Projected Income Statement: RLX Technology Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: RLX Technology Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 - - - -6,746 -6,533 -15,480 -13,509 -11,441
Change - - - - 3.16% -136.96% 12.73% 15.31%
Announcement Date 26/03/21 11/03/22 10/03/23 15/03/24 14/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: RLX Technology Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 17.45 138.8 44.57 32.41 12.26 46 55.03 10
Change - 695.44% -67.9% -27.27% -62.17% 275.11% 19.64% -81.83%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,572 1,661 - 166.3 842.1 1,274 1,359 1,501
Change - -35.42% - - 406.4% 51.29% 6.67% 10.45%
Announcement Date 26/03/21 11/03/22 10/03/23 15/03/24 14/03/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: RLX Technology Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 26.3% 30.93% 26.14% -2.35% 12.31% 13.95% 14.52% 15.32%
EBIT Margin (%) 24.67% 29.6% 23.06% -8.44% 9.55% 12.22% 12.99% 14.02%
EBT Margin (%) 2.68% 31.21% 33.38% 37.3% 23.97% 24.6% 20.67% 23.29%
Net margin (%) -3.35% 23.76% 27.03% 33.68% 20.08% 20.4% 16.8% 19.76%
FCF margin (%) 67.33% 19.49% - 10.48% 30.64% 32.65% 26.61% 24.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) -2,007.74% 82.04% - 31.12% 152.6% 160.01% 158.38% 125.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 29.11% 19.83% 8.8% 3.27% 5.55% 5.55% 6.6% 8.5%
ROE 99.2% 29.93% 9.91% 3.43% 5.83% 6.18% 6.96% 8.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.46% 1.63% 0.84% 2.04% 0.45% 1.18% 1.08% 0.17%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 1.74% 5.27% 3.2% -87.04% 3.62% 8.45% 7.42% 1.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 0.68% 8.36% - 19.49% 1.46% 3.61% 4.05% 0.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 1.277 - 0.1482 0.6628 0.64 0.54 -
Change - - - - 347.27% -3.45% -15.62% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - 0.0724 0.073 0.0859 1.171 2.052
Change - - - - 0.81% 17.71% 1,262.87% 75.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 - 9.644 - 11.64 12.4 13.16 12.71 10.4
Change - - - - 6.52% 6.11% -3.46% -18.15%
EPS 1 -0.089 1.436 1.085 0.399 0.428 0.8073 0.8611 0.8412
Change - 1,713.48% -24.44% -63.23% 7.27% 88.62% 6.66% -2.32%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 1,345,855 1,547,892 1,313,070 1,271,602 1,218,444 1,218,444 1,218,444
Announcement Date 26/03/21 11/03/22 10/03/23 15/03/24 14/03/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 19.3x 18.1x
PBR 1.19x 1.23x
EV / Sales 0.91x 1.08x
Yield 0.55% 7.5%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
15.62CNY
Average target price
20.17CNY
Spread / Average Target
+29.13%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RLX Stock
  4. Financials RLX Technology Inc.