Projected Income Statement: Pernod Ricard

Forecast Balance Sheet: Pernod Ricard

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 7,452 8,657 10,273 10,951 10,727 10,146 10,117 9,913
Change - 16.17% 18.67% 6.6% -2.05% -5.42% -0.29% -2.02%
Announcement Date 01/09/21 01/09/22 31/08/23 29/08/24 28/08/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Pernod Ricard

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 370 481 610 766 656 523.1 495.4 501.1
Change - 30% 26.82% 25.57% -14.36% -20.26% -5.29% 1.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,628 1,813 1,431 963 1,133 1,049 1,188 1,222
Change - 11.36% -21.07% -32.7% 17.65% -7.38% 13.17% 2.92%
Announcement Date 01/09/21 01/09/22 31/08/23 29/08/24 28/08/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Pernod Ricard

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.62% 31.82% 31.02% 30.67% 30.78% 30.07% 30.35% 30.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 27.46% 28.26% 27.59% 26.87% 26.93% 25.74% 26.09% 26.24%
EBT Margin (%) 22.51% 25.27% 24.17% 19.59% 20.53% 20.75% 21.69% 22.16%
Net margin (%) 14.79% 18.65% 18.64% 12.73% 14.84% 14.65% 15.23% 15.73%
FCF margin (%) 18.45% 16.94% 11.79% 8.3% 10.34% 11.02% 12.48% 12.47%
FCF / Net Income (%) 124.75% 90.83% 63.26% 65.24% 69.68% 75.24% 81.94% 79.26%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.06% 5.86% 6.35% 5.2% 4.8% 3.86% 4% 4.21%
ROE 11.2% 12.97% 14.78% 12.71% 11.81% 9.31% 9.42% 9.53%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.67x 2.54x 2.73x 3.08x 3.18x 3.54x 3.5x 3.32x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.58x 4.77x 7.18x 11.37x 9.47x 9.67x 8.52x 8.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.19% 4.49% 5.03% 6.6% 5.99% 5.49% 5.2% 5.11%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.26% 14.13% 16.2% 21.54% 19.45% 18.27% 17.15% 16.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 22.73% 26.53% 42.63% 79.54% 57.9% 49.85% 41.72% 40.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.64 8.833 7.914 - 7.095 7.108 7.403 7.74
Change - 15.61% -10.4% - - 0.18% 4.15% 4.55%
Dividend per Share 1 3.12 4.12 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.666 4.338 4.668
Change - 32.05% 14.08% 0% 0% -0.72% -7.04% 7.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 56.63 61.81 61.48 62.17 60.3 61.22 62.65 64.69
Change - 9.16% -0.53% 1.11% -3% 1.52% 2.34% 3.26%
EPS 1 4.99 7.685 8.806 5.83 6.452 5.546 5.781 6.103
Change - 54.01% 14.58% -33.8% 10.68% -14.04% 4.22% 5.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 260,829 259,563 256,132 250,009 251,623 251,673 251,673 251,673
Announcement Date 01/09/21 01/09/22 31/08/23 29/08/24 28/08/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.2x 11.7x
PBR 1.1x 1.08x
EV / Sales 2.85x 2.85x
Yield 6.9% 6.42%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
67.62EUR
Average target price
87.14EUR
Spread / Average Target
+28.87%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. RI Stock
  4. Financials Pernod Ricard