The underlying tendency is to the upside for shares in Pernod Ricard and the timing is opportune to get back into the stock. A comeback of the upward dynamic can be anticipated.
Summary
● The company presents an interesting fundamental situation from a short-term investment perspective.
Strengths
● Before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, the company's margins are particularly high.
● The group's high margin levels account for strong profits.
● Over the past year, analysts have regularly revised upwards their sales forecast for the company.
● Growth remains a strong point in this company. In their sales forecast, analysts sound optimistic with regard to sales prospects.
● For the past year, analysts covering the stock have been revising their EPS expectations upwards in a significant manner.
● For the last 4 months, the company has been enjoying highly positive EPS revisions, which were frequently and significantly raised.
● The average price target of analysts who are interested in the stock has been strongly revised upwards over the last four months.
● Considering the small differences between the analysts' various estimates, the group's business visibility is good.
Weaknesses
● The company is in debt and has limited leeway for investment
● The firm trades with high earnings multiples: 24.76 times its 2022 earnings per share.
● The company's enterprise value to sales, at 5.47 times its current sales, is high.
● In relation to the value of its tangible assets, the company's valuation appears relatively high.
● The company is highly valued given the cash flows generated by its activity.
● Financial statements have repeatedly disappointed market stakeholders. Most often, they were below expectations.
The content herein constitutes a general investment recommendation, prepared in accordance with provisions aimed at preventing market abuse by Surperformance, the publisher of MarketScreener.com. More specifically, this recommendation is based on factual elements and expresses a sincere, complete, and balanced opinion. It relies on internal or external data, considered reliable as of the date of their release. Nevertheless, this information, and the resulting recommendation, may contain inaccuracies, errors, or omissions, for which Surperformance cannot be held responsible. This recommendation, which in no way constitutes investment advice, may not be suitable for all investor profiles. The reader acknowledges and accepts that any investment in a financial instrument involves risks, for which they assume full responsibility, without recourse against Surperformance. Surperformance commits to disclosing any conflict of interest that may affect the objectivity of its recommendations.
Pernod Ricard is the world's No. 2 in the production and marketing of Premium and Prestige spirits and wines. Net sales break down by family of products as follows:
- spirits and champagnes of strategic international brands (63.4%): Absolut (12.7 million cases sold in 2022/23), Jameson (10.7 million), Ballantine's (8.8 million), Chivas Regal (5.1 million), Malibu (4.7 million), Ricard (4.4 million), Havana Club (4.3 million), Beefeater (3.7 million), Martell (2.4 million), The Glenlivet (1.6 million), Mumm (0.6 million), Royal Salute (0.3 million) and Perrier-Jouët (0.3 million);
- local strategic brands' spirits (17.7%): Seagram's, Kahlua, Olmeca, Seagram's Gin, Ramazzotti, Imperial, Pastis 51 and Clan Campbell brands, etc.;
- speciality brand's craft spirits (6.2%): Italicus, Lillet, Pernod, Suze, Augier, Malfy, Jefferson's, Powers and Redbreast brands, etc.;
- strategic wines (3.9%): Jacob's Creek, Kenwood, Brancott Estate, Campo Viejo, Church Road, George, St Hugo, Stoneleigh, Ysios and Wyndham brands;
- other (8.8%).
At the end of June 2023, the group has 96 production sites worldwide.
Net sales are distributed geographically as follows: Europe (28.5%), Americas (28.7%) and other (42.8%).