Projected Income Statement: National Grid plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: National Grid plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 28,546 42,809 40,973 43,607 41,371 46,088 52,521 59,468
Change - 49.96% -4.29% 6.43% -5.13% 11.4% 13.96% 13.23%
Announcement Date 20/05/21 19/05/22 18/05/23 23/05/24 15/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: National Grid plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,362 5,098 6,325 6,904 8,780 10,525 11,456 13,115
Change - 16.87% 24.07% 9.15% 27.17% 19.88% 8.84% 14.49%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -327 1,174 6 -514 -1,972 -3,134 -3,893 -4,927
Change - 459.02% -99.49% -8,666.67% -283.66% -58.95% -24.2% -26.56%
Announcement Date 20/05/21 19/05/22 18/05/23 23/05/24 15/05/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: National Grid plc

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 31.11% 30.59% 28.99% 37.9% 40.98% 41.73% 43.85% 44.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.8% 20.67% 19.83% 27.52% 25.93% 29.77% 31.52% 32.32%
EBT Margin (%) 14.09% 18.65% 16.58% 15.36% 19.86% 23% 24.18% 24.51%
Net margin (%) 11.1% 12.75% 36% 11.54% 15.79% 19.44% 20.16% 20.35%
FCF margin (%) -2.21% 6.36% 0.03% -2.59% -10.73% -16.07% -18.46% -21.41%
FCF / Net Income (%) -19.94% 49.89% 0.08% -22.45% -67.95% -82.65% -91.54% -105.18%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.43% 2.9% 8.31% 2.4% 2.83% 3.55% 3.69% 3.76%
ROE 10.6% 11.4% 11% 8.9% 9% 9.82% 10.54% 10.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.21x 7.59x 6.53x 5.8x 5.49x 5.66x 5.68x 5.78x
Debt / Free cash flow -87.3x 36.46x 6,828.83x -84.84x -20.98x -14.7x -13.49x -12.07x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 29.51% 27.63% 29.2% 34.78% 47.77% 53.95% 54.31% 56.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 94.87% 90.34% 100.75% 91.77% 116.57% 129.26% 123.85% 127.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -1,333.94% 434.24% 105,416.67% -1,343.19% -445.23% -335.78% -294.27% -266.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.26 1.735 1.876 1.871 1.44 1.536 1.579 1.745
Change - 37.64% 8.19% -0.3% -23.05% 6.68% 2.8% 10.51%
Dividend per Share 1 0.4916 0.5097 0.5544 0.5852 0.4672 0.4814 0.4921 0.5032
Change - 3.68% 8.77% 5.56% -20.16% 3.05% 2.21% 2.27%
Book Value Per Share 1 5.631 6.622 8.073 8.09 8.031 8.033 8.41 8.866
Change - 17.59% 21.91% 0.21% -0.72% 0.02% 4.7% 5.42%
EPS 1 0.463 0.65 2.121 0.617 0.614 0.7725 0.8551 0.9246
Change - 40.39% 226.31% -70.91% -0.49% 25.81% 10.69% 8.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,549,181 3,644,928 3,676,413 3,719,722 4,892,261 4,971,291 4,971,291 4,971,291
Announcement Date 20/05/21 19/05/22 18/05/23 23/05/24 15/05/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 16.6x 15x
PBR 1.6x 1.53x
EV / Sales 5.64x 5.52x
Yield 3.75% 3.83%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
12.85GBP
Average target price
12.47GBP
Spread / Average Target
-2.98%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NG. Stock
  4. Financials National Grid plc