Projected Income Statement: Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -175,692 -275,053 -277,475 -374,716 -236,790 -364,862 -480,000 -612,058
Change - -56.55% -0.88% -35.04% 36.81% -54.09% -31.56% -27.51%
Announcement Date 12/02/21 10/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 122,797 111,455 139,319 210,988 129,362 202,740 189,450 178,783
Change - -9.24% 25% 51.44% -38.69% 56.72% -6.56% -5.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 110,042 117,409 130,273 72,244 88,845 224,952 211,818 235,970
Change - 6.69% 10.96% -44.54% 22.98% 153.2% -5.84% 11.4%
Announcement Date 12/02/21 10/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.54% 15.98% 14.04% 11.76% 18.52% 24.12% 19.93% 20.12%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.96% 10.31% 8.65% 6.92% 13.89% 19.42% 15.64% 15.8%
EBT Margin (%) 13.35% 10.92% 9.95% 7.07% 14.42% 18.96% 15.36% 16.19%
Net margin (%) 10.41% 8.37% 7.71% 6.02% 14.73% 14.71% 11.77% 11.61%
FCF margin (%) 7.73% 7.84% 7.5% 3.58% 3.81% 9.27% 8.58% 9.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) 74.28% 93.58% 97.2% 59.4% 25.89% 66.53% 72.9% 80.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.29% 6.01% 5.84% 4.41% 9.46% 11.79% 7.8% 7.82%
ROE 8.2% 6.5% 6.3% 5.3% 13.4% 12.6% 9.47% 9.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.63% 7.44% 8.02% 10.45% 5.55% 8.35% 7.67% 7.07%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 44.17% 46.57% 57.08% 88.88% 29.98% 34.65% 38.5% 35.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 111.59% 94.93% 106.94% 292.05% 145.6% 90.13% 89.44% 75.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 419.6 387.8 419.8 404.3 833.2 904.2 821.2 752.4
Change - -7.59% 8.27% -3.7% 106.09% 8.52% -24.52% -8.38%
Dividend per Share 1 100 100 100 110 120 142.7 140 150.8
Change - 0% 0% 10% 9.09% 18.94% -1.91% 7.71%
Book Value Per Share 1 3,416 3,708 4,101 4,411 5,090 5,744 5,941 6,348
Change - 8.55% 10.61% 7.55% 15.39% 12.85% 6.88% 6.85%
EPS 1 273.2 231.3 247 224.1 633.8 685.1 547.7 559.5
Change - -15.31% 6.78% -9.27% 182.8% 8.09% -13.51% 2.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 542,338 542,401 542,634 542,686 537,093 528,131 528,131 528,131
Announcement Date 12/02/21 10/02/22 14/02/23 14/02/24 14/02/25 13/02/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 13x 19.3x
PBR 1.54x 1.78x
EV / Sales 1.9x 2.07x
Yield 1.35% 1.32%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
10,585.00JPY
Average target price
10,258.33JPY
Spread / Average Target
-3.09%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 4578 Stock
  4. Financials Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.