Projected Income Statement: NetEase, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: NetEase, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -67,502 -62,758 -102,617 -114,592 -133,423 -173,702 -199,785 -225,683
Change - 7.03% -63.51% -11.67% -16.43% -30.19% -15.02% -12.96%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 29/02/24 20/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: NetEase, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,038 2,602 4,266 2,192 2,007 2,114 2,547 2,755
Change - -14.36% 63.93% -48.62% -8.45% 5.37% 20.46% 8.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 21,817 25,066 33,030 37,485 48,733 42,325 47,436 53,930
Change - 14.89% 31.77% 13.49% 30.01% -13.15% 12.08% 13.69%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 29/02/24 20/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: NetEase, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.48% 23.3% 29.73% 30.39% 33.81% 40.39% 40.14% 41.23%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.74% 20.34% 26.78% 28.1% 31.82% 38.61% 38.5% 39.46%
EBT Margin (%) 24.09% 25.13% 32.92% 33.92% 36.25% 39.51% 41.63% 42.32%
Net margin (%) 19.24% 21.08% 28.43% 28.2% 29.98% 30.92% 33.4% 34.05%
FCF margin (%) 24.9% 25.98% 31.92% 35.6% 43.27% 35.06% 36.52% 39.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) 129.42% 123.25% 112.28% 126.22% 144.35% 113.41% 109.35% 114.69%

Profitability

        
ROA 11.41% 12.46% 16.4% 15.55% 16.18% 16.57% 16.91% 16.51%
ROE 19% 20.33% 25.69% 22.59% 22.58% 22% 22.05% 21.29%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.47% 2.7% 4.12% 2.08% 1.78% 1.75% 1.96% 2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.43% 11.57% 13.87% 6.85% 5.27% 4.34% 4.88% 4.84%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 13.93% 10.38% 12.91% 5.85% 4.12% 5% 5.37% 5.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 7.402 8.407 10.86 12.28 15.77 13.43 14.92 17.34
Change - 13.57% 29.23% 13.04% 28.38% -14.85% 11.13% 16.25%
Dividend per Share 1 1.481 1.916 3.688 3.751 4.113 4.2 5.401 6.026
Change - 29.38% 92.48% 1.72% 9.63% 2.13% 28.58% 11.57%
Book Value Per Share 1 28.66 32.09 38.64 43.33 50.31 56.94 65.38 73.58
Change - 11.97% 20.4% 12.14% 16.09% 13.18% 14.83% 12.53%
EPS 1 5.01 6.17 9.05 9.19 10.48 11.97 13.9 15.21
Change - 23.15% 46.68% 1.55% 14.04% 14.2% 16.18% 9.4%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,252,359 3,101,359 3,125,972 3,167,959 3,167,959 3,201,251 3,201,251 3,201,251
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 29/02/24 20/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.8x 11.9x
PBR 2.9x 2.52x
EV / Sales 2.93x 2.53x
Yield 2.55% 3.28%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
164.89CNY
Average target price
216.98CNY
Spread / Average Target
+31.59%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise