Projected Income Statement: Qantas Airways Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Qantas Airways Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,609 3,937 2,885 4,106 5,029 5,882 7,033 7,716
Change - -14.58% -26.72% 42.32% 22.48% 16.96% 19.57% 9.71%
Announcement Date 25/08/21 24/08/22 23/08/23 28/08/24 27/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Qantas Airways Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 747 906 2,563 2,673 3,805 4,212 5,135 5,048
Change - 21.29% 182.89% 4.29% 42.35% 10.69% 21.91% -1.68%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,108 1,764 2,522 554 440 176.5 92.55 1,038
Change - 259.21% 42.97% -78.03% -20.58% -59.89% -47.56% 1,021.61%
Announcement Date 25/08/21 24/08/22 23/08/23 28/08/24 27/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Qantas Airways Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.69% 3.09% 22.43% 18.47% 19.47% 20.08% 21.16% 21.72%
EBIT Margin (%) -25.7% -17.11% 13.54% 10.39% 11.08% 11.15% 11.63% 11.73%
EBT Margin (%) -39.62% -13.08% 12.48% 8.59% 9.5% 9.88% 10.39% 10.62%
Net margin (%) -29.12% -9.44% 8.8% 5.7% 6.74% 6.68% 7.3% 7.41%
FCF margin (%) -18.67% 19.37% 12.73% 2.53% 1.85% 0.69% 0.34% 3.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) 64.12% -205.12% 144.61% 44.28% 27.41% 10.31% 4.72% 49.72%

Profitability

        
ROA -9.12% -4.59% 8.72% 6.74% 7.66% 7.16% 7.28% 7.15%
ROE -169.74% -707.82% -1,816.67% 938.65% 315.46% 136.19% 78.69% 56.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 11.61x 14.01x 0.65x 1.01x 1.08x 1.14x 1.24x 1.26x
Debt / Free cash flow -4.16x 2.23x 1.14x 7.41x 11.43x 33.33x 75.99x 7.43x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.59% 9.95% 12.93% 12.18% 15.97% 16.44% 19.12% 17.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 188.16% 322.42% 57.66% 65.97% 82.04% 81.85% 90.35% 82.54%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -67.42% 51.36% 101.63% 482.49% 864.77% 2,386.29% 5,547.85% 486.33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.2051 1.416 2.797 2.06 2.754 2.938 3.369 3.529
Change - 790.25% 97.57% -26.33% 33.68% 6.67% 14.65% 4.75%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - 0.429 0.4551 0.4566 0.4684
Change - - - - - 6.09% 0.31% 2.59%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.27 -0.1 0.01 0.1855 0.5039 1.197 1.979 2.824
Change - -137.04% 110% 1,755% 171.64% 137.54% 65.31% 42.73%
EPS 1 -0.918 -0.456 0.93 0.759 1.04 1.125 1.289 1.383
Change - 50.33% 303.95% -18.39% 37.02% 8.18% 14.59% 7.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,876,745 1,882,945 1,725,278 1,541,633 1,481,992 1,481,992 1,481,992 1,481,992
Announcement Date 25/08/21 24/08/22 23/08/23 28/08/24 27/08/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 9.19x 8.02x
PBR 8.64x 5.23x
EV / Sales 0.83x 0.83x
Yield 4.4% 4.42%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
10.34AUD
Average target price
12.20AUD
Spread / Average Target
+17.94%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. QAN Stock
  4. Financials Qantas Airways Limited