Projected Income Statement: Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -861 -2,016 -2,354 -1,505 -3,206 -4,216 -4,647 -5,178
Change - -134.15% -16.77% 36.07% -113.02% -31.52% -10.22% -11.43%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 07/03/22 08/03/23 06/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 385.1 437.3 545.9 1,079 696.9 894.1 903.3 951.6
Change - 13.55% 24.83% 97.62% -35.4% 28.3% 1.03% 5.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,830 1,984 884.4 1,975 3,676 2,923 2,891 3,073
Change - -29.89% -55.43% 123.28% 86.17% -20.48% -1.12% 6.29%
Announcement Date 19/03/21 07/03/22 08/03/23 06/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Uni-President China Holdings Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.14% 13.49% 10.38% 10.94% 11.94% 11.59% 11.77% 11.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.32% 7.55% 5.29% 6.98% 7.4% 8.22% 8.43% 8.67%
EBT Margin (%) 10.22% 8.49% 6.13% 7.83% 8.19% 9.27% 9.47% 9.69%
Net margin (%) 7.14% 5.95% 4.33% 5.83% 6.1% 6.86% 7.02% 7.21%
FCF margin (%) 12.43% 7.86% 3.13% 6.91% 12.12% 9.05% 8.46% 8.5%
FCF / Net Income (%) 174.08% 132.21% 72.36% 118.45% 198.82% 131.9% 120.53% 117.94%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.41% 6.8% 5.57% 7.59% 8.13% 9.16% 9.75% 10.19%
ROE 11.81% 10.85% 9.07% 12.55% 13.81% 16.42% 17.63% 19.01%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.69% 1.73% 1.93% 3.77% 2.3% 2.77% 2.64% 2.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.48% 12.85% 18.62% 34.49% 19.25% 23.89% 22.46% 21.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.61% 22.04% 61.73% 54.63% 18.96% 30.59% 31.25% 30.97%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7444 0.5606 0.3311 0.7069 1.012 0.8309 0.8403 0.8589
Change - -24.69% -40.94% 113.5% 43.23% -17.94% 1.14% 2.22%
Dividend per Share 1 0.3764 0.4169 0.3395 0.4245 0.4281 0.5065 0.5502 0.5981
Change - 10.76% -18.57% 25.04% 0.85% 18.31% 8.64% 8.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.215 3.187 3.052 3.098 3.102 3.191 3.223 3.262
Change - -0.87% -4.24% 1.53% 0.12% 2.88% 0.98% 1.22%
EPS 1 0.3764 0.3474 0.283 0.386 0.4281 0.5125 0.5542 0.6032
Change - -7.7% -18.54% 36.4% 10.91% 19.71% 8.14% 8.84%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334 4,319,334
Announcement Date 19/03/21 07/03/22 08/03/23 06/03/24 05/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 14x 12.9x
PBR 2.24x 2.22x
EV / Sales 0.83x 0.77x
Yield 7.08% 7.69%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
7.154CNY
Average target price
9.392CNY
Spread / Average Target
+31.29%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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