Projected Income Statement: UCB

Forecast Balance Sheet: UCB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 860 2,000 2,177 1,454 -7 -1,487 -3,424 -5,887
Change - 132.56% 8.85% -33.21% -100.48% -21,142.86% -130.26% -71.93%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 22/02/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: UCB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 282 252 316 322 449 423.6 470 537.8
Change - -10.64% 25.4% 1.9% 39.44% -5.66% 10.96% 14.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,271 867 445 920 1,842 1,943 2,562 3,152
Change - -31.79% -48.67% 106.74% 100.22% 5.48% 31.87% 23.04%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 22/02/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: UCB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.41% 22.84% 25.69% 23.99% 34.05% 34.66% 37.61% 40.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.81% 12.23% 12.51% 13.59% 25.95% 27.4% 31.25% 34.73%
EBT Margin (%) 21.22% 9.26% 8.4% 18.9% 23.54% 25.59% 29.48% 32.67%
Net margin (%) 18.31% 7.58% 6.53% 17.31% 20.13% 20.84% 23.76% 26.5%
FCF margin (%) 22% 15.72% 8.47% 14.95% 23.8% 22.97% 26.88% 29.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 120.13% 207.42% 129.74% 86.38% 118.23% 110.25% 113.16% 111.5%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.91% 5.51% 5.07% 6.48% - 9.37% 10.4% 10.87%
ROE 15.66% 9.5% 8.83% 11.21% - 16.67% 19.14% 19.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.52x 1.59x 1.61x 0.99x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.68x 2.31x 4.89x 1.58x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.88% 4.57% 6.02% 5.23% 5.8% 5.01% 4.93% 5.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.18% 20% 23.42% 21.82% 17.03% 14.45% 13.11% 12.44%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.19% 29.07% 71.01% 35% 24.38% 21.8% 18.34% 17.06%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8 5.743 3.899 6.537 12.06 11.6 14.96 18.83
Change - -28.21% -32.12% 67.66% 84.46% -3.82% 28.96% 25.9%
Dividend per Share 1 1.3 1.33 1.36 1.39 1.45 1.459 1.504 1.535
Change - 2.31% 2.26% 2.21% 4.32% 0.61% 3.12% 2.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.2 46.6 47.31 52.78 - 63.42 72.55 87.83
Change - 7.88% 1.53% 11.56% - - 14.4% 21.06%
EPS 1 5.6 2.2 1.76 5.61 8.2 9.216 11.97 15.07
Change - -60.71% -20% 218.75% 46.17% 12.4% 29.85% 25.93%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 188,812 189,959 189,721 189,720 189,996 190,361 190,361 190,361
Announcement Date 24/02/22 22/02/23 28/02/24 27/02/25 24/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 25.9x 20x
PBR 3.77x 3.3x
EV / Sales 5.21x 4.42x
Yield 0.61% 0.63%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
239.10EUR
Average target price
288.21EUR
Spread / Average Target
+20.54%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise