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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 24.23 EUR | -0.62% |
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+2.02% | +12.80% |
| 05-14 | Mib approaches 49,000; BFF leads Mid-Cap gains | AN |
| 05-14 | Poste Italiane acquires over 570,000 treasury shares | AN |
Projected Income Statement: Poste Italiane S.p.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 11,220 | 11,889 | 12,128 | 12,589 | 13,121 | 13,620 | 13,858 | 14,287 |
| Change | - | 5.96% | 2.01% | 3.8% | 4.23% | 3.8% | 1.75% | 3.1% |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,636 | 3,121 | 3,431 | 3,816 | 4,158 | 4,405 | 4,570 | 4,889 |
| Change | - | 18.4% | 9.93% | 11.22% | 8.96% | 5.95% | 3.75% | 6.98% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,846 | 2,291 | 2,620 | 2,961 | 3,245 | 3,412 | 3,560 | 3,759 |
| Change | - | 24.11% | 14.36% | 13.02% | 9.59% | 5.15% | 4.33% | 5.59% |
| Interest Paid | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 2,168 | 2,328 | 2,727 | 2,671 | 3,236 | 3,644 | 3,680 | 3,907 |
| Change | - | 7.38% | 17.14% | -2.05% | 21.15% | 12.61% | 0.98% | 6.18% |
| Net income 1 | 1,578 | 1,506 | 1,922 | 1,994 | 2,214 | 2,496 | 2,598 | 2,749 |
| Change | - | -4.56% | 27.62% | 3.75% | 11.03% | 12.74% | 4.1% | 5.8% |
| Announcement Date | 23/03/22 | 30/03/23 | 29/02/24 | 21/02/25 | 26/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Poste Italiane S.p.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 96,774 | 98,662 | 91,182 | 89,405 | 95,983 | 91,177 | 90,821 | 90,459 |
| Change | - | 1.95% | -7.58% | -1.95% | 7.36% | -5.01% | -0.39% | -0.4% |
| Announcement Date | 23/03/22 | 30/03/23 | 29/02/24 | 21/02/25 | 26/02/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Poste Italiane S.p.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 754 | 810 | 846 | 965 | 1,178 | 1,037 | 993.6 | 999 |
| Change | - | 7.43% | 4.44% | 14.07% | 22.07% | -12.01% | -4.14% | 0.54% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 3,430 | -630 | 568 | - | 1,525 | 2,641 | 2,618 | 2,678 |
| Change | - | -118.37% | 190.16% | - | - | 73.18% | -0.85% | 2.27% |
| Announcement Date | 23/03/22 | 30/03/23 | 29/02/24 | 21/02/25 | 26/02/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Poste Italiane S.p.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 23.49% | 26.25% | 28.29% | 30.31% | 31.69% | 32.35% | 32.98% | 34.22% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 16.45% | 19.27% | 21.6% | 23.52% | 24.73% | 25.05% | 25.69% | 26.31% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 19.32% | 19.58% | 22.49% | 21.22% | 24.66% | 26.76% | 26.55% | 27.35% |
| Net margin (%) | 14.06% | 12.67% | 15.85% | 15.84% | 16.87% | 18.33% | 18.75% | 19.24% |
| FCF margin (%) | 30.57% | -5.3% | 4.68% | - | 11.62% | 19.39% | 18.9% | 18.74% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 217.36% | -41.83% | 29.55% | - | 68.88% | 105.81% | 100.78% | 97.42% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | - | 0.55% | 0.72% | 0.73% | 0.78% | 0.77% | 0.8% | 0.81% |
| ROE | 13.37% | 14.35% | 21.17% | 18.21% | 17.42% | 18.95% | 18.55% | 19.26% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 36.71x | 31.61x | 26.58x | 23.43x | 23.08x | 20.7x | 19.87x | 18.5x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 28.21x | -156.61x | 160.53x | - | 62.94x | 34.52x | 34.68x | 33.78x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 6.72% | 6.81% | 6.98% | 7.67% | 8.98% | 7.61% | 7.17% | 6.99% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 28.6% | 25.95% | 24.66% | 25.29% | 28.33% | 23.53% | 21.74% | 20.43% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 21.98% | -128.57% | 148.94% | - | 77.25% | 39.25% | 37.95% | 37.3% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | - | - | - | - | 2.088 | 2.425 | 2.553 | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | 16.14% | 5.3% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.8 | 1.08 | 1.25 | 1.322 | 1.415 | 1.534 |
| Change | - | 10.17% | 23.08% | 35% | 15.74% | 5.8% | 6.96% | 8.45% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 9.303 | - | 7.968 | 8.947 | 10.69 | 11.1 | 11.67 | 12.5 |
| Change | - | - | - | 12.29% | 19.52% | 3.82% | 5.11% | 7.09% |
| EPS 1 | 1.214 | 1.158 | 1.483 | 1.54 | 1.71 | 1.907 | 1.974 | 2.06 |
| Change | - | -4.61% | 28.07% | 3.84% | 11.04% | 11.52% | 3.5% | 4.35% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,300,877 | 1,298,574 | 1,295,434 | 1,294,617 | 1,294,116 | 1,294,116 | 1,294,116 | 1,294,116 |
| Announcement Date | 23/03/22 | 30/03/23 | 29/02/24 | 21/02/25 | 26/02/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 12.7x | 12.3x |
| PBR | 2.18x | 2.08x |
| EV / Sales | 9x | 8.82x |
| Yield | 5.46% | 5.84% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- PST Stock
- Financials Poste Italiane S.p.A.
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