Projected Income Statement: MTR Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: MTR Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 22,928 31,852 37,257 49,798 44,806 65,986 82,811 105,616
Change - 38.92% 16.97% 33.66% -10.02% 47.27% 25.5% 27.54%
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: MTR Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,997 10,808 12,576 19,416 19,594 29,279 28,191 26,475
Change - 35.15% 16.36% 54.39% 0.92% 49.43% -3.71% -6.09%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -525 -12,527 -1,379 -925 -7,720 -5,771 -10,057 -18,625
Change - -2,286.1% 88.99% 32.92% -734.59% 25.24% -74.26% -85.2%
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: MTR Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.26% 16.55% 26.87% 29.83% 31.93% 32.07% 31.42% 31.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.72% 26.03% 18.73% 34.26% 35.92% 41.26% 27.96% 22.79%
EBT Margin (%) 25.3% 24.57% 16.96% 32.54% 34.11% 38.29% 26.17% 19.8%
Net margin (%) 20.24% 20.55% 13.66% 26.28% 26.46% 30.81% 21.21% 21.72%
FCF margin (%) -1.11% -26.2% -2.42% -1.54% -13.92% -10.36% -17.4% -31.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) -5.5% -127.48% -17.72% -5.86% -52.6% -33.64% -82.02% -146.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.28% 3.17% 2.31% 4.42% 3.81% 4.16% 2.66% 2.27%
ROE 6.26% 5.47% 4.35% 8.67% 7.77% 8.56% 5.63% 4.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.81x 4.03x 2.43x 2.78x 2.53x 3.69x 4.56x 5.66x
Debt / Free cash flow -43.67x -2.54x -27.02x -53.84x -5.8x -11.43x -8.23x -5.67x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 16.94% 22.61% 22.07% 32.35% 35.33% 52.58% 48.77% 45.34%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 98.15% 136.62% 82.14% 108.45% 110.64% 163.95% 155.23% 141.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -1,523.24% -86.28% -911.97% -2,099.03% -253.81% -507.34% -280.33% -142.15%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.208 1.09 1.804 2.972 1.908 1.985 2.292 2.389
Change - -9.71% 65.4% 64.8% -35.82% 4.07% 15.46% 4.23%
Dividend per Share 1 1.27 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.31
Change - 3.15% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Book Value Per Share 1 29.05 28.93 28.73 29.84 - 32.22 32.51 32.61
Change - -0.4% -0.71% 3.86% - - 0.92% 0.3%
EPS 1 1.54 1.59 1.25 2.54 2.36 2.711 1.865 1.535
Change - 3.25% -21.38% 103.2% -7.09% 14.88% -31.22% -17.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 6,193,463 6,202,061 6,217,197 6,224,823 6,224,823 6,224,823 6,224,823 6,224,823
Announcement Date 10/03/22 09/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 12/03/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.5x 18.2x
PBR 1.05x 1.04x
EV / Sales 4.98x 5.09x
Yield 3.86% 3.86%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
33.92HKD
Average target price
32.24HKD
Spread / Average Target
-4.96%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 66 Stock
  4. Financials MTR Corporation Limited