Projected Income Statement: Nutrien Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,347 11,027 11,625 11,954 11,318 9,569 8,380 7,660
Change - 6.57% 5.42% 2.83% -5.32% -15.45% -12.43% -8.59%
Announcement Date 16/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,783 2,438 2,671 2,154 2,005 2,026 2,104 2,145
Change - 36.74% 9.56% -19.36% -6.92% 1.06% 3.85% 1.92%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,103 5,672 2,395 1,381 2,002 3,274 2,816 2,385
Change - 169.71% -57.78% -42.34% 44.97% 63.55% -13.99% -15.31%
Announcement Date 16/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nutrien Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 26.53% 32.88% 21.57% 21.41% 23.3% 24.28% 23.15% 22.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.8% 29.2% 9.77% 7.42% 14.4% 15.42% 14.21% 13.37%
EBT Margin (%) 15.52% 27.68% 6.95% 4.54% 11.75% 12.84% 11.44% 9.9%
Net margin (%) 11.74% 20.7% 4.48% 2.69% 8.74% 9.75% 8.34% 7.23%
FCF margin (%) 7.83% 15.32% 8.53% 5.52% 7.72% 11.64% 10.26% 8.72%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.7% 74.05% 190.38% 204.9% 88.31% 119.33% 123.02% 120.64%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.49% 14.65% 4.11% 3.29% 4.26% 5.48% 4.68% 3.78%
ROE 13.7% 30.97% 8.66% 6.92% 8.91% 10.82% 9.27% 7.59%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.45x 0.91x 1.92x 2.23x 1.87x 1.4x 1.32x 1.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.92x 1.94x 4.85x 8.66x 5.65x 2.92x 2.98x 3.21x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.64% 6.59% 9.51% 8.61% 7.73% 7.2% 7.66% 7.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.02% 20.03% 44.09% 40.22% 33.16% 29.66% 33.11% 35.6%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 84.78% 42.98% 111.52% 155.97% 100.15% 61.88% 74.72% 89.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.802 15.02 10.19 7.151 8.236 10.57 10.56 9.9
Change - 120.79% -32.13% -29.85% 15.18% 28.31% -0.09% -6.23%
Dividend per Share 1 1.84 1.92 2.12 2.16 2.18 2.193 2.227 2.26
Change - 4.35% 10.42% 1.89% 0.93% 0.57% 1.58% 1.48%
Book Value Per Share 1 42.43 50.9 50.62 49.44 52.05 55.38 57.59 59.93
Change - 19.97% -0.55% -2.32% 5.27% 6.39% 4% 4.05%
EPS 1 5.52 14.18 2.53 1.36 4.66 5.463 4.951 4.358
Change - 156.88% -82.16% -46.25% 242.65% 17.24% -9.38% -11.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 570,786 520,184 494,547 493,910 483,341 480,024 480,024 480,024
Announcement Date 16/02/22 15/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 11.9x 13.2x
PBR 1.18x 1.13x
EV / Sales 1.45x 1.44x
Yield 3.36% 3.42%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
65.17USD
Average target price
79.17USD
Spread / Average Target
+21.47%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. NTR Stock
  4. Financials Nutrien Ltd.
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