Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 4,241 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,194 24,531 14,404
Change - 126.53% 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -12.68% -9.79% -41.28%
Announcement Date 26/01/21 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,478 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 5,182 5,318 5,450
Change - 7.51% 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -6.31% 2.62% 2.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,117 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,055 11,658 12,634
Change - 121.2% -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 5.51% 5.45% 8.37%
Announcement Date 26/01/21 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.15% 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 30.48% 30.81% 31.88%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.6% 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.16% 21.73% 22.71%
EBT Margin (%) 16.49% 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 19.9% 20.68% 21.65%
Net margin (%) 10.53% 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.33% 14.53% 15.41%
FCF margin (%) 13.7% 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 13.74% 14.06% 14.35%
FCF / Net Income (%) 130.09% 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 103.12% 96.8% 93.1%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.58% 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.19% 7.74% 8.88%
ROE 12.18% 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 15.19% 16.12% 16.75%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.3x 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.11x 0.96x 0.51x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.69x 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.46x 2.1x 1.14x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.55% 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 6.44% 6.41% 6.19%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.26% 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 21.13% 20.82% 19.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 40.51% 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 46.87% 45.61% 43.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 21.61 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 37.36 39.23 41.65
Change - 71.24% -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% -1.35% 5.01% 6.16%
Dividend per Share 1 6 7 12 13 13 11.98 12.97 14.2
Change - 16.67% 71.43% 8.33% 0% -7.86% 8.29% 9.48%
Book Value Per Share 1 76.93 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 142.9 154.9 168.9
Change - 21.62% 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 5.73% 8.44% 9%
EPS 1 9.32 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.49 24.07 27.15
Change - 156.33% 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -14.47% 12.02% 12.81%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 503,359 503,785 501,103 499,410 499,744 497,025 497,025 497,025
Announcement Date 26/01/21 27/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 28/01/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 29.1x 25.9x
PBR 4.37x 4.03x
EV / Sales 4.2x 4.04x
Yield 1.92% 2.08%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
624.50EUR
Average target price
634.30EUR
Spread / Average Target
+1.57%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise