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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 56,960.00 JPY | +0.58% |
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+4.42% | +0.49% |
| 01-29 | Keyence's Nine-Month Income Rises 6.6% | MT |
| 01-29 | Keyence Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Nine Months Ended December 20, 2025 | CI |
Projected Income Statement: Keyence Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 538,134 | 755,174 | 922,422 | 967,288 | 1,059,145 | 1,141,766 | 1,275,646 | 1,400,722 |
| Change | - | 40.33% | 22.15% | 4.86% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 11.73% | 9.8% |
| EBITDA 1 | 284,313 | 426,666 | 510,437 | 508,781 | 564,968 | 596,135 | 680,769 | 755,353 |
| Change | - | 50.07% | 19.63% | -0.32% | 11.04% | 5.52% | 14.2% | 10.96% |
| EBIT 1 | 276,758 | 418,045 | 498,914 | 495,014 | 549,775 | 578,884 | 661,844 | 736,037 |
| Change | - | 51.05% | 19.34% | -0.78% | 11.06% | 5.29% | 14.33% | 11.21% |
| Interest Paid | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 286,594 | 431,240 | 512,830 | 519,295 | 561,010 | 599,469 | 690,234 | 768,109 |
| Change | - | 50.47% | 18.92% | 1.26% | 8.03% | 6.86% | 15.14% | 11.28% |
| Net income 1 | 197,289 | 303,360 | 362,963 | 369,642 | 398,656 | 424,171 | 482,327 | 536,238 |
| Change | - | 53.76% | 19.65% | 1.84% | 7.85% | 6.4% | 13.71% | 11.18% |
| Announcement Date | 28/04/21 | 27/04/22 | 27/04/23 | 25/04/24 | 25/04/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Keyence Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -929,998 | -1,004,572 | -940,458 | -1,132,776 | -1,219,234 | -1,362,328 | -1,670,290 | -1,991,682 |
| Change | - | -8.02% | 6.38% | -20.45% | -7.63% | -11.74% | -22.61% | -19.24% |
| Announcement Date | 28/04/21 | 27/04/22 | 27/04/23 | 25/04/24 | 25/04/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Keyence Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 4,358 | 6,162 | 39,345 | 12,492 | 14,342 | 19,652 | 17,013 | 17,556 |
| Change | - | 41.4% | 538.51% | -68.25% | 14.81% | 37.03% | -13.43% | 3.19% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 188,294 | 260,342 | 143,915 | 145,124 | 395,180 | 330,074 | 380,402 | 455,372 |
| Change | - | 38.26% | -44.72% | 0.84% | 172.31% | -16.48% | 15.25% | 19.71% |
| Announcement Date | 28/04/21 | 27/04/22 | 27/04/23 | 25/04/24 | 25/04/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Keyence Corporation
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 52.83% | 56.5% | 55.34% | 52.6% | 53.34% | 52.21% | 53.37% | 53.93% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 51.43% | 55.36% | 54.09% | 51.18% | 51.91% | 50.7% | 51.88% | 52.55% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 53.26% | 57.1% | 55.6% | 53.69% | 52.97% | 52.5% | 54.11% | 54.84% |
| Net margin (%) | 36.66% | 40.17% | 39.35% | 38.21% | 37.64% | 37.15% | 37.81% | 38.28% |
| FCF margin (%) | 34.99% | 34.47% | 15.6% | 15% | 37.31% | 28.91% | 29.82% | 32.51% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 95.44% | 85.82% | 39.65% | 39.26% | 99.13% | 77.82% | 78.87% | 84.92% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 14.9% | 19.9% | 20.62% | 18.5% | 12.7% | 12.06% | 12.59% | 12.73% |
| ROE | 10.7% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 14% | 13.5% | 12.93% | 13.41% | 13.47% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.81% | 0.82% | 4.27% | 1.29% | 1.35% | 1.72% | 1.33% | 1.25% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 1.53% | 1.44% | 7.71% | 2.46% | 2.54% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.32% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 2.31% | 2.37% | 27.34% | 8.61% | 3.63% | 5.95% | 4.47% | 3.86% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 844.6 | 1,286 | 1,544 | 1,581 | 1,706 | 1,822 | 2,004 | 2,185 |
| Change | - | 52.3% | 20.04% | 2.38% | 7.94% | 6.77% | 9.97% | 9.06% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 200 | 200 | 300 | 300 | 350 | 511 | 548.2 | 609 |
| Change | - | 0% | 50% | 0% | 16.67% | 46.01% | 7.27% | 11.1% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 7,887 | 8,962 | 10,274 | 11,571 | 12,817 | 14,115 | 15,560 | 17,173 |
| Change | - | 13.63% | 14.63% | 12.62% | 10.77% | 10.12% | 10.24% | 10.37% |
| EPS 1 | 813.5 | 1,251 | 1,497 | 1,524 | 1,644 | 1,749 | 1,989 | 2,211 |
| Change | - | 53.76% | 19.65% | 1.84% | 7.85% | 6.37% | 13.74% | 11.18% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 242,527 | 242,526 | 242,526 | 242,526 | 242,525 | 242,525 | 242,525 | 242,525 |
| Announcement Date | 28/04/21 | 27/04/22 | 27/04/23 | 25/04/24 | 25/04/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 32.6x | 28.6x |
| PBR | 4.04x | 3.66x |
| EV / Sales | 10.9x | 9.52x |
| Yield | 0.9% | 0.96% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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