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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 94.65 CAD | -0.41% |
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+1.29% | +12.22% |
| 02-02 | CIBC Says Fertilizer Names Including Nutrien Fall 4% Week Over Week | MT |
| 01-27 | RBC Says Fertilizer Equities Rise Amid Seasonal Demand, Tight Supply | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Nutrien Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 20,053 | 26,861 | 37,012 | 28,082 | 25,016 | 26,377 | 26,666 | 26,722 |
| Change | - | 33.95% | 37.79% | -24.13% | -10.92% | 5.44% | 1.1% | 0.21% |
| EBITDA 1 | 3,667 | 7,126 | 12,170 | 6,058 | 5,355 | 6,034 | 6,039 | 5,902 |
| Change | - | 94.33% | 70.78% | -50.22% | -11.6% | 12.68% | 0.08% | -2.27% |
| EBIT 1 | 902 | 4,781 | 10,809 | 2,745 | 1,856 | 3,569 | 3,611 | 3,480 |
| Change | - | 430.04% | 126.08% | -74.6% | -32.39% | 92.3% | 1.17% | -3.62% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -520 | -613 | -563 | -793 | -720 | -683.7 | -687.6 | -656.2 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 382 | 4,168 | 10,246 | 1,952 | 1,136 | 2,755 | 2,812 | 2,681 |
| Change | - | 991.1% | 145.83% | -80.95% | -41.8% | 142.53% | 2.05% | -4.63% |
| Net income 1 | 459 | 3,153 | 7,660 | 1,258 | 674 | 2,113 | 2,150 | 2,067 |
| Change | - | 586.93% | 142.94% | -83.58% | -46.42% | 213.53% | 1.76% | -3.86% |
| Announcement Date | 17/02/21 | 16/02/22 | 15/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Nutrien Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 8,766 | 10,347 | 11,027 | 11,625 | 11,954 | 10,559 | 9,644 | 9,016 |
| Change | - | 18.04% | 6.57% | 5.42% | 2.83% | -11.67% | -8.67% | -6.51% |
| Announcement Date | 17/02/21 | 16/02/22 | 15/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Nutrien Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,423 | 1,783 | 2,438 | 2,671 | 2,154 | 2,030 | 2,058 | 2,112 |
| Change | - | 25.3% | 36.74% | 9.56% | -19.36% | -5.76% | 1.38% | 2.61% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,900 | 2,103 | 5,672 | 2,395 | 1,381 | 2,798 | 2,641 | 2,464 |
| Change | - | 10.68% | 169.71% | -57.78% | -42.34% | 102.63% | -5.61% | -6.7% |
| Announcement Date | 17/02/21 | 16/02/22 | 15/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Nutrien Ltd.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 18.29% | 26.53% | 32.88% | 21.57% | 21.41% | 22.88% | 22.65% | 22.09% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 4.5% | 17.8% | 29.2% | 9.77% | 7.42% | 13.53% | 13.54% | 13.02% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 1.9% | 15.52% | 27.68% | 6.95% | 4.54% | 10.45% | 10.54% | 10.03% |
| Net margin (%) | 2.29% | 11.74% | 20.7% | 4.48% | 2.69% | 8.01% | 8.06% | 7.74% |
| FCF margin (%) | 9.47% | 7.83% | 15.32% | 8.53% | 5.52% | 10.61% | 9.91% | 9.22% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 413.94% | 66.7% | 74.05% | 190.38% | 204.9% | 132.42% | 122.84% | 119.21% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 2.19% | 6.49% | 14.65% | 4.11% | 3.29% | 4.12% | 4.15% | 3.78% |
| ROE | 4.54% | 13.7% | 30.97% | 8.66% | 6.92% | 8.71% | 8.44% | 7.69% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.39x | 1.45x | 0.91x | 1.92x | 2.23x | 1.75x | 1.6x | 1.53x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.61x | 4.92x | 1.94x | 4.85x | 8.66x | 3.77x | 3.65x | 3.66x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.1% | 6.64% | 6.59% | 9.51% | 8.61% | 7.7% | 7.72% | 7.9% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 38.81% | 25.02% | 20.03% | 44.09% | 40.22% | 33.64% | 34.08% | 35.78% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 74.89% | 84.78% | 42.98% | 111.52% | 155.97% | 72.54% | 77.91% | 85.68% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 5.833 | 6.802 | 15.02 | 10.19 | 7.151 | 9.318 | 9.548 | 9.653 |
| Change | - | 16.62% | 120.79% | -32.13% | -29.85% | 30.3% | 2.47% | 1.11% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.86 | 1.84 | 1.92 | 2.12 | 2.16 | 2.173 | 2.212 | 2.255 |
| Change | - | -1.08% | 4.35% | 10.42% | 1.89% | 0.62% | 1.77% | 1.93% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 39.29 | 42.43 | 50.9 | 50.62 | 49.44 | 51.8 | 53.4 | 55.05 |
| Change | - | 7.99% | 19.97% | -0.55% | -2.32% | 4.78% | 3.07% | 3.1% |
| EPS 1 | 0.81 | 5.52 | 14.18 | 2.53 | 1.36 | 4.265 | 4.481 | 4.255 |
| Change | - | 581.48% | 156.88% | -82.16% | -46.25% | 213.6% | 5.07% | -5.06% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 569,146 | 570,786 | 520,184 | 494,547 | 493,910 | 483,341 | 483,341 | 483,341 |
| Announcement Date | 17/02/21 | 16/02/22 | 15/02/23 | 21/02/24 | 19/02/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 16.4x | 15.6x |
| PBR | 1.35x | 1.31x |
| EV / Sales | 1.68x | 1.63x |
| Yield | 3.1% | 3.16% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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