Projected Income Statement: Otsuka Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Otsuka Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -171,572 -196,716 -194,775 -221,388 -221,275 -247,801 -266,687 -289,913
Change - -14.66% 0.99% -13.66% 0.05% -11.99% -7.62% -8.71%
Announcement Date 01/02/21 01/02/22 01/02/23 01/02/24 03/02/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Otsuka Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 8,864 10,882 7,077 10,346 12,087 9,749 9,703 9,911
Change - 22.77% -34.97% 46.19% 16.83% -19.34% -0.47% 2.14%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 23,632 46,991 22,119 50,176 25,762 51,859 74,694 67,590
Change - 98.84% -52.93% 126.85% -48.66% 101.3% 44.03% -9.51%
Announcement Date 01/02/21 01/02/22 01/02/23 01/02/24 03/02/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Otsuka Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.64% 7.49% 7.32% 7.25% 7.47% 7.45% 7.53% 7.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.73% 6.55% 6.36% 6.44% 6.71% 6.78% 6.86% 7.19%
EBT Margin (%) 6.89% 6.83% 6.56% 6.64% 6.67% 6.89% 7.12% 7.3%
Net margin (%) 4.7% 4.69% 4.65% 4.85% 4.83% 4.73% 4.77% 4.99%
FCF margin (%) 2.83% 5.52% 2.57% 5.13% 2.33% 3.98% 5.93% 5.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 60.12% 117.69% 55.27% 105.75% 48.17% 84.04% 124.44% 102.3%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.34% 12.02% 11.22% 11.89% 8.66% 8.76% 7.98% 8.28%
ROE 14.6% 13.9% 13% 14.3% 15.19% 16.06% 14.55% 14.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.06% 1.28% 0.82% 1.06% 1.09% 0.75% 0.77% 0.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 13.87% 17.05% 11.22% 14.59% 14.6% 10.04% 10.23% 9.59%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 37.51% 23.16% 32% 20.62% 46.92% 18.8% 12.99% 14.66%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 123.7 126.3 127.4 146 163.3 185.4 208.4 219.4
Change - 2.13% 0.84% 14.63% 11.8% 13.58% 12.35% 5.33%
Dividend per Share 1 57.5 60 62.5 67.5 80 86.64 91.32 96.61
Change - 4.35% 4.17% 8% 18.52% 8.3% 5.4% 5.8%
Book Value Per Share 1 731.4 787.8 842.3 904.8 977.8 1,058 1,104 1,213
Change - 7.71% 6.91% 7.43% 8.07% 8.19% 4.36% 9.9%
EPS 1 103.7 105.3 105.5 125.1 141 162.7 158.2 174.2
Change - 1.57% 0.24% 18.56% 12.71% 15.34% -2.73% 10.07%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 379,202 379,202 379,202 379,202 379,201 379,201 379,201 379,201
Announcement Date 01/02/21 01/02/22 01/02/23 01/02/24 03/02/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 19.9x 20.5x
PBR 3.06x 2.93x
EV / Sales 0.75x 0.76x
Yield 2.68% 2.82%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
3,238.00JPY
Average target price
3,603.08JPY
Spread / Average Target
+11.27%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 4768 Stock
  4. Financials Otsuka Corporation