Projected Income Statement: Norfolk Southern Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Norfolk Southern Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 11,566 13,001 14,626 15,611 15,565 15,250 14,410 13,389
Change - 12.41% 12.5% 6.73% -0.29% -2.02% -5.51% -7.09%
Announcement Date 27/01/21 26/01/22 25/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Norfolk Southern Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,494 1,470 1,948 2,349 4,024 2,117 2,136 2,175
Change - -1.61% 32.52% 20.59% 71.31% -47.39% 0.87% 1.87%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,143 2,785 2,274 830 28 2,406 2,477 2,597
Change - 29.96% -18.35% -63.5% -96.63% 8,491.78% 2.96% 4.86%
Announcement Date 27/01/21 26/01/22 25/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Norfolk Southern Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 47.4% 50.51% 47.31% 43.31% 45.36% 46.1% 47.04% 48.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 35.61% 39.91% 37.73% 32.63% 34.2% 34.67% 35.69% 37.21%
EBT Margin (%) 25.85% 34.81% 32.4% 19.09% 27.46% 29.96% 30.97% 32.58%
Net margin (%) 20.56% 26.97% 25.66% 15.03% 21.63% 23.3% 23.68% 24.98%
FCF margin (%) 21.89% 25% 17.84% 6.83% 0.23% 19.63% 19.54% 19.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) 106.46% 92.68% 69.54% 45.43% 1.07% 84.26% 82.48% 78.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.26% 7.86% 8.45% 6.63% 6.29% 6.3% 6.59% 6.97%
ROE 15.85% 21.14% 24.8% 20.93% 19.81% 18.8% 18.26% 18.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.49x 2.31x 2.43x 2.97x 2.83x 2.7x 2.42x 2.09x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.4x 4.67x 6.43x 18.81x 555.89x 6.34x 5.82x 5.16x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 15.26% 13.19% 15.28% 19.32% 33.19% 17.28% 16.84% 16.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 32.2% 26.12% 32.31% 44.62% 73.18% 37.47% 35.8% 33.97%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.72% 52.78% 85.66% 283.01% 14,371.43% 88.01% 86.22% 83.76%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.17 17.15 17.92 13.98 17.9 21.23 21.84 20.86
Change - 21% 4.49% -21.99% 28.02% 18.64% 2.83% -4.49%
Dividend per Share 1 3.76 4.16 4.96 5.4 5.4 5.407 5.528 5.774
Change - 10.64% 19.23% 8.87% 0% 0.12% 2.24% 4.46%
Book Value Per Share 1 57.64 56.8 55.83 56.2 63.19 70.34 78.64 86.92
Change - -1.46% -1.71% 0.68% 12.43% 11.32% 11.8% 10.53%
EPS 1 7.84 12.11 13.88 8.02 11.57 12.85 13.33 14.63
Change - 54.46% 14.62% -42.22% 44.26% 11.04% 3.74% 9.77%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 253,985 243,345 243,345 225,742 226,240 224,387 224,387 224,387
Announcement Date 27/01/21 26/01/22 25/01/23 26/01/24 29/01/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 21.9x 21.1x
PBR 4x 3.58x
EV / Sales 6.4x 6.12x
Yield 1.92% 1.96%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
281.41USD
Average target price
311.50USD
Spread / Average Target
+10.69%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NSC Stock
  4. Financials Norfolk Southern Corporation
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