Projected Income Statement: Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -861 -2,016 -2,354 -1,505 -3,206 -3,954 -3,965 -5,027
Change - -134.15% -16.77% 36.07% -113.02% -23.35% -0.28% -26.78%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 07/03/22 08/03/23 06/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 385.1 437.3 545.9 1,079 696.9 906.8 904 997.3
Change - 13.55% 24.83% 97.62% -35.4% 30.12% -0.31% 10.33%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,830 1,984 884.4 1,975 3,676 2,963 2,916 3,136
Change - -29.89% -55.43% 123.28% 86.17% -19.41% -1.57% 7.52%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 07/03/22 08/03/23 06/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.14% 13.49% 10.38% 10.94% 11.94% 11.39% 11.64% 12.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.32% 7.55% 5.29% 6.98% 7.4% 7.89% 8.17% 8.45%
EBT Margin (%) 10.22% 8.49% 6.13% 7.83% 8.19% 9.05% 9.24% 9.64%
Net margin (%) 7.14% 5.95% 4.33% 5.83% 6.1% 6.74% 6.86% 7.15%
FCF margin (%) 12.43% 7.86% 3.13% 6.91% 12.12% 9.1% 8.49% 8.63%
FCF / Net Income (%) 174.08% 132.21% 72.36% 118.45% 198.82% 135% 123.84% 120.78%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.41% 6.8% 5.57% 7.59% 8.13% 9.27% 9.94% 10.54%
ROE 11.81% 10.85% 9.07% 12.55% 13.81% 16.2% 17.18% 19.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.69% 1.73% 1.93% 3.77% 2.3% 2.78% 2.63% 2.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.48% 12.85% 18.62% 34.49% 19.25% 24.45% 22.63% 22.85%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.61% 22.04% 61.73% 54.63% 18.96% 30.6% 31% 31.81%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7444 0.5606 0.3311 0.7069 1.012 0.7959 0.8499 0.9008
Change - -24.69% -40.94% 113.5% 43.23% -21.39% 6.79% 5.98%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3764 0.4169 0.3395 0.4245 0.4281 0.514 0.5499 0.6086
Change - 10.76% -18.57% 25.04% 0.85% 20.07% 6.97% 10.68%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.215 3.187 3.052 3.098 3.102 3.207 3.235 3.244
Change - -0.87% -4.24% 1.53% 0.12% 3.4% 0.85% 0.29%
EPS 1 0.3764 0.3474 0.283 0.386 0.4281 0.5074 0.5453 0.6016
Change - -7.7% -18.54% 36.4% 10.91% 18.53% 7.47% 10.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334
Announcement Date 19/03/21 07/03/22 08/03/23 06/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 17.2x 16x
PBR 2.72x 2.69x
EV / Sales 1.03x 0.98x
Yield 5.9% 6.31%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
8.717CNY
Average target price
9.364CNY
Spread / Average Target
+7.42%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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