Projected Income Statement: Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -7,565 -9,437 -11,500 -14,374 -24,022 -26,347 -28,139 -31,994
Change - -24.75% -21.86% -24.99% -67.12% -9.68% -6.8% -13.7%
Announcement Date 29/03/21 11/03/22 28/04/23 26/04/24 27/04/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,123 1,976 968.9 1,432 1,177 1,275 1,139 1,121
Change - -6.94% -50.96% 47.79% -17.81% 8.37% -10.68% -1.62%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,793 5,723 7,294 9,216 18,005 10,504 11,962 12,126
Change - 104.9% 27.45% 26.36% 95.36% -41.66% 13.88% 1.37%
Announcement Date 29/03/21 11/03/22 28/04/23 26/04/24 27/04/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 49.65% 53.98% 57.62% 61.22% 60.84% 57.86% 57.48% 57.51%
EBIT Margin (%) 47.8% 51.3% 55.12% 59.01% 58.36% 55.25% 55.81% 56.01%
EBT Margin (%) 47.68% 51.11% 55.15% 58.9% 58.36% 57.11% 57.2% 57.43%
Net margin (%) 36.07% 38.54% 41.26% 43.81% 43.19% 42.16% 42.32% 42.62%
FCF margin (%) 16.77% 27.72% 29.03% 30.48% 57.71% 37.07% 40.95% 38.41%
FCF / Net Income (%) 46.5% 71.93% 70.37% 69.58% 133.64% 87.93% 96.75% 90.14%

Profitability

        
ROA 18.79% 20.07% - 29.74% 20.47% 17.48% 17.51% 17.87%
ROE 28.28% 31.15% 33.32% 35.07% 30.44% 24% 23.03% 23.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.75% 9.57% 3.86% 4.74% 3.77% 4.5% 3.9% 3.55%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.68% 17.73% 6.69% 7.74% 6.2% 7.78% 6.78% 6.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 76.02% 34.53% 13.28% 15.54% 6.54% 12.14% 9.52% 9.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.356 5.256 5.614 7.234 13.03 8.225 9.326 9.331
Change - 56.6% 6.81% 28.87% 80.14% -36.89% 13.38% 0.06%
Dividend per Share 1 2.051 3.244 4.225 5.4 4.592 5.659 5.925 6.28
Change - 58.17% 30.24% 27.81% -14.96% 23.25% 4.69% 5.98%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.5 17.4 23.24 28.12 32.19 34.44 36.86 39.58
Change - 20% 33.57% 20.99% 14.49% 6.98% 7.03% 7.38%
EPS 1 4.1 5.43 7.06 9.02 9.18 8.117 8.401 9.14
Change - 32.44% 30.02% 27.76% 1.77% -11.58% 3.5% 8.8%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,464,752 1,464,752 1,471,895 1,471,988 1,471,952 1,471,942 1,471,942 1,471,942
Announcement Date 29/03/21 11/03/22 28/04/23 26/04/24 27/04/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.9x 12.5x
PBR 3.05x 2.85x
EV / Sales 4.53x 4.33x
Yield 5.39% 5.64%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
105.07CNY
Average target price
143.32CNY
Spread / Average Target
+36.40%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 000568 Stock
  4. Financials Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd
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