SAGA PLC |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 105.8 GBX | +1.34% |
|
-4.51% | -27.43% |
| 04-18 | Transcript : Saga plc, 2024 Earnings Call, Apr 18, 2024 | |
| 04-17 | Saga eyes further growth as revenue jumps and loss narrows | AN |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: Januari | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 1,224 | 468.4 | 345.7 | 399.7 | 261.4 | 150 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 1,615 | 1,062 | 1,106 | 1,129 | 973.1 | 831.7 | 758.6 | 693.6 |
| P/E ratio | -7.52 x | -1.5 x | -3.68 x | -14.2 x | -1 x | -1.7 x | 4.18 x | 3.09 x |
| Yield | 3.67% | 3.11% | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.45 x | 0.59 x | 1.02 x | 1.06 x | 0.45 x | 0.26 x | 0.19 x | 0.18 x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.92 x | 1.33 x | 3.28 x | 2.99 x | 1.67 x | 1.12 x | 0.99 x | 0.84 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 6.98 x | 5.85 x | 14.1 x | 17.3 x | 10.1 x | 7.14 x | 6.85 x | 5.63 x |
| EV / FCF | 21.5 x | 14.1 x | -12.4 x | 33.2 x | -28 x | 14.6 x | 12.1 x | 9.79 x |
| FCF Yield | 4.64% | 7.11% | -8.07% | 3.01% | -3.57% | 6.85% | 8.25% | 10.2% |
| Price to Book | 1.27 x | 0.8 x | 4.06 x | 0.61 x | 0.71 x | 0.86 x | 0.42 x | 0.36 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 74,779 | 74,665 | 140,089 | 140,329 | 140,329 | 141,789 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 16.36 | 6.273 | 2.468 | 2.848 | 1.863 | 1.058 | 1.058 | 1.058 |
| Announcement Date | 04/04/19 | 02/04/20 | 07/04/21 | 23/03/22 | 04/04/23 | 17/04/24 | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: January | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 841.5 | 797.3 | 337.6 | 377.2 | 581.1 | 741.1 | 769.8 | 827.3 |
| EBITDA 1 | 231.3 | 181.7 | 78.7 | 65.2 | 96.6 | 116.5 | 110.8 | 123.2 |
| EBIT 1 | 192 | 123.6 | 33.7 | 11.9 | 43.4 | 78 | 88.05 | 99.4 |
| Operating Margin | 22.82% | 15.5% | 9.98% | 3.15% | 7.47% | 10.52% | 11.44% | 12.01% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -134.6 | -300.9 | -61.2 | -23.5 | -254.2 | -129 | 48.65 | 64.35 |
| Net income 1 | -162 | -312.8 | -67.8 | -28 | -259.2 | -113 | 41.15 | 53.55 |
| Net margin | -19.25% | -39.23% | -20.08% | -7.42% | -44.61% | -15.25% | 5.35% | 6.47% |
| EPS 2 | -2.175 | -4.185 | -0.6700 | -0.2010 | -1.858 | -0.8080 | 0.2530 | 0.3420 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 75 | 75.5 | -89.2 | 34 | -34.7 | 57 | 62.6 | 70.85 |
| FCF margin | 8.91% | 9.47% | -26.42% | 9.01% | -5.97% | 7.69% | 8.13% | 8.56% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 32.43% | 41.55% | - | 52.15% | - | 48.93% | 56.52% | 57.51% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 152.13% | 132.31% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.6000 | 0.1950 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 04/04/19 | 02/04/20 | 07/04/21 | 23/03/22 | 04/04/23 | 17/04/24 | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: Januari | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2024 S1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales | - | - | - |
| EBITDA | 87.1 | 94.6 | - |
| EBIT 1 | - | - | 19.5 |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | - | -77.8 |
| Net income 1 | - | - | -71 |
| Net margin | - | - | - |
| EPS 2 | - | - | -0.5090 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 19/09/19 | 02/04/20 | 27/09/23 |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: Januari | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 391 | 594 | 760 | 729 | 712 | 637 | 609 | 544 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.692 x | 3.269 x | 9.659 x | 11.18 x | 7.367 x | 5.47 x | 5.494 x | 4.412 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 75 | 75.5 | -89.2 | 34 | -34.7 | 57 | 62.6 | 70.9 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 14% | 11.4% | -10.7% | -2.32% | -50.7% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 6.18% | - | 0.62% | - | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | -2,622 | - | -10,930 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 12.90 | 7.880 | 0.6100 | 4.650 | 2.630 | 1.600 | 2.520 | 2.910 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 1.850 | 1.820 | -0.4400 | 0.0100 | 0.1700 | 0.7600 | 0.7200 | 0.7700 |
| Capex 1 | 63 | 17.2 | 10.8 | 12.5 | 20.8 | 26.7 | 21 | 21 |
| Capex / Sales | 7.49% | 2.16% | 3.2% | 3.31% | 3.58% | 3.6% | 2.73% | 2.54% |
| Announcement Date | 04/04/19 | 02/04/20 | 07/04/21 | 23/03/22 | 04/04/23 | 17/04/24 | - | - |
1GBP in Million2GBP
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
1.058
GBP
Average target price
1.55
GBP
Spread / Average Target
+46.50%
EPS Revisions
Annual profits - Rate of surprise
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -27.43% | 187M | |
| +9.73% | 110B | |
| +8.61% | 99.66B | |
| +4.48% | 97.53B | |
| +0.07% | 69.25B | |
| +18.56% | 28.19B | |
| +10.29% | 19.64B | |
| -4.64% | 12.38B | |
| +8.95% | 10.98B | |
| +8.55% | 10.43B |
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- Financials Saga plc
