Projected Income Statement: Recordati

Forecast Balance Sheet: Recordati

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 866 748 1,420 1,579 2,154 1,917 1,706 1,428
Change - -13.63% 89.84% 11.2% 36.42% -11.02% -11.01% -16.3%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 24/02/22 21/02/23 22/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Recordati

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 21.26 21.85 23.89 379.6 846.9 57.13 58.97 65.92
Change - 2.77% 9.31% 1,489.15% 123.11% -93.25% 3.21% 11.79%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 382.3 469.8 439 456 535.1 625.4 671.5 750.1
Change - 22.88% -6.56% 3.87% 17.35% 16.88% 7.36% 11.71%
Announcement Date 22/02/21 24/02/22 21/02/23 22/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Recordati

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 39.29% 38.12% 36.3% 36.96% 36.97% 37.09% 36.58% 37.82%
EBIT Margin (%) 32.37% 31.02% 23.6% 26.8% 29.23% 28.99% 29.81% 31.27%
EBT Margin (%) 31.45% 29.33% 21.66% 23.58% 23.37% 23.81% 25.96% 27.98%
Net margin (%) 24.5% 24.43% 16.85% 18.69% 17.79% 18.94% 20.15% 21.83%
FCF margin (%) 26.39% 29.73% 23.69% 21.9% 22.85% 23.86% 24.01% 25.01%
FCF / Net Income (%) 107.69% 121.71% 140.57% 117.16% 128.48% 126.01% 119.17% 114.53%

Profitability

        
ROA - 15.36% 9.17% 9.48% 8.92% 12.91% 13.85% 16.25%
ROE 28.69% 31.96% 32.33% 32.46% 31.93% 33.91% 33.01% 35.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.52x 1.24x 2.11x 2.05x 2.49x 1.97x 1.67x 1.26x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.26x 1.59x 3.23x 3.46x 4.03x 3.07x 2.54x 1.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.47% 1.38% 1.29% 18.23% 36.17% 2.18% 2.11% 2.2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.73% 3.63% 3.55% 49.32% 97.82% 5.88% 5.76% 5.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.56% 4.65% 5.44% 83.25% 158.28% 9.14% 8.78% 8.79%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.961 2.352 2.208 2.32 2.726 3.151 3.362 3.911
Change - 19.89% -6.09% 5.08% 17.46% 15.62% 6.68% 16.32%
Dividend per Share 1 1.05 1.1 1.15 1.2 1.27 1.441 1.612 1.814
Change - 4.76% 4.55% 4.35% 5.83% 13.46% 11.9% 12.54%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.187 6.707 7.526 8.063 8.976 9.843 10.67 11.98
Change - 8.4% 12.22% 7.14% 11.32% 9.65% 8.45% 12.19%
EPS 1 1.698 1.846 1.494 1.861 1.992 2.262 2.597 3.037
Change - 8.72% -19.07% 24.56% 7.04% 13.56% 14.8% 16.94%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 205,817 206,325 205,406 205,645 204,479 204,565 204,565 204,565
Announcement Date 22/02/21 24/02/22 21/02/23 22/02/24 13/02/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 21.2x 18.5x
PBR 4.87x 4.49x
EV / Sales 4.48x 4.12x
Yield 3% 3.36%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
47.98EUR
Average target price
59.50EUR
Spread / Average Target
+24.01%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise