Projected Income Statement: Next plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Next plc

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,834 1,658 1,811 859 1,675 1,713 1,623 1,525
Change - -9.6% 9.23% -52.57% 94.99% 2.27% 0.31% -6.04%
Announcement Date 01/04/21 24/03/22 29/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Next plc

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 163 184 205.1 137 157.5 171.2 203.8 210.3
Change - 12.88% 11.47% -33.2% 14.96% 8.7% 17.23% 3.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 661.8 787.4 593.7 983.3 1,005 1,062 847 915.4
Change - 18.98% -24.6% 65.62% 2.17% 5.75% 14.4% 8.07%
Announcement Date 01/04/21 24/03/22 29/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Next plc

Fiscal Period: January 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.45% 22.88% 20.47% 22.62% 22.15% 23.12% 22.14% 22.27%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.25% 18.62% 17.39% 18.1% 17.01% 18.26% 18.18% 18.19%
EBT Margin (%) 9.44% 16.93% 16.06% 18.61% 15.61% 17.03% 17.02% 17.19%
Net margin (%) 7.91% 13.94% 13.14% 14.7% 11.65% 12.69% 12.81% 12.97%
FCF margin (%) 18.25% 16.2% 10.97% 18.01% 15.89% 15.17% 11.81% 12.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 230.83% 116.22% 83.42% 122.56% 136.48% 119.57% 92.22% 93.33%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.72% 17.51% 17.87% 16.46% 15.77% 18.16% 18.71% 19.44%
ROE 52.01% 81.09% 65.58% 53.64% 44.61% 48.19% 49.8% 47.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.36x 1.49x 1.63x 0.7x 1.2x 1.06x 1.02x 0.91x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.77x 2.11x 3.05x 0.87x 1.67x 1.61x 1.92x 1.67x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.5% 3.78% 3.79% 2.51% 2.49% 2.44% 2.84% 2.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.96% 16.54% 18.5% 11.1% 11.25% 10.57% 12.84% 12.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 24.63% 23.37% 34.55% 13.93% 15.68% 16.11% 24.06% 22.97%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.384 7.171 6.403 9.153 9.327 8.58 9.637 9.65
Change - 12.34% -10.71% 42.94% 1.91% -8.01% 12.31% 0.13%
Dividend per Share 1 - 3.97 2.06 2.06 2.33 5.987 2.838 3.017
Change - - -48.11% 0% 13.11% 156.95% -52.59% 6.28%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.971 7.607 9.451 11.7 13.94 16.02 16.65 18.53
Change - 53.02% 24.24% 23.76% 19.16% 14.91% 3.94% 11.31%
EPS 1 2.219 5.24 5.705 6.559 6.055 7.454 7.931 8.604
Change - 136.14% 8.87% 14.97% -7.68% 23.1% 8.05% 8.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 127,518 127,886 123,961 120,955 117,174 114,649 114,649 114,649
Announcement Date 01/04/21 24/03/22 29/03/23 21/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E ratio 18x 16.9x
PBR 8.39x 8.07x
EV / Sales 2.47x 2.37x
Yield 4.46% 2.11%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
134.35GBP
Average target price
147.86GBP
Spread / Average Target
+10.06%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise