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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 302.84 USD | -2.60% |
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-3.78% | +4.89% |
| 03-06 | Baird Adjusts Price Target on Norfolk Southern to $315 From $288, Maintains Neutral Rating | MT |
| 03-05 | Tight truck capacity opens window for U.S. railroads to win back freight | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Norfolk Southern Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 11,142 | 12,745 | 12,156 | 12,123 | 12,180 | 12,472 | 13,066 | 13,708 |
| Change | - | 14.39% | -4.62% | -0.27% | 0.47% | 2.4% | 4.76% | 4.91% |
| EBITDA 1 | 5,628 | 6,030 | 5,265 | 5,499 | 5,661 | 5,655 | 6,072 | 6,442 |
| Change | - | 7.14% | -12.69% | 4.44% | 2.95% | -0.1% | 7.37% | 6.1% |
| EBIT 1 | 4,447 | 4,809 | 3,967 | 4,146 | 4,268 | 4,210 | 4,617 | 4,974 |
| Change | - | 8.14% | -17.51% | 4.51% | 2.94% | -1.36% | 9.66% | 7.73% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -646 | -692 | -722 | -807 | -792 | -771.1 | -749.2 | -709 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 3,878 | 4,130 | 2,320 | 3,329 | 3,665 | 3,542 | 3,961 | 4,330 |
| Change | - | 6.5% | -43.83% | 43.49% | 10.09% | -3.36% | 11.84% | 9.31% |
| Net income 1 | 3,005 | 3,270 | 1,827 | 2,622 | 2,873 | 2,720 | 3,055 | 3,345 |
| Change | - | 8.82% | -44.13% | 43.51% | 9.57% | -5.31% | 12.31% | 9.46% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/22 | 25/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 29/01/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Norfolk Southern Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 13,001 | 14,626 | 15,611 | 15,565 | 15,557 | 14,453 | 13,699 | 12,981 |
| Change | - | 12.5% | 6.73% | -0.29% | -0.05% | -7.1% | -5.22% | -5.24% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/22 | 25/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 29/01/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Norfolk Southern Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,470 | 1,948 | 2,349 | 4,024 | 2,204 | 1,908 | 2,061 | 2,217 |
| Change | - | 32.52% | 20.59% | 71.31% | -45.23% | -13.43% | 8.03% | 7.58% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 2,785 | 2,274 | 830 | 28 | 2,157 | 2,333 | 2,653 | 2,546 |
| Change | - | -18.35% | -63.5% | -96.63% | 7,603.57% | 8.14% | 13.72% | -4.03% |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/22 | 25/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 29/01/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Norfolk Southern Corporation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 50.51% | 47.31% | 43.31% | 45.36% | 46.48% | 45.34% | 46.47% | 47% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 39.91% | 37.73% | 32.63% | 34.2% | 35.04% | 33.76% | 35.33% | 36.28% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 34.81% | 32.4% | 19.09% | 27.46% | 30.09% | 28.4% | 30.31% | 31.59% |
| Net margin (%) | 26.97% | 25.66% | 15.03% | 21.63% | 23.59% | 21.81% | 23.38% | 24.4% |
| FCF margin (%) | 25% | 17.84% | 6.83% | 0.23% | 17.71% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 18.57% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 92.68% | 69.54% | 45.43% | 1.07% | 75.08% | 85.74% | 86.82% | 76.12% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 7.86% | 8.45% | 6.63% | 6.29% | 6.33% | 5.92% | 6.47% | 6.8% |
| ROE | 21.14% | 24.8% | 20.93% | 19.81% | 18.87% | 16.59% | 16.95% | 16.16% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.31x | 2.43x | 2.97x | 2.83x | 2.75x | 2.56x | 2.26x | 2.01x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 4.67x | 6.43x | 18.81x | 555.89x | 7.21x | 6.2x | 5.16x | 5.1x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 13.19% | 15.28% | 19.32% | 33.19% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 15.78% | 16.18% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 26.12% | 32.31% | 44.62% | 73.18% | 38.93% | 33.74% | 33.95% | 34.42% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 52.78% | 85.66% | 283.01% | 14,371.43% | 102.18% | 81.79% | 77.7% | 87.1% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 17.15 | 17.92 | 13.98 | 17.9 | 19.36 | 19.92 | 18.67 | - |
| Change | - | 4.49% | -21.99% | 28.02% | 8.15% | 2.93% | -6.29% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 4.16 | 4.96 | 5.4 | 5.4 | - | 5.413 | 5.567 | 5.932 |
| Change | - | 19.23% | 8.87% | 0% | - | - | 2.83% | 6.57% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 56.8 | 55.83 | 56.2 | 63.19 | 69.28 | 77.4 | 84.76 | 92.3 |
| Change | - | -1.71% | 0.68% | 12.43% | 9.63% | 11.73% | 9.51% | 8.9% |
| EPS 1 | 12.11 | 13.88 | 8.02 | 11.57 | 12.75 | 12.15 | 13.56 | 14.83 |
| Change | - | 14.62% | -42.22% | 44.26% | 10.2% | -4.7% | 11.6% | 9.34% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 243,345 | 243,345 | 225,742 | 226,240 | 224,387 | 224,572 | 224,572 | 224,572 |
| Announcement Date | 26/01/22 | 25/01/23 | 26/01/24 | 29/01/25 | 29/01/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 24.9x | 22.3x |
| PBR | 3.91x | 3.57x |
| EV / Sales | 6.61x | 6.25x |
| Yield | 1.79% | 1.84% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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