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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 489.55 EUR | -1.97% |
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+1.60% | -24.12% |
| 08:08am | PRESS DIGEST-New York Times business news - April 20 | RE |
| 04-17 | Rocky start for the luxury sector earnings season |  |
Projected Income Statement: LVMH
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 64,215 | 79,184 | 86,153 | 84,683 | 80,807 | 81,213 | 85,463 | 90,826 |
| Change | - | 23.31% | 8.8% | -1.71% | -4.58% | 0.5% | 5.23% | 6.28% |
| EBITDA 1 | 22,981 | 27,281 | 29,979 | 27,367 | 25,756 | 24,788 | 27,000 | 28,783 |
| Change | - | 18.71% | 9.89% | -8.71% | -5.89% | -3.76% | 8.92% | 6.6% |
| EBIT 1 | 17,151 | 21,055 | 22,802 | 19,571 | 17,755 | 17,819 | 19,413 | 21,041 |
| Change | - | 22.76% | 8.3% | -14.17% | -9.28% | 0.36% | 8.94% | 8.38% |
| Interest Paid 1 | 53 | -888 | -935 | -792 | -401 | -845.7 | -828.2 | -692.6 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 17,208 | 20,113 | 21,625 | 18,115 | 16,698 | 16,844 | 18,336 | 20,041 |
| Change | - | 16.88% | 7.52% | -16.23% | -7.82% | 0.87% | 8.86% | 9.3% |
| Net income 1 | 12,036 | 14,084 | 15,174 | 12,550 | 10,878 | 11,356 | 12,828 | 14,089 |
| Change | - | 17.02% | 7.74% | -17.29% | -13.32% | 4.39% | 12.97% | 9.83% |
| Announcement Date | 27/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 25/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 9,607 | 27,847 | 30,671 | 31,143 | 27,567 | 23,654 | 19,455 | 15,030 |
| Change | - | 189.86% | 10.14% | 1.54% | -11.48% | -14.19% | -17.75% | -22.74% |
| Announcement Date | 27/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 25/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,664 | 4,969 | 7,478 | 5,531 | 4,567 | 4,876 | 4,882 | 5,049 |
| Change | - | 86.52% | 50.49% | -26.04% | -17.43% | 6.76% | 0.12% | 3.43% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 13,531 | 10,113 | 8,104 | 10,478 | 11,333 | 12,857 | 13,133 | 14,569 |
| Change | - | -25.26% | -19.87% | 29.29% | 8.16% | 13.45% | 2.15% | 10.94% |
| Announcement Date | 27/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 25/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 35.79% | 34.45% | 34.8% | 32.32% | 31.87% | 30.52% | 31.59% | 31.69% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 26.71% | 26.59% | 26.47% | 23.11% | 21.97% | 21.94% | 22.72% | 23.17% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 26.8% | 25.4% | 25.1% | 21.39% | 20.66% | 20.74% | 21.45% | 22.07% |
| Net margin (%) | 18.74% | 17.79% | 17.61% | 14.82% | 13.46% | 13.98% | 15.01% | 15.51% |
| FCF margin (%) | 21.07% | 12.77% | 9.41% | 12.37% | 14.02% | 15.83% | 15.37% | 16.04% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 112.42% | 71.8% | 53.41% | 83.49% | 104.18% | 113.22% | 102.38% | 103.41% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.29% | 10.84% | 10.9% | 12.37% | 7.47% | 8.06% | 8.93% | 9.49% |
| ROE | 28.48% | 27.55% | 26.13% | 27.88% | 16.12% | 15.92% | 16.98% | 17.29% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.42x | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.14x | 1.07x | 0.95x | 0.72x | 0.52x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.71x | 2.75x | 3.78x | 2.97x | 2.43x | 1.84x | 1.48x | 1.03x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.15% | 6.28% | 8.68% | 6.53% | 5.65% | 6% | 5.71% | 5.56% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 11.59% | 18.21% | 24.94% | 20.21% | 17.73% | 19.67% | 18.08% | 17.54% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 19.69% | 49.13% | 92.28% | 52.79% | 40.3% | 37.92% | 37.17% | 34.66% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 37.01 | 35.49 | 36.78 | 37.87 | 37.9 | 34.22 | 36.81 | 38.28 |
| Change | - | -4.1% | 3.63% | 2.98% | 0.08% | -9.7% | 7.57% | 3.98% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13.02 | 14.22 | 15.6 |
| Change | - | 71.43% | 8.33% | 0% | 0% | 0.16% | 9.22% | 9.69% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 93.56 | 109.8 | 122.2 | 135.1 | 135.5 | 144.1 | 156.9 | 169.6 |
| Change | - | 17.31% | 11.29% | 10.62% | 0.28% | 6.33% | 8.9% | 8.13% |
| EPS 1 | 23.89 | 28.03 | 30.33 | 25.12 | 21.85 | 22.51 | 25.67 | 28.57 |
| Change | - | 17.33% | 8.21% | -17.18% | -13.02% | 3.01% | 14.04% | 11.3% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 503,785 | 501,103 | 499,410 | 499,744 | 495,126 | 496,391 | 496,391 | 496,391 |
| Announcement Date | 27/01/22 | 26/01/23 | 25/01/24 | 28/01/25 | 27/01/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 22.2x | 19.5x |
| PBR | 3.47x | 3.18x |
| EV / Sales | 3.34x | 3.13x |
| Yield | 2.61% | 2.85% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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