Projected Income Statement: Northern Star Resources Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Northern Star Resources Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 116 -59.6 -362 64.9 -429 619 -359 -2,498
Change - -151.38% -507.38% 117.93% -761.02% 244.46% -158% -595.82%
Announcement Date 24/08/21 28/08/22 23/08/23 21/08/24 20/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Northern Star Resources Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 693.1 1,029 1,059 1,440 2,296 2,833 2,445 2,486
Change - 48.42% 2.96% 35.95% 59.48% 23.35% -13.67% 1.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 819.7 717.9 308.9 569.2 1,423 189.7 2,146 3,221
Change - -12.42% -56.97% 84.27% 150% -86.67% 1,031.48% 50.06%
Announcement Date 24/08/21 28/08/22 23/08/23 21/08/24 20/08/25 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Northern Star Resources Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 41.99% 40.62% 37.21% 44.55% 54.58% 53.65% 57.59% 61.91%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.08% 17.74% 11.57% 21.54% 33.3% 33.68% 38.53% 41.82%
EBT Margin (%) 57.38% 16.33% 20.45% 18.84% 30.43% 32.13% 37.91% 41.84%
Net margin (%) 37.4% 11.51% 14.16% 12.97% 20.88% 22.19% 26.58% 31.13%
FCF margin (%) 29.69% 19.22% 7.48% 11.57% 22.18% 2.48% 20.19% 27.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 79.39% 167.03% 52.8% 89.15% 106.22% 11.17% 75.97% 87.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.71% 3.84% 2.56% 5.03% 8% 8.86% 13% 14.56%
ROE 20.4% 5.31% 3.6% 7.39% 11.3% 11.24% 17.27% 18.99%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.1x - - 0.03x - 0.15x - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.14x - - 0.11x - 3.26x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 25.11% 27.54% 25.64% 29.26% 35.8% 37.02% 23.01% 20.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 59.79% 67.8% 68.91% 65.68% 65.59% 69% 39.95% 33.79%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 84.56% 143.29% 342.89% 252.99% 161.38% 1,493.39% 113.94% 77.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.192 1.369 1.161 1.786 2.461 2.119 3.54 4.177
Change - 14.84% -15.14% 53.78% 37.78% -13.9% 67.06% 18%
Dividend per Share 1 0.17 0.215 0.265 0.4 0.55 0.5205 0.7167 0.8685
Change - 26.47% 23.26% 50.94% 37.5% -5.37% 37.7% 21.18%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.856 7.051 7.376 7.656 10.44 11.08 12.46 14.22
Change - 2.84% 4.6% 3.81% 36.39% 6.1% 12.49% 14.1%
EPS 1 1.143 0.368 0.503 0.551 1.116 1.212 1.998 2.56
Change - -67.8% 36.68% 9.54% 102.54% 8.62% 64.79% 28.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,163,687 1,165,126 1,150,246 1,148,366 1,427,678 1,428,901 1,428,901 1,428,901
Announcement Date 24/08/21 28/08/22 23/08/23 21/08/24 20/08/25 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 16.9x 10.3x
PBR 1.85x 1.64x
EV / Sales 3.91x 2.72x
Yield 2.54% 3.5%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
20.50AUD
Average target price
27.38AUD
Spread / Average Target
+33.55%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NST Stock
  4. Financials Northern Star Resources Limited