Projected Income Statement: Umicore

Forecast Balance Sheet: Umicore

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,414 960 1,104 1,266 1,424 1,546 1,363 1,400
Change - -32.11% 15% 14.67% 12.48% 8.55% -11.84% 2.71%
Announcement Date 11/02/21 16/02/22 16/02/23 16/02/24 14/02/25 20/02/26 - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Umicore

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 391.5 389 491.3 884.8 582.2 402.9 389.3 410.9
Change - -0.64% 26.3% 80.09% -34.2% -30.8% -3.36% 5.54%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 136.8 989 142.9 157.9 286.5 106.7 273.4 249
Change - 622.95% -85.55% 10.5% 81.44% -62.76% 156.23% -8.94%
Announcement Date 11/02/21 16/02/22 16/02/23 16/02/24 14/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Umicore

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.82% 31.57% 27.7% 25.08% 22.05% 23.78% 24.28% 24.92%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.55% 24.51% 20.82% 17.39% 13.81% 16.25% 16.59% 17.01%
EBT Margin (%) 6.02% 20.34% 17.09% 12.44% -41.15% 21.66% 12.25% 13.7%
Net margin (%) 4.03% 15.62% 13.72% 9.93% -42.76% 10.79% 9.28% 9.84%
FCF margin (%) 4.22% 24.96% 3.44% 4.07% 8.28% 3.01% 7.5% 6.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) 104.83% 159.77% 25.07% 41.01% -19.36% 36.82% 80.89% 67.17%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.19% 3.84% 6.25% 4.49% -15.27% 2.82% 2.81% 3.63%
ROE 12.5% 23.06% 17.89% 12.46% 9.11% 13.8% 12.58% 13.71%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.76x 0.77x 0.96x 1.3x 1.87x 1.85x 1.54x 1.49x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.34x 0.97x 7.73x 8.02x 4.97x 14.49x 4.98x 5.62x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.09% 9.82% 11.82% 22.83% 16.82% 11.36% 10.69% 10.9%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.69% 31.1% 42.68% 91.03% 76.3% 48.13% 44.02% 43.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 286.18% 39.33% 343.81% 560.35% 203.21% 377.57% 142.4% 165.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.185 5.218 2.635 4.337 3.61 2.684 2.592 2.691
Change - 138.8% -49.5% 64.6% -16.76% -25.66% -3.43% 3.83%
Dividend per Share 1 0.25 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.5092 0.506 0.5417
Change - 220% 0% 0% 0% -36.35% -0.62% 7.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.63 12.91 14.64 15.23 8.06 9.442 10.65 11.29
Change - 21.45% 13.4% 4.03% -47.08% 17.15% 12.82% 6.01%
EPS 1 0.54 2.56 2.37 1.6 -6.15 1.59 1.306 1.489
Change - 374.07% -7.42% -32.49% -484.38% 125.85% -34.62% 14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 240,535 241,183 240,092 240,400 240,481 240,562 240,562 240,562
Announcement Date 11/02/21 16/02/22 16/02/23 16/02/24 14/02/25 20/02/26 - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 11.3x 12.7x
PBR 1.76x 1.56x
EV / Sales 1.21x 1.47x
Yield 3.07% 3.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
16.61EUR
Average target price
18.83EUR
Spread / Average Target
+13.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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