Projected Income Statement: Orsted A/S

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orsted A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 24,280 30,571 47,379 58,027 18,978 34,645 49,719 28,521
Change - 25.91% 54.98% 22.47% -67.29% 82.55% 43.51% -42.64%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orsted A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 34,569 33,004 38,203 42,654 54,776 51,674 38,868 16,954
Change - -4.53% 15.75% 11.65% 28.42% -5.66% -24.78% -56.38%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -22,421 -21,080 15,599 -24,298 -31,035 -31,215 -15,927 31,685
Change - 5.98% 174% -255.77% -27.73% -0.58% 48.97% 298.93%
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1DKK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orsted A/S

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.28% 24.23% 23.62% 44.99% 30.65% 37.45% 37.15% 37.72%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.85% 14.95% -22.53% 8.69% 11.77% 23.03% 22.8% 23.04%
EBT Margin (%) 17.09% 13.31% -24.01% 3.67% 8.18% 20.72% 19.95% 20.89%
Net margin (%) 14.11% 11% -26.57% -1.3% 2.36% 14.08% 14.73% 14.86%
FCF margin (%) -28.87% -15.94% 19.68% -34.21% -42.37% -38.36% -18.32% 32.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) -204.53% -144.89% -74.07% 2,632.5% -1,797.05% -272.48% -124.34% 217.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.69% 4.98% -7.08% -0.32% 1.28% 2.47% 3.69% 2.31%
ROE 12.41% 16.76% -25.16% -1.55% 4.68% 8.11% 8.32% 8.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1x 0.95x 2.53x 1.82x 0.85x 1.14x 1.54x 0.77x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.08x -1.45x 3.04x -2.39x -0.61x -1.11x -3.12x 0.9x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 44.51% 24.95% 48.2% 60.05% 74.79% 63.5% 44.71% 17.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 142.28% 102.95% 204.11% 133.46% 244.01% 169.55% 120.33% 45.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -154.18% -156.57% 244.91% -175.55% -176.5% -165.54% -244.03% 53.51%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 28.9 28.36 67.85 43.64 26.79 16.23 19.49 25.31
Change - -1.86% 139.25% -35.68% -38.61% -39.41% 20.09% 29.84%
Dividend per Share 1 12.5 13.5 - - - 3.481 4.079 4.338
Change - 8% - - - - 17.18% 6.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 195.3 217.8 180.5 147.8 135.1 107.2 112.5 118.9
Change - 11.54% -17.16% -18.09% -8.6% -20.66% 4.94% 5.73%
EPS 1 24.3 34.6 -50.1 -2.2 1.9 8.504 9.551 10.92
Change - 42.39% -244.8% 95.61% 186.36% 347.58% 12.31% 14.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 420,175 420,170 420,175 420,230 1,321,047 1,321,059 1,321,059 1,321,059
Announcement Date 02/02/22 01/02/23 07/02/24 06/02/25 06/02/26 - - -
1DKK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 17.8x 15.9x
PBR 1.41x 1.35x
EV / Sales 2.88x 2.87x
Yield 2.3% 2.69%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
151.40DKK
Average target price
171.09DKK
Spread / Average Target
+13.00%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise