 | 4,490 | 3,480 | 2,737 | 2,307 | 2,722 | 2,534 |
| Change | - | 100.17% | 42.07% | -22.5% | -21.34% | -15.73% | 18.01% | -6.93% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,162 | 2,626 | 3,502 | 2,726 | 2,112 | 1,661 | 2,008 | 1,783 |
| Change | - | 126.07% | 33.34% | -22.16% | -22.51% | -21.38% | 20.94% | -11.2% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -39.43 | -94.08 | 55.5 | -60 | -88.81 | -120.3 | -146.3 | -171.7 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,264 | 2,532 | 3,557 | 2,778 | 2,116 | 1,599 | 1,924 | 1,692 |
| Change | - | 100.25% | 40.49% | -21.9% | -23.84% | -24.42% | 20.32% | -12.09% |
| Net income 1 | 873.6 | 1,717 | 2,266 | 1,875 | 1,489 | 1,097 | 1,303 | 1,126 |
| Change | - | 96.55% | 31.98% | -17.25% | -20.58% | -26.35% | 18.75% | -13.56% |
| Announcement Date | 17/03/22 | 16/03/23 | 14/03/24 | 20/03/25 | 18/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Verbund AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 3,511 | 3,898 | 1,759 | 1,977 | 2,818 | 3,989 | 4,765 | 5,454 |
| Change | - | 11.02% | -54.87% | 12.39% | 42.54% | 41.55% | 19.45% | 14.46% |
| Announcement Date | 17/03/22 | 16/03/23 | 14/03/24 | 20/03/25 | 18/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Verbund AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 854 | 1,091 | 1,399 | 1,138 | 1,368 | 2,378 | 2,166 | 1,853 |
| Change | - | 27.77% | 28.16% | -18.66% | 20.29% | 73.78% | -8.9% | -14.45% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -755.9 | 928.6 | 3,684 | 2,111 | 550.2 | -404 | 98.67 | 299.5 |
| Change | - | 222.85% | 296.76% | -42.7% | -73.94% | -173.42% | 124.42% | 203.55% |
| Announcement Date | 17/03/22 | 16/03/23 | 14/03/24 | 20/03/25 | 18/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Verbund AG
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 176.05% | 30.55% | 42.97% | 42.21% | 34.16% | 31.01% | 35.03% | 34.7% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 129.52% | 25.38% | 33.51% | 33.06% | 26.36% | 22.32% | 25.84% | 24.42% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 140.98% | 24.47% | 34.04% | 33.7% | 26.41% | 21.5% | 24.76% | 23.17% |
| Net margin (%) | 97.4% | 16.6% | 21.69% | 22.75% | 18.59% | 14.75% | 16.76% | 15.42% |
| FCF margin (%) | -84.28% | 8.98% | 35.26% | 25.61% | 6.87% | -5.43% | 1.27% | 4.1% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -86.53% | 54.08% | 162.59% | 112.57% | 36.94% | -36.83% | 7.57% | 26.6% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 6% | 9.42% | 11.73% | 9.82% | 7.89% | 5.17% | 6.56% | 4.85% |
| ROE | 15% | 26.5% | 28% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 10.58% | 11.76% | 9.42% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.22x | 1.23x | 0.39x | 0.57x | 1.03x | 1.73x | 1.75x | 2.15x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -4.64x | 4.2x | 0.48x | 0.94x | 5.12x | -9.87x | 48.29x | 18.21x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 95.22% | 10.55% | 13.38% | 13.8% | 17.08% | 31.96% | 27.88% | 25.38% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 54.09% | 34.52% | 31.14% | 32.68% | 49.99% | 103.08% | 79.58% | 73.15% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -112.99% | 117.51% | 37.96% | 53.88% | 248.68% | -588.59% | 2,195.63% | 618.81% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.2826 | 5.814 | 14.63 | 9.35 | 5.52 | 5.542 | 6.608 | 6.395 |
| Change | - | 1,957.69% | 151.65% | -36.09% | -40.96% | 0.4% | 19.23% | -3.22% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.05 | 3.6 | 4.15 | 2.8 | 2 | 1.603 | 1.885 | 1.65 |
| Change | - | 242.86% | 15.28% | -32.53% | -28.57% | -19.83% | 17.57% | -12.48% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 15.72 | 20.94 | 28.7 | 28.72 | 29.77 | 31.26 | 33.74 | 35.54 |
| Change | - | 33.22% | 37.01% | 0.08% | 3.64% | 5.03% | 7.94% | 5.32% |
| EPS 1 | 2.51 | 4.94 | 6.52 | 5.4 | 4.29 | 3.198 | 3.766 | 3.272 |
| Change | - | 96.81% | 31.98% | -17.18% | -20.56% | -25.46% | 17.76% | -13.11% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 | 347,416 |
| Announcement Date | 17/03/22 | 16/03/23 | 14/03/24 | 20/03/25 | 18/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 18x | 15.3x |
| PBR | 1.84x | 1.71x |
| EV / Sales | 3.23x | 3.19x |
| Yield | 2.78% | 3.27% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Verbund AG
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