Projected Income Statement: Nick Scali Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nick Scali Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet - Nick Scali Limited
Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 17 2.44 -39.6 -29.3 -34.9 -25 -29.8 -45.7
Change - -85.65% -1,722.95% 26.01% -19.11% 28.38% -19.2% -53.36%
Announcement Date 21/08/22 10/08/23 08/08/24 07/08/25 06/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nick Scali Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 18.98 12.89 28.46 14.57 22.99 18.47 18.37 19.49
Change - -32.09% 120.79% -48.79% 57.74% -19.63% -0.56% 6.11%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 103.9 125 102.7 100.9 131.5 102.1 126.8 141.5
Change - 20.3% -17.83% -1.75% 30.25% -22.3% 24.18% 11.59%
Announcement Date 21/08/22 10/08/23 08/08/24 07/08/25 06/08/26 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nick Scali Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 37.68% 38.82% 37.38% 32.12% 34.97% 31.76% 32.62% 33.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.25% 30.39% 27.66% 21.34% 24.13% 19.81% 21.01% 22.28%
EBT Margin (%) 24.48% 28.27% 24.87% 17.63% 21.33% 16.53% 18.01% 19.48%
Net margin (%) 16.99% 19.91% 17.22% 11.65% 14.65% 11.57% 12.61% 13.71%
FCF margin (%) 23.57% 24.62% 21.94% 20.38% 25.44% 20.96% 23.98% 24.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) 138.7% 123.67% 127.43% 174.9% 173.65% 181.22% 190.17% 176.74%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.23% 16.52% 12.51% 8.79% 10.3% 9.86% 10.92% 12.92%
ROE 58.77% 63.01% 37.52% 23.64% 27.14% 20.19% 22.96% 26.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.1x 0.01x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.16x 0.02x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.3% 2.54% 6.08% 2.94% 4.45% 3.79% 3.47% 3.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.42% 6.54% 16.26% 9.16% 12.72% 11.94% 10.65% 9.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 18.26% 10.31% 27.7% 14.44% 17.49% 18.09% 14.49% 13.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.51 1.702 1.607 1.352 1.806 1.339 1.596 1.842
Change - 12.72% -5.63% -15.86% 33.57% -25.82% 19.15% 15.43%
Dividend per Share 1 0.6 0.75 0.68 0.63 0.72 0.569 0.647 0.7723
Change - 25% -9.33% -7.35% 14.29% -20.97% 13.7% 19.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.74 2.221 3.024 3.118 3.271 3.336 3.454 3.584
Change - 27.66% 36.17% 3.09% 4.91% 1.98% 3.54% 3.75%
EPS 1 0.925 1.248 0.987 0.675 0.885 0.7058 0.767 0.9584
Change - 34.92% -20.91% -31.61% 31.11% -20.25% 8.67% 24.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 81,000 81,000 85,231 85,531 85,531 85,531 85,531 85,531
Announcement Date 21/08/22 10/08/23 08/08/24 07/08/25 06/08/26 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 17.9x 16.5x
PBR 3.79x 3.66x
EV / Sales 2.17x 1.99x
Yield 4.5% 5.12%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Nick Scali Limited


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Nick Scali Limited
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Nick Scali Limited
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Nick Scali Limited
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
12.64AUD
Average target price
14.34AUD
Spread / Average Target
+13.43%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Nick Scali Limited
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